Sean’s Playoff Hockey and Basketball Predictions – May 14th

Writer: Sean Sloan

Sean’s record 1-1 down 0.29 units

The Stanley Cup Playoffs are proving to be as random as advertised. I want to think Carolina will win tonight. They have shown persistence in this postseason already, having been down 2-0 in the Washington series. I am not going to count them out, but I also am not entirely confident in this team getting it done tonight. I am feeling the under tonight, but more specifically Boston under 2.5, and it rides on the Canes making a goalie change. Curtis McElhinney is the expected starter tonight source. I think this will be a good change of pace for the Canes. McElhinney had a season SV% of .912 which would be way better than Mrazek’s .852 in Game 1 and .76 in Game 2.

I think a new look against the Bruins is needed. In Game 1 Boston had 4 goals on 27 shots and in Game 2 they had 6 goals on 25 shots. Game 1 was a lot closer than the scoreboard, and Game 2… not so much. I don’t see this team rolling over in front of their home crowd. I see the combination of the low volume shots Carolina has allowed and the different look in net holding the Bruins under 2.5 goals. Boston has not scored under 2.5 goals since Game 3 against Columbus, and have only scored under that total 5 times this postseason. On top of that they are averaging 3.4 goals per game in the playoffs. So I understand not tailing on this one…. I am still rolling with it though.

My Play: TT Boston Bruins u2.5 (-105) – 1U

– NBA –

Conference finals matchups are set, and I am ready! Tonight, I expect the Warriors to win, but if there is a chance for Portland in the series, they have strike while KD is out. I am going to be rooting hard for Portland, but am struggling with the spread, and honestly in a gun to my head decision I’d have to go with the Warriors -7.5. I think the best play tonight is the over 220.5. I like both these teams to put up points tonight. Throughout the playoffs Portland has scored an average of 110.25 PPG and allowed 110.75 PPG. On offense, the Warriors have averaged 117.67 PPG this postseason and have allowed 111.83 PPG. I see this one going over the 220.5 total. Using 220.5 as the benchmark for all the games played this postseason Portland would be 7-5 going over and Golden State would be 8-4 on the over. During the regular season these teams faced off 4 times and they split the 4 games at 2 wins a piece. If the O/U line were 220.5 in those 4 matchups, they would be 2-2 on the over as well. The average game total for these two teams in the regular season was 224.25.

My Play: Golden State Warriors/Portland Trail Blazers o220.5 (-110) – 1U

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Avalanche at Sharks Prediction

Writer: Sean Sloan

I’m liking the Sharks tonight. They are 3-0 in elimination games this postseason. This series has been tight, total goals are Avs: 16 Sharks: 17. Both teams are 1-2 on the road, so that favors the home team here. No team has been able to get back to back wins all series, which also points to the Sharks. Pavelski may be making his return, and I think it is a good possibility he does make his return. With Pavelski added to the lineup I think the gives the Sharks an emotional boost, as well as adds their captain into the lineup. On top of Pavelski’s possible bump to the team, the Sharks have been shutting down MacKinnon and Rantanen as of late holding them point-less in Game 5 and Game 6, which I don’t know if they will be able to do in Game 7. The Sharks have outshot the Avs in this series 183-161, with the highest shot total between either team being the last game played in San Jose where the Sharks took 39 shots and got the win in Game 5. The Sharks are averaging 30.5 shots per game compared to the Avs 26.83, and in San Jose the Sharks are averaging 33 shots compared to the Avs 27 shots. I expect this game to be tight as expected in most Game 7s. I see the Sharks outshooting the Avs, similar to Game 5 where the shots were 39-22 in favor of the Sharks. San Jose gets it done in front of a rowdy home crowd.

My Play: San Jose Sharks ML (-140) – 1U

Hockey Szn is Back

45-46-6 on Hockey last season and went up 10.46 units

14-12 on Hockey this season down 0.56 units. 

Shakhtar Soligorsk -3 at -130 for 4 units. Belarus Hockey today. Soligorsk have won their last 6 over Belarus U20 by 3 or more. More of the same today. That is all.

NHL October 11th

13-10-7 on Hockey this season up 0.26 units

Buffalo Sabres at +101 for 2 units. Sabres can make it 3 wins in a row tonight before they hit the road for 5 straight games. Colorado’s power play needs work and they did not look that great on the road last night. Just an eye test bet.

Montreal Canadiens at -111 for 2 units. Kings suck on the road.

St. Louis Blues at -123 for 3 units. Ryan O’Reilly has been killing draws this season. Blues are going for their first win of the season tonight. Flames have only won 2 of their last 10 in St. Louis. The Blues won a game once and it was cool. They do it again tonight.

NHL Hockey October 10th

13-10-7 on Hockey this season up 2.81 units

Senators at +120 for 2 units. The Senators have problems with young defenders and goalkeeping, but their goalie Craig Anderson looked solid in Ottawa’s 5-3 win against Toronto. Ottawa has to do better on power plays, they had a 5-3 advantage against Boston that they did not capitalize on. Michael Neuvirth is still hurt for the Flyers and it showed in their 8-2 loss to the Sharks last night. I’ll take the Senators playing a team without their starting goalie on the second night of a back 2 back.

Capitals at -138 for 2 units. The Golden Knights don’t seem to have the same flair they had for most of last season, although they could find that magic again. Stanley Cup Finals rematch here. Marc-Andre Fleury will be starting tonight instead of tomorrow against his former team, the Penguins. No Tom Wilson in this one. Michal Kempny will be back beside John Carlson so Washington will have their full defense back. Caps have just looked better to start the season. The ice won’t be in the best condition, which I think favors the Caps as well.

Ducks at -155 for 2 units. Coyotes haven’t been able to score this season. Now they face a Ducks team that has not lost yet this season. Ekman-Larsson Oliver has had some fancy stick-work, but it has not translated to a single goal on the season for Arizona. Thought this would be closer to -200 so I will take the perceived value.

Hockey October 9th

12-9-7 on Hockey this season up 4.26 units

Going to start betting NHL today. I like what I have seen from some teams in the first few games of the season. I usually wait a few more games before I bet, but there is some value tonight.

Hurricanes at -195 for 3 units. Canucks allow 4.5 goals a game and now face the leaders of the Eastern Conference so far in this young season. Both of these teams dominated on their home ice when they met last season. The second overall pick in the NHL draft, Andrei Svechnikov became the first player in NHL history born after the year 2000 to score a goal. The Hurricanes have some exciting young players besides Andrei, like Teuvo Teravainen, Sebastian Aho, Lucas Wallmark, and Martin Necas. Canucks have not been able to kill the penalty this season and I expect the Hurricanes to take advantage of that tonight.

Avalanche at +140 for 3 units. Matt Calvert returns to Columbus tonight. Calvert scored the winning goal in the first ever Blue Jackets playoff win against Pittsburgh. Alan Cole helped the Blue Jackets push into the playoffs last season, but he now also plays for Colorado. Colorado is top 5 in goals for and goals allowed this season, while Columbus is outside of the top 10 in both of those important categories. Colorado has a better power play and penalty kill. Colorado is just better so I will gladly take them at plus money.

Hockey October 3rd

12-7-6 on Hockey this season up 13.16 units

Both my Finnish hockey bets pushed last time out. Up 13 units on the season, so I am not going to stop now. NHL starts tomorrow, but for now…. It is all Finland baby. Feel good about these today.

TPS at -103 for 5 units. TPS have not lost on the road this season. Assat has not won at home this season. TPS Turku average over 3 goals a game. Assat averages under 2. Also, Turku has a better defense.

KalPa -1 at +119 for 4 units. KooKoo have the worst defense in the league and have lost all 3 away games this season by 2 or more goals.

HIFK pk at -119 for 4 units. Helsinki have the best offense in the league so I will side with them here. HIFK are good value at this price even against a good Ilves team. HIFK have the top scorer in the league in Erik Thorell.

Hockey October 2nd

12-7-4 on Hockey this season up 13.16 units

Going back to the SM Liiga in Finland. It has been good to me in waiting for the NHL to start. My friend showed me these Finnish overs a while back and I have been making money ever since. Shoutout to Neal. No overs today, just some leans on the outcomes of the games.

Jukurit pk at +121 for 2 units. Jukurit has more points on the season and a better defense. They had some goalie struggles earlier in the season, but those seemed to have been worked out. Jukurit has lost every game at home this season, I think that changes today against JYP. JYP has lost two in a row.

Vaasan Sport pk at +133 for 2 units. Tappara has less points on more games than Vaasan early in this season. Vaasan has not lost a game in regular time at home all season. Just a hunch on this one.

Hockey September 28th

9-7-2 on Hockey this season up 5.36 units

45-46-6 on Hockey last season and went up 10.46 units

Waiting to bet on NHL till the regular season starts. Been watching a little pre-season and I have noticed defense does not seem as important this time of year. Finnish hockey’s regular season is important this time of year though!

HIFK/Pelicans over 5 at -129 for 5 units. HIFK Helsinki have the most goals in the league and they have played a game less than some teams. Erik Thorell has 8 points in 5 games for Helsinki. 3 other players have more than 6 points each in 5 games. This offense is clicking early in the season. Helsinki finished last season strong and they have seemed to pick up right where they left off. 6 of the last 7 domestic games between these two have gone over. Every Helsinki game has gone over this season.

KalPa pk -115 for 2 units. KalPa has lost two in a row, but against better competition than Tappara. KalPa get back on track here.

HIFK pk -120 for 2 units. See above.

TPS pk +116 for 2 units. TPS has 4 players in the top 10 of points in this league. JYP has Eric Perrin. Turku are the better team so this line confuses me a little, but I will bite.

Jukurit pk -121 for 2 units. HPK has lost their last two games by a combined score of 10-2. Jukurit will take advantage of this today.

Hockey September 26th

7-5-2 on Hockey this season up 6.39 units

45-46-6 on Hockey last season and went up 10.46 units

The well seems to be running dry on these Finnish overs, but I am going to give it one more go since I am still up 6 units. Both games were one goal away from the over hitting yesterday.

Pelicans/Jukurit over 5 at -115 for 4 units.

Tappara/Lukko over 5 at +107 for 3 units.

KooKoo/HIFK over 5.5 at -115 for 3 units.

Assat/SaiPa over 5.5 at -103 for 3 units.