MLB June 13th

92-83 on MLB last season and went up 34.31 units

19-18 on MLB this season down 5.11 units

Tigers -1.5 at +123 for 4 units. Matthew Boyd has lost his last two starts, but has only allowed 6 runs combined over his last 4 starts. Homer Bailey has given up 7 runs over his past two starts for the Royals. Last time Boyd pitched here in Omaha, he pitched a complete-game, four-hit shutout, helping Oregon State beat Indiana 1-0 in an elimination game. Detroit gets back 2 back wins for the first time since May today.

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MLB June 12th

92-83 on MLB last season and went up 34.31 units

18-15 on MLB this season up 0.77 units

The White Sox have some exciting young talent…

Cardinals -1.5 at -116 for 2 units. Miles Mikolas is only 4-6 on the year, but he has had a quality start in 6 of his last 7 starts. Jordan Yamamoto is starting for the first time for the Marlins. Yamamoto was received by Miami when they traded Christian Yelich away.. Guess who won that deal? Nobody on Miami hits Mikolas well and the Cardinals bats are getting hot. Cards should win easy again.

Astros at -131 for 2 units. Pitchers duel. Brandon Woodruff is 8-1. Verlander is 9-2. Verlander gave up 3 Earned Runs in his last start, but that is because AJ Hinch took him out too soon in my opinion. Woodruff has given up 3 or more runs in each of his last 2 starts. Astros are hitting the ball better over the past 10 days and I think Verlander will go deep into this game.

Tigers at +122 for 2 units. This game is a coin flip. You take a 50/50 shot at plus money.

Padres -1.5 at +125 for 2 units. As long as the Padres don’t send Trey Wingenter out of the bullpen, they will win. Shaun Anderson, the starter for the Giants tonight, gives up more than a hit per inning. San Francisco’s bats have been cold. Padres are the better team with the better starter.

Padres/Astros/Braves/Cards -1.5 Parlay risking 2 units to win 15 units. Braves should win batting against Mitch Keller and his 13.50 ERA. Mike Soroka is 7-1 for the Braves this year. I wrote about the other teams above.

MLB June 10th – David Ortiz is Recovering from Being Shot

David Ortiz was shot in the back in his native Dominican Republic on Sunday. The Boston Red Sox are paying for him to be transported by air to Massachusetts for treatment. David Ortiz is one of my top 5 favorite players of all-time. I’ll never forget being at his two home-run game against the Athletics in April 2012.. or his many post-season runs. The video of his shooter getting beat up is NSFW.. but I will post it here

Wild scenes in the Dominican Republic. Ortiz has done a lot for his home country, but it is never enough for some people. The rumor is they were trying to rob him. Sad. The suspect is in custody. Onto lighter topics..

92-83 on MLB last season and went up 34.31 units

17-14 on MLB this season up 1.10 units

Tampa Bay Rays at -180 for 3 units. Charlie Morton is 7-0 this season. Morton has one of the highest velocities on average in the MLB this season. He’s got the stuff. Tanner Anderson, the starter for Oakland tonight, had a 6.26 ERA in AAA. Now he plays one of the better MLB teams so far this season. Anderson went to Harvard.. so at least he has that going for him. What a nerd.

Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ at +100 for 2 units. LAD has covered -1.5 in Hyun-Jin Ryu’s last 6 starts. Ryu has one of the best strikeout cutters in baseball. Griffin Canning is starting for the Angels. He is a rookie and the blue team’s lineup should feast on him. If you missed Max Muncy making MadBum mad last time out, check out the instagram. It is a pretty awesome homer and interaction. Muncy hit the ball about 430 feet into the Bay and told MadBum “to get it out of the ocean”. Muncy may not know the geography of the Bay very well… but he yacked that ball so well he can call it the ocean for all I care.

MLB June 8th

92-83 on MLB last season and went up 34.31 units

16-14 on MLB this season down 1.19 units

Dodgers -1.5 at -131 for 3 units. Hill held the Phillies runless in his last start. Hill is is 7-2 with a 2.26 ERA in 14 career starts against the Giants. Dodgers can’t lose 3 in a row right? Hill is getting healthier and healthier and I like him to continue his upward trajectory today. Jeffrey Alan Samardzija, the former Notre Dame football All-American, did not look good in his last start against the Marlins..

MLB June 7th

92-83 on MLB last season and went up 34.31 units

16-12 on MLB this season up 2.81 units

Cardinals at +112 for 2 units. Bet on the Cards the last time Miles Mikolas pitched. That game was against the Cubs. This game is against the Cubs. Mikolas allowed 1 earned run in that game. Mikolas has had a quality start in 6 of his last 7 starts. Cole Hamels gets the start opposite of Mikolas again. Hamels looked solid against St. Louis last time… This should be another close game.. +112 is decent value.

Tigers at +125 for 2 units. Hate betting against the Twins, but Matthew Boyd. Boyd is only 5-4, but he has 97 strikeouts in 77.2 innings pitched this season. The Twins have to come back to Earth sometime right?

MLB June 6th

92-83 on MLB last season and went up 34.31 units

13-11 on MLB this season up 2.36 units

The big news is that the Cubs signed Kimbrel to a 3-year deal. Chicago needed a strong closer if they wanted to make another World Series run. They couldn’t have signed him in the Winter without giving up draft picks, but now there is no “penalty” for signing Kimbrel. 54 Million doll hairs gets them one of the best closers in baseball. Kimbrel had more than a couple shaky innings in Boston’s World Series run.. but at the end of the day he got the job done. The Cubs make the first big move of the season.

Rays -1.5 at -123 for 2 units. Gonna keep riding the hot team. I was unable to write yesterday, but the Rays were my only bet and they won.

Red Sox at -141 for 2 units. Boston has scored 8 runs in each of their last 3 games. The Royals have lost 5 in a row.

Braves at -120 for 7 units. Atlanta hits right-handers better than Pittsburgh. Both starters today are righties. I have been fading Chris Archer all year. Mike Foltynewicz has not been the best pitcher for the Braves this season, but St. Louis did not earn a run off of him in his last road start. Mike has at least 7 strikeouts in his last two starts. Chris Archer has given up at least 3 earned runs in each of his last 6 starts. Braves will be able to get on base against Archer, here’s to hoping they get the timely hits when needed.

Rangers/Brewers Parlay risking 2 units to win 3.4 units. Marlins and Orioles suck. That is all.

MLB June 4th – Lot of Lopsided Matchups

92-83 on MLB last season and went up 34.31 units

11-9 on MLB this season up 7.76 units

Twins at +121 for 3 units. Twins just won 3 of 4 against a solid Rays team, now they play the struggling I-words. The Twins have played one less game than Cleveland, but have 48 more homers. Devin Smeltzer looked good in his first career start against Milwaukee last week, allowing 0 runs in 6 innings. Smeltzer starts tonight for Minnesota. Minnesota has the best record on the road in the league at 21-9. Good value here. Shane Bieber allowed 3 homers in his last start for Cleveland.

Giants +1.5 at -167 for 2 units. Bumgarner Vs. Syndergaard. These two star pitchers have eerily similar stats this season when it comes to WHIP, hits, strikeouts, inning pitched, home runs given up, 3-pointers made, and wins. The Giants have won 3 of their last 4, while the Mets have lost 4 of their last 5. San Francisco’s bats seemed to have woken up against Baltimore.. here’s to hoping that continues.

Dodgers 1.5 at -135 for 4 units. LA’s bats are still hot and now they get their best starter this season on the mound, Hyun-Jin Ryu, against their rival Diamondbacks. Ryu was named National League Pitcher of the Month in May. Taylor Clarke only pitched two innings for Arizona in his last start. Bellinger and Muncy will be back in the lineup tonight. Clarke may struggle again tonight..

Rays -1.5 at -167 for 6 units. Detroit’s lineup is a career 1-11 against Blake Snell. Snell has had 3 straight quality starts. The Rays scored 7 runs in the last 3 innings they played.. in a loss to the red-hot Twins. Mercer, Cabrera, and Harrison are still out for Detroit. Rays are heavily favored for a reason, they get back on the winning track tonight. Tampa has the better starter, bullpen, bats, and defense..

MLB June 3rd – Dodgers at Diamondbacks and Phillies at Padres Predictions

92-83 on MLB last season and went up 34.31 units

10-8 on MLB this season up 7.44 units

Philadelphia Phillies -1½ at +113 for 4 units. The Phillies have won 5 of their last 6 games by 2 runs or more when Aaron Nola starts. Nola is starting tonight. This is the first time Bryce Harper and Manny Machado will face each other.. the two most expensive free agents of 2018-19 off-season. I am just glad neither went to the Yankees. Both teams have better records at this point in the season than they did last year, partly because of their free agent signings. MLB attendance is down about 1.5% this season compared to last year, but Philly and San Diego’s (which of course in German means whale’s vagina) attendance numbers are up. Nola is 1-0 at Petco Park with a 2.25 ERA in two starts. Aaron Nola and the Philly’s ability to get on base get them the win in Game 1 of the Free Agent World Series.

Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ at +108 for 4 units. The Dodgers are on their longest winning streak of the season at 5 games. They lost 6 games in a row earlier in the year, but they hot now. Justin Turner should be back in the lineup for LA. Robbie Ray is starting for the Diamondbacks. Ketel Marte has 5 homers in his last 9 games for the LA. Freese has homered in his last two games. Bellinger is on a 10 game hit streak… Comparable starting pitchers, but the Dodgers have the hotter bats..

MLB June 1st

92-83 on MLB last season and went up 34.31 units

9-7 on MLB this season up 9.34 units

White Sox at +102 for 3 units. Ivan Nova and Jefry Rodriquez have both been below average this season. Nova, Chicago’s starter, allowed only 1 earned run in his last start. Rodriquez allowed 6 earned runs in his last start. Indians have a losing record on the road. White Sox are on a win streak.. good play here at plus money. White Sox have the hotter bats and hotter pitcher.

Brewers at -182 for 2 units. Woodruff has allowed 2 or less earned runs in his last 6 starts for the Brew Crew. Thought Brewers would be around -215. Taking the value.

 

MLB May 31st

92-83 on MLB last season and went up 34.31 units

7-6-1 on MLB this season up 6.21 units

I am on my 3rd New Belgium Voodoo Ranger as of writing this, but I punched my plays in before I started drinking. So you’re still in sober, safe hands.. sorta. The Rays just keep winning. The Yankees just keep getting rained out. The Twitter world wants longer nets for more coverage from foul balls. The Facebook world wants people to not pay for nice tickets and take their kids into the danger zone. Quite the raging debate. Seems like extended nets are a simple solution, but asking baseball to change is like asking Draymond Green not to talk junk.

Brewers at -116 for 4 units. Chachin has allowed a lot of baserunners, but Archer has allowed even more when divided by innings pitched and averaged out math blah blah. Yelich has 21 homers already.. 21! Brewers hit 4 homers yesterday without Yelich. Two starting pitchers that have been underperforming, but I like the Brewers today.

Cardinals at -124 for 4 units. Yu Darvish has struggled with control all season. Today he faces the strong St. Louis lineup. Kris Bryant will get cussed at today. Miles Mikolas had 9 Ks and no walks in his last outing for St. Louis. Darvish and Mikolas have similar season stats, but Mikolas has the upper hand lately.

Rays at -119 for 3 units. Rays are hot.