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Boxing Day Soccer Predictions

92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units

64-61-12 on Soccer in 2019 down 26.51 units

Arsenal/Club Brugge Parlay risking 4 units to win 5.5 units. Club Brugge have only lost to PSG and Real Madrid at home this season. Yes, that is correct. Waregem just lost to the worst team in the league and now they travel to face the best team. Not going to overthink that one.

Am I the only one that thinks Mikel Arteta looks like a toe-shoe wearing lesbian?

Bournemouth have a lot of injuries, even more so than Arsenal. Bournemouth have lacked teeth in attack losing 6 of their last 7 league games. Arsenal took the Emery out of Arsenal, but they still haven’t taken the Arsenal out of Arsenal. I think the Gunners get back on track today. Pepe, Aubameyang, and Ozil should feature. Mikel Arteta has his work cut out for him, but he thinks Xhaka is terrific so that’s a start I guess.

Tottenham at -192 for 3 units. Tottenham have won every match they were a -150 favorite in or more since Mourinho took charge. Brighton have only beat Arsenal and Watford on the road this season. Son is out with a red card suspension, but Alli, Kane, Lucas, and others should be enough for Tottenham. Brighton have struggled to keep clean sheets. I expect Tottenham to outscore Brighton today.

Manchester United at -290 for 3 units. Man U looked bad against Watford, but I expect a bounce-back here. Manchester are still unbeaten at home since September. Rashford likes playing at home. Pogba is back healthy. His creativity has been missed at times. These teams are equal on points in the table, the Red Devils move ahead today.

Dortmund at Hoffenheim Prediction

92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units

64-60-12 on Soccer in 2019 down 18.51 units

Dortmund at -115 for 8 units. Dortmund’s offense has been clicking lately. I wanted to wait to post this to make sure Sancho is starting, as Reus is out with an injury. Hoffenheim won their last match, but were struggling before that. Hoffenheim give up too many goals and Dortmund will capitalize. Dortmund’s defense let up not 1 but 2 terrible defensive mistakes that led to Werner being 1-1 with the goalkeeper and scoring. Borussia will tighten it up a little on defense and do enough on offense for the win. Also, Hoffenheim gave up a lot of chances to Union Berlin that Berlin did not take advantage of. Dortmund will take advantage of these situations.

Soccer December 17th – Bundesliga Action and Predictions

92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units

63-57-11 on Soccer in 2019 down 13.32 units

Going with the home favorites, Augsburg, Dortmund, and Werder Bremen in Bundesliga today.

Dortmund at +128 for 5 units. 2 of the top 3 in the Bundesliga meet here today. Leipzig have won their past 6 matches in the league and are league leaders for a reason. Reus and Sancho are better than any players Leipzig have played lately. Dortmund have been scoring a lot of second-half goals, are great at home, and can lessen the gap for the league lead with a win. Timo Werner is second in the league in goals, but I like Dortmund’s offense to have their say today. Dortmund’s midfield is injured, but the “backups” looked great over the weekend.

Augsburg at -123 for 5 units. Dusselforf gave up a lot of goals to Dortmund, Bayern, and Leipzig recently. Augsburg are not on that level, but I still expect them to capitalize today. Augsburg are in the best form they have been in in a couple of years. Dusseldorf are worse on the road and Augsburg are better at home. Niederlechner can score and create for Augsburg. I like this spot.

Werder Bremen at -125 for 3 units. Mainz defense has struggled over the past couple of games. Werder Bremen have not kept a clean sheet all season, but there is a chance they do it today, Opponents have scored at least two goals in 11 of Mainz’s 15 Bundesliga matches this season. Milot Rashica is in-form. I like Werder Bremen at home today to win by 1 or 2 goals.

Augsburg/Dusseldorf over 3 at +120 for 2 units. Dusseldorf defense fade.

Dortmund/Leipzig under 3.5 at -130 for 2 unit. Leipzig have a solid defense and I expect them to slow the game down a little. Leipzig have the highest scoring offense in the league, but they won’t want to get into a shootout with Dortmund.

 

Atletico Madrid at Villareal – MAX PLAY ALERT

92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units

62-56-11 on Soccer in 2019 down 24.82 units

I am not going quietly into the night with my hands tied. If I am going to go out, I am going to be yelling and screaming staring people down like Juan Soto does to pitchers.

When I was at a bar in Madrid, I got to talking to this old head that was a Real Madrid fan. His english sucked and my spanish was worse at the time, but one thing I did understand that he said was “Diego Simeone grande cojones”. That was the only positive thing he said about one of his team’s fiercest rivals. Let’s hope his big balls come through today.

Atletico Madrid at +121 for 10 units.

Atletico Madrid/Villarreal Draw at +215 for 10 units. Atletico have kept a clean sheet in their last 7 away wins in La Liga. Madrid lost a heartbreaker to Messi and Barcelona (once again) last time out. Villarreal didn’t win a match in November. Atletico are 1 point out of Champions League places and 6 points from 1st. They need points here. Villarreal will be a breath of fresh air after losing to Barcelona and Juventus 1-0 both times.

Premier League Thursday Predictions

92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units

62-54-11 on Soccer in 2019 down 14.82 units

Going with the big favorite today.

Arsenal at -167 for 8 units. Interim head coach Freddie Ljungberg’s second game since taking over for Arsenal. Aubameyang is in-form and he scored twice in Arsenal’s latest draw to Norwich City. Arsenal have scored in the opening 30 minutes in half of their home league games this season. Brighton have not won an away league game since the season opener against Watford. I would feel even better about this play if Mustafi doesn’t start again. Pukki’s goal was a deflection off of him. Put in Martinelli for Willock, and I will be even more confident in this play.

Sheffield United at -120 for 2 units. Newcastle surprised me and many others with their 2-2 draw against Manchester City. Was it a sign of things to come for Newcastle, or a let down game for Man City? Sheffield is a tough club to play at this season. These two have not met in the Premier League since George W Bush was the president of the United States. Mousset is in-form and has had some close calls on goals to add to the ones he did score. Sheffield have a stronger defense (given up half as many goals over each teams’ last 10 matches) and are at home.

 

Premier League Wednesday with a Little PSG Action

92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units

60-51-11 on Soccer in 2019 down 7.45 units

Not gonna lie, tilting a little bit. Mad because I lost a parlay because of James Harden’s dunk that didn’t count. Seeing the board well lately, might as well ramp up the unit sizes and capitalize.

Norwich +0.5/PSG Parlay risking 3 units to win 3.81 units. Southampton haven’t won consecutive matches at home since March. The Canaries have been scoring goals lately. Teemu Pukki is a goal-scoring machine for club and country this season. The referee for this match, Kevin Friend, has been dishing out yellow cards at an impressive clip over his past 6 matches (4.5 a game). Norwich looked solid against Arsenal and Everton. I’ll take them to win or draw. PSG shouldn’t lose to Nantes. PSG are only two points clear at the top of the table. Just adding them to offset (Quavo) the juice and then some.

Aston Villa +1.5 at -110 for 3 units. Villa have covered in 4 of their past 5 matches. Manchester United scored from 2 corners in their match against Villa. I expect Villa to tighten up on defensive set plays in this one. Grealish and Mings are in-form. I think Villa are a better team than their table standings suggest. Value play here.

Liverpool -230 for 6 units. Liverpool are unbeaten in their past 31 league matches. Manchester City cut the lead to 8 points yesterday and looked dominant doing so. Liverpool push it back to 11 today. Had this line at -320 for the home team.

Tottenham +169 for 5 units. Tottenham/Manchester United Draw +235 for 5 units. Mourinho against his old club. A story as old as.. me. Manchester United’s defense has been slacking lately. Tottenham will score in this one. Alli has been given more freedom under Mourinho. He has been enjoying it as well, scored twice in their last match. Manchester United haven’t beat a top of the table team in a while, I dont expect it to happen today.

 

Premier League Sunday Predictions

92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units

58-50-11 on Soccer in 2019 down 18.44 units

Leicester at -169 for 6 units

Aston Villa at +598 for 3 units.

Villa/Manchester United Draw at +348 for 3 units. Late Post so no write-up. Wanted to wait for lineups to come out. If you click on this post and scroll to the bottom you can subscribe to the newsletter and never miss a play.