All 5 unit Christmas money plays
13-9-1 in NCAAB up 3.3 units
Merry Chrslyer. Happy Honda Days.
All 5 unit Christmas money plays
13-9-1 in NCAAB up 3.3 units
Merry Chrslyer. Happy Honda Days.
With fam, no time for write up. Best of luck.
13-7-1 in NCAAB up 10.62 units
Wofford beat UNC in Chapel Hill last night. Wofford beat UNC in Chapel Hill before Clemson ever did. Clemson has had over 50 more tries than Wofford. Roy Williams was his typical southern, mad self that he is after his boys lose. All great entertainment. Joe Lunardi tweeted “North Carolina’s home loss to Wofford is the worst by a defending national champion in the expanded NCAA tournament era (post-1985).”
Liberty -1 for 5 units. Yes Fort Wayne just beat Indiana for the second straight year, but people may not realize how good this Liberty team is. Liberty will be one of the better defenses IPFW has faced. I do like the fact the Fort Wayne’s mascot is the Mastodons for what it is worth. I think Liberty will show they are the better team on this neutral floor down in New Orleans.
Gonzaga -5 for 3 units. Jonathon Williams and Gonzaga are excited to head to warmer weather for this road-trip. I like that. Gonzaga smacked San Diego State last year, and I know both teams are very different, but I still like Gonzaga to cover. San Diego State lost to an average Cal team 12 days ago and haven’t played since. Gonzaga is averaging almost 92 points a game and is the best offense SDSU has seen all year.
16-10-1 in the NBA up 16.35 units
Raptors -3 for 3 units. Raptors have been a good away team all year. 76ers are giving up over 109 points a game, which is not a good recipe against this hot Raptors team that put up 129 against the Hornets last time out. Toronto is 9-1 in their last 10 and the 76ers are 2-8. Seems like this line should be at 5 or 6, people giving the 76ers a little too much credit on their home floor.
Spurs -3 for 3 units. Spurs have won 3 in a row, Jazz have lost 3 in a row. Jazz need Donovan Mitchell and it appears they won’t have him for this game. Jazz do play a lot better at home, but the Spurs will look to get this 3-game road trip started off with a win. Even if Mitchell does play, he won’t be 100%. I think the Spurs bench will win this bet and the game for the Spurs. Pop is getting his players back from injury so his rotations will be more of what we are used to seeing from the Spurs.
Cavs -10 for 3 units. Cavs are 11-20 against the spread this year and the Bulls are 17-12 against the spread this year. Think both of these numbers start moving towards the mean tonight. The Cavs are great at home, having won 11 straight in The Land. Both teams are relatively hot, but the Cavs could not do enough to get past the Bucks. Bulls have not been beat since Mirotic returned from being punched in the face by Bobby Portis. Portis still has one of my favorite college highlight tapes.
13-6 in NCAAB up 16.02 units
Mississippi State -22 for 5 units at -108. Honestly have not watched a Mississippi State game all year, but I have watched Arkansas Little Rock and they are putrid. Mississippi can blow bad teams out and I think that happens here. Little Rock struggles to score the ball and has a below average defense – not a good combo. Mississippi State has beat 4 teams by more than 22 this year and I think this will be the 5th team to get blown out by them. Also, Little Rock has not won an away game all year.
Seton Hall -21 for 2 units at -110. Wagner is a weak 7-2 and Seton Hall is undefeated at home this year. I watched Seton Hall play a good VCU team in person and come away with a double digit win. The Seton Hall senior stacked team will come out with fire after losing their last game to a solid Rutgers team. Corey Sanders is a great player for Rutgers. Watch for him come March. Wagner lost to Rider their last time out and will not be ready for this step up in competition.
13-10-1 in NBA up 5.8 units
Raptors -2 for 4 units at -106. Raptors have won 3 in a row and beat a Kings team that looks a little better after beating the 76ers last night. Hornets had lost 3 in a row before the Knicks came to town without Kristaps the Latvian gangbanger. Hornets beat the Knicks, but I do not think we should be too much stock in it, as the Knicks did not have their best player. Hornets are sitting their rookie Malik Monk supposedly because he is not up to their standards on defense…. Why would they not let him get game time to figure this out. Monk’s confidence can’t be that high and I am confused why MJ and the franchise don’t just throw him into the fire. Hornets are an average team on offense and Monk could help them. Kaminsky got hot vs the Knicks, but I think the rotation of Raptors bigs should be enough to keep him contained.
Pacers -4 for 4 units at -110. Oladipo had another great night against the Celtics that was overshadowed by the Pacers’ meltdown. Pacers are actually a top 10 scoring team that the Hawks will not be able to keep up with. This line would be a little higher if the Hawks did not just beat an injury riddled Heat team. Sabonis, Young, and Bogdanovic will be enough of a supporting cast for Oladipo even if Turner does not play for the Pacers. Pacers are 6-1 against the spread in their last 7 road games. This line just seems a little too low for a good team vs the team with the league’s worst record.
Kings +5 for 3 units at -108. Randolph played great against the 76ers who were without Joel Embiid. Hield and Frank Mason III were making their shots and I know the Kings have not won on the second night of a back 2 back all year, but I like them here. The Nets have a below average offense and a terrible defense. The Kings have one of the worst offenses in the league, but they are improving. The Nets have lost 3 straight and it is hard to see them beating any team by more than 5. A lot of people are playing the over, but I would not trust that with these two below average offenses. I’m taking the points and believing in the veterans of the Kings.
12-4 in NCAAB up 18.12 units
Stephen F. Austin +15 for 2 units. Stephen F. Austin has 3 players averaging over 15 points a game led by Kevon Harris. Missouri has been surprisingly good this year without their star recruit. Missouri can get hot from 3, which is most likely why this line is so high. I do not think Vegas and the public realize how good this Stephen F. Austin program is. They just beat LSU and I think they can keep this one close.
Georgia Tech +4.5 for 2 units. Georgia did not look great in this last game out losing to UMASS by 10. GT looks to be playing better and they are one of the better defenses Georgia will have played all season. Georgia is 2-4 against the spread this season and I see that going to 2-5. Josh Okogie coming back for GT is another reason I like GT in this game.
Alabama -7 for 2 units. What some expert capping? Collin Sexton.
There are a few more games I would like to play, but the lines are not open at all 3 of my books so stay tuned for what could be more.
13-9-1 in NBA up 7.86 units
Cavaliers -2 for 2 units at -103. Bucks have lost 3 in a row and now the Cavs come to town. Matthew Dellavedova is still out for the Bucks in this game against his old team. Lebron James has been playing like… well like Lebron James. He has 3 straight triple doubles and he will want to prove that he is still better than the up and comer Giannis. No Snell, Delly, and Teletovic hurts the Bucks spacing and 3-point shooting, which they will need against the Eastern Conference Champions. Cavs win the game and win the season series as a result. Look for Lebron to get his assists up tonight and Love to have a good game with Giannis most likely guarding Lebron.
11-4 in NCAAB up 16.19 units
Valpo +2 for 2 units is the play tonight. It seems that hate for Valpo has gone too far with regards to their 3 game losing skid (Ball state, Purdue, and Northwestern). They should still be favored against a team that has one win against division 1 opponents. I watched the Valpo Northwestern game because I was on Northwestern. Northwestern smacked them, but Valpo should play better against a defensively challenged Santa Clara team.
10-8-1 in NBA up 5.34 units
Celtics -2 for 3 units. No Marcus Morris for the Celtics. Irving is shooting 47.5% from 3 over the past 5 games. Celtics are 12-4 on the road this year. Both these teams have great records against the spread this year. Pacers do not have the defense to deal with the Celtics and it seems this line should be a little higher the more I crunch the numbers. Pacers are 10-6 at home after losing their last two games at home. Celtics beat them by 10 earlier in the year in Indy. Pacers have been playing better but the Celtics are still playing a level above the Pacers.
Knicks +7 for 3 units at -120. Hornets have only beaten two teams in December by 7 or more (Magic and Thunder). This play is dependent on Porzingis playing. Hornets do not have anybody that can guard the Latvian, and this was shown in the first meeting between these two teams when Kristaps took over.
Nuggets +6 for 3 units. Nuggets are not great on the road and the Thunder are better at home, but I still like the Nuggets and the points here. Both of these teams have been inconsistent on the season, although the Thunder have been playing better as of late. No Steven Adams hurts the Thunder in this one and Jokic has his way in the paint. Take the team with the better record getting points.
Warriors ML Rockets ML Parlay Risk 4 units to win 2.6 units – Two best teams in the league against two below average teams here. Do not overthink.