Category: MMA

6-1 on UFC/MMA in 2018 up 9.90 units

16-11-1 in 2019 up 3.93 units

0-0 in 2020

Charles Oliveira at +127 for 2 units. Kevin Lee didn’t make weight. Huge fight for both guys if they want to have a title fight again. Oliveira hasn’t had a title fight in about 5 years. Oliveira will have to control the fight and time his attacks well. I like Oliveira’s motivation, Muay Thai/jiu-jitsu background, and experience to get him the win in this main event.

Johnny Walker at -140 for 2 units. I think the Brazilian will be ready. He had a hiccup last time out. He wins tonight.

Aleksei Kunchenko at +115 for 2 units. The guy is 20-1 at plus money. Take it. He has never been knocked out or submitted in UFC. I like him to win a decision here.

Dvorak/Silva under 2.5 at -110 for 2 units. Dvorak has won in his last 13 fights all before the final bell. Good odds on this one. Value.

Enrique Barzola at -198 for 2 units. A guy I like to fade on twitter has Rani Yahya wining this one. Fade engaged.

6-1 on UFC/MMA in 2018 up 9.90 units

16-9-1 in 2019 up 9.93 units

Gustafsson at -290 for 2 units.

Gustafsson/Smith under 3.5 rounds at -120 for 4 units. Smith is on a short turnaround. He has the power to knock Gustafsson out early, but I think The Mauler’s chin holds up and he gets the win in the second round. Smith went the distance against Jon Jones a few months ago. Gustafsson lost in the 3rd round to Jones in his most recent bout. Gustafsson is the more technical striker and is 4th all-time in UFC light heavyweight knockdowns. If Smith wins, it will be in the first 3 rounds, but I think Gustafsson takes it.

6-1 on UFC/MMA in 2018 up 9.90 units

14-6-1 in 2019 up 13.28 units

Nad Nariman/Mike Grundy under 2.5 at +220 for 1 unit. Neither of these guys have anything to lose in this one. This is Nariman’s 3rd UFC fight (2-0) and Grundy’s first. Grundy is the “bigger” guy for their weight class, but both are around 165-170 lbs. If Grundy can get this fight on the ground, he will win. I just think Nariman will come out swinging and Grundy will be aiming for takedowns. That combo will lead to the under hitting more than these odds imply. 

Dan Ige at -136 for 2 units. Ige has a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and brown belt in Judo. Ige’s nickname is dynamite. His opponent’s nickname is hatchet. Dynamite explodes hatchets, everyone knows that. Don’t let Ige get on top of you…

Joseph Duffy/Marc Diakiese under 2.5 at -104 for 2 units. Marc Diakiese looks better at fighting than his results indicate. He has lost 3 in a row and had this to say when asked about his recent slide..

“I still feel the passion for it. Now I know it’s not just about being tough. It’s about being smart in the cage, as well, and having a team around you, which I’m doing.”

The man is a beast though. Duffy, on the other hand, has submitted or TKO’d his opponent in the first round in half of his UFC fights. Duffy is a black belt in taekwondo, purple belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, and a black belt in Ju-Jitsu. Diakiese has his back against the wall in this one because if he loses, it’ll be tough to book another UFC fight. Diakiese comes out swinging and either gets caught off-guard or gets the win.

Darren Till at -221 for 5 units. Darren Till is the much more consistent fighter when compared to Jorge Masvidal. Till impressed me in his win over Stephen Thompson. This is his first fight back in England since he beat Thompson. Masvidal has a kickboxing background and Till has a muay thai, luta livre background. Till has to win this one if he wants to stay in the welterweight title picture. Masvidal hasn’t won since he beat Cerrone in January of 2017. Till has the power and Masvidal has the pace when it comes to the stand-up game, which is where I think the majority of this fight will take place. Siding with the consistent power on this one.

6-1 on UFC/MMA in 2018 up 9.90 units

6-1 in 2019 up 8.52 units

Lot of plays on heavy favorites tonight. I usually like betting underdogs with value in the UFC, but this seems like an “easy” card to read for the favorites. Not going to overthink it.

Montana De La Rosa at -243 for 3 units. The Fort Worth native, Montana De La Rosa, has won her last 3 fights all by submissions. Her opponent, Nadia “187” Kassem has only 1 UFC win in her career and it was an unanimous decision against the struggling Alex Chambers. Not saying Alex Chambers is struggling to take away from Kassem, just a fact. De La Rosa’s superior experience, ground game, and grappling get her the win.

Lando Vannata at -346 for 10 units. First of all his name is Lando. That’s a plus from the start, shoutout Donald Glover. Vannata is a purple belt in Jiu Jitsu and is trained by Greg Jackson. Jackson has trained Bones Jones, BJ Penn, Holly Holm, and many others. He’s legit. Lando’s last 4 fights have all gone the distance and he drew two and lost two of those 4 fights. He’s hungry for a win. Marcos Mariano is making his lightweight debut tonight, partly because he is Anderson Silva’s friend. ”Groovy” Vannatta is an exciting fighter and I wouldn’t be surprised if he gets performance of the night.

Vannata/Rosa under 1.5 rounds for 2 units. If Vannata wins (I think he will), it will most likely be by a TKO or submission. I expect the more experienced Vannata to take advantage of his opponent’s weaknesses early.

Robert Whittaker at -229 for 4 units. Whittaker is a Black belt in Hapkido,
a black belt in Goju-ryu Karate, and a brown belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu. Hapkido is a badass form of self defense that involves locking people’s joints. The guy is a damn savage. His nickname is “the Reaper” for Christ’s sake. Whittaker hasn’t lost a fight since February of 2014. Kelvin Gastelum does have the small Jiu-Jitsu advantage, but that is where it ends for me. Kelvin doesn’t have the length, experience, or takedown defense to keep up with Whittaker IMO. Gastelum won the Ultimate Fighter 17, but he doesn’t have much of a chance tonight.

6-1 on UFC/MMA in 2018 up 9.90 units

3-1 in 2019 up 1.66 units

Charles Oliveira at -119 for 5 units. Oliveira has 3 performances of the night in a row. He has the most UFC submission wins all time with 12. Jim Miller was like what’s happening to me and then rear-naked choke time. Clay Guida was like what’s happening to me and then guillotine choke time. Charles is a black belt in Jiu-Jitsu. Charles says he will fight 5 times this year. He is an animal. Oliveira deserves a top 5 fight if he wins this one against David Teymur. Oliveira’s grappling and flexibility get him the win. If you want to see Charles take someone bigger to the ground… Scroll/Look up.

Livia Souza at -217 for 3 units. Souza’s opponent came in 7 pounds overweight. The bout will proceed as scheduled though, with Frota forfeiting 40 percent of her purse to Souza. Souza called her opponent unprofessional. This is Sarah Frota’s first UFC fight. She may not have many more sadly.

Magomed Bibulatov/Rogerio Bontorin over 2.5 at -209 for 3 units. If Bibulatov can defend against Bontorin’s rear naked choke, this will go over. Bibulatov got knocked out in the first round of his last bout, but Bontorin doesn’t have the punching power. I am betting Bibulatov’s chin holds up here. Submission defense will be the key to this over and the fight for Magomed.