UNC/Duke

70-62-2 on NCAAB last season and went up 8.95 units

20-20-1 this season up 0.34 units

St Bonaventure/NC State/Ohio State/Auburn/Duke Parlay risking 3 units to win 4.55 units. Boston College doesn’t have the ball movement or consistent shooting to keep up with NC State. State has to win these games if they want to make the NCAA tournament. La Salle doesn’t have the depth to deal with the St. Bonaventure forwards. Northwestern has lost 6 in a row and seems to have given up on the season, Ohio State still has a lot to play for at home. Auburn’s high-powered offense goes up against Arkansas’s high-powered offense. Auburn has the defensive advantage. Arkansas did beat LSU on the road, but Auburn will be too much for them.

Duke has the better defense, but both teams have great offenses. If UNC makes their 3s, they will win. Coby White, Kenny Williams, Luke Maye, and Cam Johnson are all solid from deep. Duke has an advantage down low that they should take advantage of. The spread of Duke -9 seems way too high, but I still think they win. When Roy was asked what he thought about Obama being in attendance for this game… “I’ve said hello to famous people watching games at Duke. 2 Chainz was there last year. I had no idea who he was. He reached his hand down, shook my hand and said, “2 Chainz.” I missed a great opportunity to respond, “3 Ringz.”

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141 College Basketball Games on this Saturday

70-62-2 on NCAAB last season and went up 8.95 units

19-18-1 this season up 10.08 units

Gonzaga -15 at -122 for 8 units. This line should be 22. That is all.

Florida State -7 at -110 for 4 units. Florida State has won 6 in a row. Georgia Tech has lost 6 in a row. GT lost to FSU by 10 already this month. Florida State has too much offense for GT. Jose Alvarado has been ice cold for Tech. He could get it going today, but if he doesn’t, GT could lose by twice this number.

Auburn/Michigan/Texas/Florida State/Rhode Island Parlay risking 6 units to win 11.02 units. Vanderbilt hasn’t won a conference game all season and now they go up against Auburn’s high-powered offense. Auburn has lost two in a row, but they get back to winning today. Michigan is also coming off of a loss. Maryland struggles against strong defensive teams, I expect that to continue today against Michigan. Texas has been underwhelming under Shaka Smart this season, but Oklahoma St. is worse. Rhode Island is just a Fordham Fade. Fordham is 1-10 in the A-10.

College Basketball Tuesday – Blue Bloods and Steph Curry’s School

70-62-2 on NCAAB last season and went up 8.95 units

19-17-1 this season up 15.08 units

Let me start of by saying I hate Kyle Guy. I don’t like that his last name is Guy. I don’t like that he always balls out against my schools (VCU and UNC). I don’t like the way he yells; however, I do like that he won me money last night. Coby White is so fun to watch as a Tar Heel fan, but UVA’s defense coupled with Little and Johnson getting ankle injuries was too much to overcome. UNC’s main problem in the game was a lack of inside presence and perimeter defense. Roy has time to fix this.

Duke/Kentucky/Davidson Parlay risking 5 units to win 5.11 units. Can Rick Pitino take any credit for how well this Louisville team is playing? Dick Vitale seems to think Rick should get another coaching job…. Dick Vitale may want to die screaming on a different hill. Louisville does have some good wins this season, like against UNC, but Duke is a tough matchup for them. Jordan Nwora is great for the Cardinals, but Duke excels at taking away your best player.

Lost in all the Zion talk, is how good of a job Coach K has done in handling this team. Duke out-coaches and out-athletes Louisville tonight. Duke holds opponents to under 30% shooting from the field. Louisville holds opponents to a lot higher number of 41.3% shooting from the field. That stat embodies the difference between these two teams.

Tremont Waters has been going off for LSU and Will Wade this season. Calipari recruited Waters, but he chose Georgetown and then switched to LSU. The Tigers have been an offensive machine in the last few weeks; however, Kentucky has the defense to slow them down enough for the win. PJ Washington has been dominate for Kentucky of late and I expect that to continue tonight. I hate that I think Duke and Kentucky are the two best teams in basketball. One of them will win the Championship for sure. (Jinx has been activated).

Davidson is tied with VCU atop the A-10, but they are only 4-4 on the road this season. Fordham is last in the A-10. Donald Trump’s first university attended, Fordham, has one win in conference play, and that was against fellow bottom-dweller UMass. Jon Axel Gudmundsson put Davidson on his back in their close win against Umass. Davidson comes ready to play in this one and gets the win.

 

College Basketball – Virginia at North Carolina

70-62-2 on NCAAB last season and went up 8.95 units

18-17-1 this season up 11.38 units

Virginia -1 at -108 for 4 units. North Carolina is on a solid win streak, but they have not played the best ACC schools during that streak. Miami, VT, and NC State have been stumbling of late. Coby White is going to have play a great game if UNC wants to win. That is a tall task for a freshman against UVA’s great defense.

UVA has to slow the game down and not turn the ball over. Sounds easy, but it is hard vs the Tar Heels. De’Andre Hunter is a tough guard for any team that doesn’t have Zion Williamson. Hunter will have a solid game. Virginia’s 3-point defense will be a key also. If UVA wasn’t coming off a tough loss to Duke 48 hours ago they would be more heavily favored. The step up in competition, coupled with UVA’s ability to slow the game down effectively, make life difficult for UNC tonight.

21 of the Top 25 Teams Play on this Massive College Saturday

70-62-2 on NCAAB last season and went up 8.95 units

14-16-1 this season up 0.04 units

Let me start of by saying the Harvard/Columbia triple overtime game last night was awesome. Columbia made a 3 as time expired to send it to overtime. Then Bryce Aiken did a Marcus Paige impression and drilled a double pump 3 to go the second overtime. Aiken finished with a career-high 44 points and a bloody knee. The Ivy league does the “cool” back 2 back thing so both teams play again today. Wild.

Clemson -2 for 5 units. VT is down to a 6 man team. They are running on fumes. Clemson blows them out in the second half. Sorry Hokies.

St. Bonaventure +2.5 for 1 unit. VCU struggles on the road. De’Riante Jenkins seemed to turn it up another level for VCU in the second half of their game vs GW on Wednesday. Jenkins is the best recruit VCU ever signed, so it is nice to see him start stepping up. This game can go either way, take the points.

Villanova +2 for 2 units. Markus Howard for Marquette and Phil Booth for Nova are the two leading candidates for the 2020 election. Nah just playing. It’s Big East player of the year, but I wouldn’t be surprised at this rate if anybody runs for President. Marquette lost by 1 to St. Johns last time out. Howard played poorly in that one. Villanova know how to win close games and are the hotter team.

Gonzaga -17 for 3 units. I’m 3-1 on Gonzaga bets this year. St. Mary’s doesn’t have the athleticism they have had in past years. Gonzaga’s depth of talent will show up in the second half as they pull away for the 21 point win.

Florida State -2 for 3 units. Mfiondu Kabengele, Terance Mann, and Phil Cofer will do enough at home to beat Louisville. FSU has won 4 in a row in the ACC, that continues today.

NBA Trade Deadline Megathread

The NBA takes no time taking over the news cycle from the NFL, hell they tried to take it over during Super Bowl week with the Porzingis trade. The Hornets haven’t got Gasol as of writing this, but if they do… all 17 of us Charlotte fans will be happy with new GM Mitch. Onto the moves that have happened. Post will be updated frequently.

I not going to include any trades that happened prior to Chicago’s Melo/MCW trades last week. I am already mad I talked about MCW for this long.

The Knicks traded Kristaps Porzingis, Tim Hardaway Jr., Courtney Lee, and Trey Burke to the Mavs for Wesley Matthews, Dennis Smith Jr., DeAndre Jordan, a 2021 first, and a 2023 protected first. The Mavs get a European big man that can shoot. Their fans now get to be weened off of Dirk with Luka and the Latvian Gang Banger. Not too shabby. The Knicks just keep on Knicking, unless they know they are getting a great FA this summer.. I don’t get this trade for them. Dallas are set up for the future. The Knicks situation seems murky. This is honestly a fair trade in my eyes, but I do think Dallas comes out on top 5 years down the line. If you took the best parts of Frank Ntilikina, Dennis Smith Jr., and Emmanuel Mudiay, you’d have one of the best young guards in the league. Sadly for the Knicks, that isn’t possible.

The Cavaliers traded Rodney Hood to the Blazers for Wade Baldwin IV, Nik Stauskas, a 2021 2nd round pick, and a 2023 2nd round pick. The Blazers get a little better with this trade and move a little more over the luxury tax. Hood will have to compete with Layman and Harkless for playing time. They may make one more trade because Harkless almost seems redundant now. Stauskas can shoot. He played well in November/December, but his defense pushed him out of the lineup. Stauskas should get more playing time in Cleveland. This is a good trade for both teams, Portland gets a scoring wing, while Cleveland gets younger.

The Cavs trade Iman Shumpert, Nik Stauskas, Wade Baldwin IV to the Rockets for Brandon Knight, Marquese Chriss, the 2019 Houston lottery protected 1st round pick, while the Kings get Alec Burks, and a 2nd round pick to make the money work. This is a great trade for the Rockets. Stauskas can play Ryan Anderson and just stand there and drill 3s. Iman adds some needed wing defense and shooting off the bench. The Kings lose Shumpert and add Burks. Sacramento gets a little more offense and a little less defense, but Shumpert would have been redundant with Harrison Barnes coming to town (See Below). Chriss is only 21 and can score, but essentially this means the Cavs get another first and a young player for Rodney Hood. The only downside is they have to pay B Knight, but they have to pay someone… I just wish it was me.

The Pistons trade Reggie Bullock to the Lakers for Sviatoslav Mykhailiuk and a 2021 2nd round pick. Sviatoslav Mykhailiuk may be a great player in 3 years, but Lebron may be playing for the Heat again by then. Bullock adds some much needed 3-point shooting to the LA lineup. I love this trade for the Lakers. As an UNC fan, this makes watching Lebron dishing it out, instead of going for a dunk, a little more bearable. It is not easy staying up to 2 AM because you bet on Lebron’s team to watch him pass it to Lance Stephenson in the 4th Q. Trust me. This will be an easier pill to swallow. It isn’t Anthony Davis, but Bullock’s shooting should help the Lakers make the playoffs.

The Clippers trade Tobias Harris, Boban Marjanovic, and Mike Scott to the 76ers for Landry Shamet, Wilson Chandler, Mike Muscala, a 2020 lottery protected 1st round pick, the 2021 Miami 1st round pick, a 2021 2nd round pick, and a 2023 PHI 2nd round pick. 76ers starting lineup was already one of the best in the league, now it gets even stronger. This trade would be perfect for Philly if the got P Bev in it too as the 76ers need some guard depth/defense. The Clippers have now turned Blake Griffin into 3 firsts and 3 seconds. Pretty damn good business for them. Another solid trade for both teams IMO.

The Suns trade Ryan Anderson to the Heat for Tyler Johnson and Wayne Ellington. Ryan Anderson scored 56 points for Phoenix. The Suns thought they could make the playoffs at the beginning of the year. Now they are trading for the future, which is the right move. Ellington will be waived. Ellington’s shooting will be picked up by a playoff team. Johnson is 26 and shoots a decent average from 3-point range. Trading Anderson for a potential backcourt-mate to Booker is a good trade.

The Bulls trade Jabari Parker, Bobby Portis, and a 2023 2nd round pick to the Wizards for Otto Porter Jr. The Wizards trade a young, valuable 3 and D player for two one-dimensional 4s, but their owner gets to save 5 million dollars on the luxury tax. Hooray! John Wall slipped during his recovery and tore his Achilles. Also, he has an infection. He won’t be back till after the all-star break next season at the earliest. Sad to say, but John Wall’s explosiveness may never be seen again..

The Mavericks trade Harrison Barnes to the Kings for Justin Jackson and Zac Randolph. This trade is bigger than it appears at first glance because with the departure of Harrison’s contract, the Mavs can sign a max player this summer. Porzingis, Doncic, and a max player like KD make Dallas one of the best teams in the league next season IMO. The Kings get a valuable piece for their playoff push at the cost of a young wing in Jackson. If Jackson can get a little better at shooting from deep, this trade gets even better for Dallas. I love Zac Randolph, but he is nothing more than an expiring contract in this trade, although he could get some of DeAndre’s minutes.

The Pistons trade Wesley Johnson to the Bulls for Markieff Morris and a 2023 second round pick. I’ll take “NBA trade I don’t care about” for 1000 Trebek.

The Bucks receive Nikola Mirotic and send Thon Maker to Detroit, while Detroit sends Stanley Johnson, Jason Smith, and 4 second round picks to the Pelicans. New Orleans gets the picks they wanted! Bucks get a shooting big that adds a lot of spacing for their already solid offense.

The Clippers trade Avery Bradley to the Grizzlies for Garrett Temple and JaMychal Green. I am confused on why either team made this trade. I thought the Grizzlies would trade Conley after making this trade, but they didn’t. I like Green and Bradley though so good trade for both teams I guess..

The Grizzlies trade Marc Gasol to the Raptors for Jonas Valanciunas, Delon Wright, CJ Miles, and a second round pick. Raptors get better at the 5. If you’re keeping track, the Bucks, 76ers, and Raptors all got better starting fives at the deadline. Boston did not. The Grizz get some serviceable players for one of their franchise centerpieces. I would have wanted a better young player than they got or a first round pick for Gasol; however, I really like Gasol so I may be inflating his value. Good trade Toronto.

The Lakers trade Ivica Zubac and Michael Beasley to the Clippers for Mike Muscala. Lakers need 3-point shooting and spacing around Lebron. They did that this deadline with Bullock and Muscala. Not sexy trades, but they will help LA with their playoff push. KCP and Lance can’t be your only deep threats in the West. I don’t know if I love or hate Lance’s guitar strum celebration for making 3s…

The 76ers trade Markelle Fultz to the Magic for Jonathan Simmons, the 2020 OKC top-20-protected 1st round pick, and a second round pick. Fultz has had one of the weirder NBA careers in recent memory. He loves Chick-fil-a, but can’t shoot. Let’s draft him with the 1st pick. That OKC pick may be the most traded draft pick of all-time. Someone fact check that for me. The Magic get a number 1 pick they can sit on and wait to get healthy for no real cost. The end of an error for Philly.

College Basketball Saturday – Lotta Virginia Hoops

70-62-2 on NCAAB last season and went up 8.95 units

13-13-1 this season up 2.29 units

George Mason +8 for 3 units. I bet against GMU once this season and they really surprised me with how well they played. Coming into the season I did not think Mason would do this well. They struggled a little in non-conference, but are tied atop the A-10 right now. The Siegel center is never an easy place to play. VCU has one of the best home-courts in the country. VCU lost at Rhode Island. GMU dominated at Rhode Island. Basketball is a game of matchups. Marcus Evans and De’Riante Jenkins are solid for VCU, but 9 points is a lot in a rivalry game.

Virginia -19 for 3 units. UVA has one loss on the year and that was a 72-70 loss to Dook. Miami has lost their last 4 games. Virginia has the best defense in the country. Miami’s defense has about 13 lapses a game. UVA is 16-4 ATS. Miami is 6-14 ATS. This line should be above 20.

Old Dominion -12 for 3 units. Rice doesn’t have the size or defense to keep up with ODU on the road. BJ Stith is a fun guard to watch for the Monarchs. He averages almost 8 rebounds a game as a guard.

Ohio State/Florida State/Dayton/Kansas/Charleston/IPFW Parlay risking 2 units to win 6.75 units. I always seem to get Kansas games wrong this year. Kansas, nobody likes a parlay killer.

Friday College Basketball – Michigan at Iowa and Davidson at St. Bonaventure

70-62-2 on NCAAB last season and went up 8.95 units

12-12-1 this season up 3.09 units

Michigan and Davidson are road teams tonight that are not favored by enough. The public has moved the lines already, so they are more favored than when the lines opened. Vegas made a small mistake in both these games IMO. Michigan should be favored by 8 or 9, Davidson should be favored by 5 or 6.

Davidson at -125 for 4 units. Davidson has the best player on the court in Kellan Grady. The kid was recruited by some big schools, but chose to go to the school his favorite player played at (Steph Curry). St Bonaventure lost a lot of experience from last year and that shows in their 6-12 record. Bonaventure has won two in a row, but those games were against bottom of the A-10 teams Richmond and UMass. Davidson wins on the road.

Michigan -5 at -107 for 4 units. Iowa has lost two in a row and is 0-2 against top 10 teams this season (Michigan State twice). Iowa has a solid offense, but Michigan’s defense is one of the best they will have faced. Defense travels. If you haven’t seen Ignas Brazdeikis play this season tune in. He is a great freshman that doesn’t play for Dook.

College Basketball – Gonzaga at BYU

NBA Trade Deadline, Soccer Transfer Deadline, and Super Bowl coverage will all be posted in the next 48 hours. Stay tuned. 

70-62-2 on NCAAB last season and went up 8.95 units

11-12-1 this season up 0.48 units

Gonzaga -13 at -115 for 3 units. The Zags have put up crazy good numbers this season, averaging 91.4 points and over 18.5 assists. They have beat WCC opponents by an average of 30 points a game. BYU is a WCC opponent. Rui Hachimura is good. BYU doesn’t have a standout player like they have in the past (Jimmer or Kyle Collinsworth). Yoeli Childs is a great forward for BYU, but he still has a lot to do to be on Collinsworth or Jimmer’s level. BYU doesn’t have the depth of talent to keep up with Gonzaga.. even at home.

 

Friday College Basketball

70-62-2 on NCAAB last season and went up 8.95 units

9-11-1 this season up 0.16 units

I usually don’t bet on road teams like this, but I like all three of these spots. Buffalo, Butler, and Michigan have all been solid teams all season.

Buffalo at -385 for 4 units. Kent State doesn’t have the depth, size, or defense to stop Buffalo. It is that simple.

Michigan at -219 for 3 units. Michigan is 9-10 ATS this season, but they have only lost one game straight up. Indiana has lost 5 in a row and would require a huge upset to beat this Final Four bound Michigan team. Ignas Brazdeikis is fun to watch. If you watch ESPN you wouldn’t believe it, but there are great freshmen that don’t play for Duke. Ignas is one of them.

Butler +2.5 at -105 for 2 units. Butler and Creighton are similar teams, but I’ll take the points. Butler is one of the best defensive teams Creighton has faced this season. Kamar Baldwin struggled for Butler against Villanova, but he has been great this season. I expect him to bounce back here. This will be a close game, but if one team can blow out the other, it’ll be Butler.