NHL October 11th

13-10-7 on Hockey this season up 0.26 units

Buffalo Sabres at +101 for 2 units. Sabres can make it 3 wins in a row tonight before they hit the road for 5 straight games. Colorado’s power play needs work and they did not look that great on the road last night. Just an eye test bet.

Montreal Canadiens at -111 for 2 units. Kings suck on the road.

St. Louis Blues at -123 for 3 units. Ryan O’Reilly has been killing draws this season. Blues are going for their first win of the season tonight. Flames have only won 2 of their last 10 in St. Louis. The Blues won a game once and it was cool. They do it again tonight.

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NHL Hockey October 10th

13-10-7 on Hockey this season up 2.81 units

Senators at +120 for 2 units. The Senators have problems with young defenders and goalkeeping, but their goalie Craig Anderson looked solid in Ottawa’s 5-3 win against Toronto. Ottawa has to do better on power plays, they had a 5-3 advantage against Boston that they did not capitalize on. Michael Neuvirth is still hurt for the Flyers and it showed in their 8-2 loss to the Sharks last night. I’ll take the Senators playing a team without their starting goalie on the second night of a back 2 back.

Capitals at -138 for 2 units. The Golden Knights don’t seem to have the same flair they had for most of last season, although they could find that magic again. Stanley Cup Finals rematch here. Marc-Andre Fleury will be starting tonight instead of tomorrow against his former team, the Penguins. No Tom Wilson in this one. Michal Kempny will be back beside John Carlson so Washington will have their full defense back. Caps have just looked better to start the season. The ice won’t be in the best condition, which I think favors the Caps as well.

Ducks at -155 for 2 units. Coyotes haven’t been able to score this season. Now they face a Ducks team that has not lost yet this season. Ekman-Larsson Oliver has had some fancy stick-work, but it has not translated to a single goal on the season for Arizona. Thought this would be closer to -200 so I will take the perceived value.

Hockey October 9th

12-9-7 on Hockey this season up 4.26 units

Going to start betting NHL today. I like what I have seen from some teams in the first few games of the season. I usually wait a few more games before I bet, but there is some value tonight.

Hurricanes at -195 for 3 units. Canucks allow 4.5 goals a game and now face the leaders of the Eastern Conference so far in this young season. Both of these teams dominated on their home ice when they met last season. The second overall pick in the NHL draft, Andrei Svechnikov became the first player in NHL history born after the year 2000 to score a goal. The Hurricanes have some exciting young players besides Andrei, like Teuvo Teravainen, Sebastian Aho, Lucas Wallmark, and Martin Necas. Canucks have not been able to kill the penalty this season and I expect the Hurricanes to take advantage of that tonight.

Avalanche at +140 for 3 units. Matt Calvert returns to Columbus tonight. Calvert scored the winning goal in the first ever Blue Jackets playoff win against Pittsburgh. Alan Cole helped the Blue Jackets push into the playoffs last season, but he now also plays for Colorado. Colorado is top 5 in goals for and goals allowed this season, while Columbus is outside of the top 10 in both of those important categories. Colorado has a better power play and penalty kill. Colorado is just better so I will gladly take them at plus money.

Hockey October 3rd

12-7-6 on Hockey this season up 13.16 units

Both my Finnish hockey bets pushed last time out. Up 13 units on the season, so I am not going to stop now. NHL starts tomorrow, but for now…. It is all Finland baby. Feel good about these today.

TPS at -103 for 5 units. TPS have not lost on the road this season. Assat has not won at home this season. TPS Turku average over 3 goals a game. Assat averages under 2. Also, Turku has a better defense.

KalPa -1 at +119 for 4 units. KooKoo have the worst defense in the league and have lost all 3 away games this season by 2 or more goals.

HIFK pk at -119 for 4 units. Helsinki have the best offense in the league so I will side with them here. HIFK are good value at this price even against a good Ilves team. HIFK have the top scorer in the league in Erik Thorell.

Hockey October 2nd

12-7-4 on Hockey this season up 13.16 units

Going back to the SM Liiga in Finland. It has been good to me in waiting for the NHL to start. My friend showed me these Finnish overs a while back and I have been making money ever since. Shoutout to Neal. No overs today, just some leans on the outcomes of the games.

Jukurit pk at +121 for 2 units. Jukurit has more points on the season and a better defense. They had some goalie struggles earlier in the season, but those seemed to have been worked out. Jukurit has lost every game at home this season, I think that changes today against JYP. JYP has lost two in a row.

Vaasan Sport pk at +133 for 2 units. Tappara has less points on more games than Vaasan early in this season. Vaasan has not lost a game in regular time at home all season. Just a hunch on this one.

Hockey September 28th

9-7-2 on Hockey this season up 5.36 units

45-46-6 on Hockey last season and went up 10.46 units

Waiting to bet on NHL till the regular season starts. Been watching a little pre-season and I have noticed defense does not seem as important this time of year. Finnish hockey’s regular season is important this time of year though!

HIFK/Pelicans over 5 at -129 for 5 units. HIFK Helsinki have the most goals in the league and they have played a game less than some teams. Erik Thorell has 8 points in 5 games for Helsinki. 3 other players have more than 6 points each in 5 games. This offense is clicking early in the season. Helsinki finished last season strong and they have seemed to pick up right where they left off. 6 of the last 7 domestic games between these two have gone over. Every Helsinki game has gone over this season.

KalPa pk -115 for 2 units. KalPa has lost two in a row, but against better competition than Tappara. KalPa get back on track here.

HIFK pk -120 for 2 units. See above.

TPS pk +116 for 2 units. TPS has 4 players in the top 10 of points in this league. JYP has Eric Perrin. Turku are the better team so this line confuses me a little, but I will bite.

Jukurit pk -121 for 2 units. HPK has lost their last two games by a combined score of 10-2. Jukurit will take advantage of this today.

Hockey September 26th

7-5-2 on Hockey this season up 6.39 units

45-46-6 on Hockey last season and went up 10.46 units

The well seems to be running dry on these Finnish overs, but I am going to give it one more go since I am still up 6 units. Both games were one goal away from the over hitting yesterday.

Pelicans/Jukurit over 5 at -115 for 4 units.

Tappara/Lukko over 5 at +107 for 3 units.

KooKoo/HIFK over 5.5 at -115 for 3 units.

Assat/SaiPa over 5.5 at -103 for 3 units.

Hockey September 25th

7-3-2 on Hockey this season up 14.39 units

45-46-6 on Hockey last season and went up 10.46 units

You know what it is. NHL hasn’t started their regular season, but I still have some Finnish overs for you. If you haven’t bet these before, start today. I am up 14 units already in this young season and I expect that to continue today. My book has the overs set at 4.5. That is a whole goal lower than what I think they should be set at.

Jukurit/TPS over 4.5 at -134 for 5 units. Every Jukurit game this season has pushed or gone over. The last 4 TPS Turku games have gone over. 3 of the past 4 meetings between these two teams have gone over. Both teams are averaging well over 3 goals a game. Juhana Aho did not look all that great as goalie last time out for Jukurit. Run it.

HPK/Karpat over 4.5 at -126 for 3 units. HPK’s defense looked awful last time out giving up 6 goals. Karpat did not get a goal last time out, but Hameenlinna may be just the anecdote they need to get some goals. Don’t feel as confident with this one as Jukurit, but they are Finnish overs so I am always confident.

Last time I didn’t put this quote at the bottom and I had my first losing day of the season in hockey, so call it superstition, but Aladdin said it best, “Do you trust me?”

Hockey September 21st

7-2-1 on Hockey this season up 18.39 units

Overs this week in Finland are 6-1-2. The over lines will eventually go up to 5.5 or 6. Going to keep riding them. Here are the two I like today.

SaiPa/Pelicans over 5 at -127 for 4 units. SaiPa have former Penn State player David Goodwin on their team. Goodwin has two goals and three assists in three games. SaiPa has one of the better offenses in the league in this young season. Every game this season has gone over for the Pelicans (only 2). Seems like an easy one here.

Karpat/Jukurit over 5 at -103 for 3 units. Karpat have struggled to get much offense going this season, but that could easily change today. Jukurit have scored four goals in each of their last two games. Just have a hunch about this one.

Hockey September 19th

6-2 on Hockey this season up 14.79 units

45-46-6 on Hockey last season and went up 10.46 units

2-0 yesterday. Not going to quit betting Finnish overs now. It is too easy. I’ve said it twice now, but I will say it again, I am not going to stop till they raise these overs to 5.5 or 6. Some books are not offering the JYP/Jukurit over which is fishy. I would stay away from the Hameenlinna/Assat over because neither team there is averaging over two goals a game.

Tappara/KooKoo over 5 at -110 for 4 units. KooKoo has given up 13 goals in two games. 13! Tappara has struggled to score this season, but KooKoo is just the cure they need.

Ilves/SaiPa over 5 at -130 for 5 units. SaiPa has played 2 games this season and those 2 games have seen 22 goals. 22! Ilves has played 2 games this season and those 2 games have seen 10 goals. SaiPa plays up and down high scoring hockey. This line should be 6 goals. Let it ride.

I’ve quoted Aladdin thrice now but he said it best, “Do you trust me?”