Category: Soccer

Soccer Sunday Preview – Liverpool Keeps Winning and Sevilla Shows Out at Home

The image above is a picture I took of Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan Stadium when Sevilla beat Levante 3-1 in 2016. I expect more of the same today against Levante in Seville #NervionPlaza

92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units

55-44-10 on Soccer in 2019 down 0.63 units

Liverpool/Manchester United over 2.5 at -120 for 2 units.

Liverpool at -140 for 4 units. Mane and Salah. I have been asking my Liverpool friends if they like Mane or Salah more and the answer as either been Yes.. or extended paragraphs on how they are both amazing and how they are lucky to have them. No Pogba or De Gea for United. Manchester United have 1 win in their last 7 league games. Now they go up against the best club in the World in my eyes. This line should be -200.

Sevilla at -300 for 4 units. Sevilla won’t lose at home. Start Chicharito!! Jesus Navas will supply the crosses. Banega will add the creativity. Ocampos has been in more than fine form. Levante lacks the fluidity that Sevilla has shown this season.

Roma at +115 for 1 unit. Sampdoria have lost their last 3 league games. They are bottom of the table. Cristante, Dzeko, and Kolarov will use their experience to get the dub. Just want to get the juices flowing with my cup of coffee before my big Liverpool/NFL bets.

Can’t Lose Weekend Parlay

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Feeling lucky. El Clasico has been postponed to due Catalonia’s protests. My Parlays have not been postponed.

2-2 on Weekend Parlays, but this is my first can’t lose one; therefore, I will go 3-2. Just put it blindly. I am up 6.44 units since I started doing these parlays. Let’s get it.

PSG/Manchester City/Bayern Munich/Barcelona/Sevilla/Florida/Auburn/Iowa/Cincinnati/Boise State/Penn State/Bills risking 2 units to win 27.02 units.

12 teams on this one. PSG are without Mbappe and Neymar, but they still have a better midfield and defense than Nice. City, Bayern. and Barcelona are all healthy and won’t lose their first game back from break. I trust Messi, Pep, Aguero, and Lewandowski. Sevilla at home is a no-brainer. Sevilla are my favorite club and they have only 3 losses this season, two were against Barcelona and Real Madrid. They will beat Levante at home. Start Chicharito!

I wrote about Florida and Penn State in my college football post here. 

Auburn, Iowa, and Cincinnati are all heavy favorites at home. They won’t lose. Just adding them to make this parlay a little more fruitful.

I love this Boise State team. They could be the parlay killer on the road at BYU, but with both starting Qbs out for these teams.. I trust the Boise State defense to show out.

 

 

Euro Group Stages Are Coming to an End

Image result for dzeko gif bosnia

92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units

54-42-10 on Soccer in 2019 up 1.88 units

Spain at -125 for 2 units. Sweden have been struggling a little lately. Spain have only allowed 2 goals in their last 4 matches. Spain beat Sweden 3-0 in the reverse fixture. If Spain draw they move on. They will go for the win.

Bosnia-Herzegovina at +125 for 2 units.

Bosnia-Herzegovina/Greece over 2 at -125 for 2 units. Bosnia have to get all 3 points here to stay alive. Pjanic, Dzeko, and Gojak are enough offense for Bosnia. Greece lost to Finland. Bosnia are going to send it today. There is value on their moneyline, but I like the over as well.

Euro Action – Portugal at Ukraine

Image result for ronaldo gif

92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units

53-41-10 on Soccer in 2019 up 3.04 units

Portugal/Ukraine over 2 at -140 for 3 units. Ukraine hasn’t allowed a goal in over 400 minutes in this competition. That changes today.

Portugal at +115 for 3 units. Ukraine will secure advancement with a draw. Portugal have won their past 3 games by 9 a combined 9 goals. Andriy Yarmolenko will be the main attacking option for Ukraine. William Carvalho is injured in the midfield for Portugal, but I still like Ronaldo and crew to the get the job done.

Messi is the GOAT – Manchester City, Manchester United, and Tottenham Continue to Stumble

Barcelona beat my beloved Seville 4-0 over the weekend. Messi and Barcelona are now only two points behind Real Madrid though 8 games. Real Madrid haven’t lost in La Liga this season.

Sevilla “won” the first 25 minutes, but the score was still 0-0. Then Suarez did this..

Messi was not to be outdone by Suarez. A. Vidal and Dembele put in goals before Messi went on this amazing run..
He makes the near impossible look easy. Below is his free-kick goal to put Barcelona up 4-0. Messi makes free-kicks at a higher rate than some penalty takers make penalties. Messi has 37 goals in 38 games against Sevilla. This next stat is not from a trusted source, but until proven otherwise.. Messi has made 29 free-kicks since the 15/16 season. That is easily the most. I know he has made the most in soccer’s top-10 leagues, but I am not convinced it is only 29 haha. It seems like he makes one every month.
Manchester City lost again to a team at the bottom-half of the table. Norwich did it the first time, now it was Wolverhampton’s turn. Hand up, I was wrong in thinking Adama Traore only had a massive upper-body and pace. He showed some lethal finishing as seen in the video below.
Manchester United lost 1-0 to Newcastle. United have failed to score in their past two matches. They have not scored more than one goal in any of their last 10 matches. Manchester United opened the season with a 4-0 win over Chelsea, they have not scored more than 1 in a match since then. The commentators said this during the Newcastle/Manchester United game, “United will get desperate now, you never know, Fred might actually pass the ball forward”. Fred has had one assist for Manchester. It cost 52 million to sign him. Not a good ROI.
Tottenham lost to Brighton 3-0 and Lloris is now out for the rest of the decade (2 months). Tottenham are still only 3 points out of the Champions League spots, but their weak bench may begin to show. Manchester United are only 5 points away from Champions League, but Ole may be fired before he can fix anything.
City are 8 points back of Liverpool. Liverpool had an 8-point lead later in the season than this last year and Manchester City still won the Premier League. The early returns for Liverpool are outstanding, but they can’t let-up. 8-0-0 is amazing for Klopp’s side. Liverpool are the best club in the World right now. Sorry Bayern, Real, Barcelona, Man City, PSG, Juve, Atletico, and Swansea City.
Image result for premier league table

 

Europa League Action

92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units

51-39-10 on Soccer in 2019 up 3.68 units

Basel at +142 for 3 units. This Basel team is really fucking good. Yes, they tied some Young Boys club recently, but they won their last group game against Krasnodar 5-0. Valentin Stocker is having his best season since rejoining the club. Young Brazilian striker Arthur has been scoring recently. Kemal Ademi is averaging a goal an appearance for the club. 5 clean sheets in their last 6 for Basel. The squad is clicking. Trabzonspor played well against a bad Besiktas team, but Basel is a step-up in competition.

Besiktas/Wolves over 2.5 at -119 for 3 units.

Wolves at +124 for 3 units. Besiktas’s defense is a sieve.

Arsenal/Sevilla Parlay risking 3 units to win 1.64 units. Sevilla have Barcelona over the weekend, so they may rest some players; however, APOEL’s defense will not be enough for Sevilla’s crosses and forward play. Arsenal has some players coming back into the squad including Bellerin and Holding. Ozil, Pepe, and others will get the job done.

Champions League Continued

Arsenal drawing yesterday helped me to two units. McTominay had a stunning strike in the first half for Manchester United, but Aubameyang pulled it back in the second half. McTominay has been improving lately, but both these clubs need more improvement if they want to dream of reaching the standard that Liverpool/Man City have set..

Onto Champions..

92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units

51-37-10 on Soccer in 2019 up 8.68 units

Real Madrid -1.5 at -120 for 4 units. I watched Real Madrid play Sevilla and Atletico recently. They secured 4 points against those two tough-to-play clubs. The Real defense looked a lot better than against PSG in those games… That’ll happen when Sergio Ramos is allowed back in the lineup. Real Madrid have struggled at home in the Champions League losing to Ajax and Juve, while tying Bayern. Club Brugge have not lost in their last 3 away games vs teams with a higher UEFA score in Champions League. Even so, I expect Hazard, Benzema, Ramos, Varane, Modric, Casemiro, and Kroos to get the job done. Real Madrid will be ready to play today.

Vinicius Junior scored a fantastic goal against Osasuna recently. His teammates were happy for him, which is nice to see. Junior has all the talent, but hasn’t put it all together in games. Here’s to hoping he does today as a sub.

Tottenham +0.5 at -127 for 1 unit. Harry Kane vs Lewandowski. Bayern’s pace at winger and creativity with Coutinho, Kimmich, and Thiago worries me a little.. but not enough. Tottenham have been great at home in Champions League against top clubs over the past few years. The Lilywhites “need” this win more than Bayern, as they are two points behind in the group.