NBA Finals Game 6 Predictions

9-5 on the NBA playoffs up 13.51 units

Can’t help but feel for KD. His surgery on his Kobe Bone/Achilles went well according to his own instagram. Steph and Klay balled out to get the Warriors the Game 5 win. Nick Nurse called what may have been the worse timeout I have ever seen (and people get mad at Roy Williams for never calling timeouts /s). The Raptors were up 6 and the crowd was going wild… but let’s kill the momentum with a couple minutes left. After that timeout it went Klay 3, Steph 3, Klay 3, and the Raptors were down 3.

Raptors +3 at -111 for 3 units. Kawhi didn’t play his best basketball in Game 5, except for a few minutes in the 4th. I think Leonard turns it up tonight. If Steph and Klay shoot even marginally worse than they did in Game 5 (12/25 from deep), I could see them losing a close one. Looney is still hurt, KD won’t be going 3-3 from deep in this game. I’ll take the points. Cousins was dominant after the KD injury, but then slipped back to Sacramento Kings Cousins in the 4th Quarter. It will be interesting to see which Cousins shows up in this one.


MLB June 13th

92-83 on MLB last season and went up 34.31 units

19-18 on MLB this season down 5.11 units

Tigers -1.5 at +123 for 4 units. Matthew Boyd has lost his last two starts, but has only allowed 6 runs combined over his last 4 starts. Homer Bailey has given up 7 runs over his past two starts for the Royals. Last time Boyd pitched here in Omaha, he pitched a complete-game, four-hit shutout, helping Oregon State beat Indiana 1-0 in an elimination game. Detroit gets back 2 back wins for the first time since May today.

MLB June 12th

92-83 on MLB last season and went up 34.31 units

18-15 on MLB this season up 0.77 units

The White Sox have some exciting young talent…

Cardinals -1.5 at -116 for 2 units. Miles Mikolas is only 4-6 on the year, but he has had a quality start in 6 of his last 7 starts. Jordan Yamamoto is starting for the first time for the Marlins. Yamamoto was received by Miami when they traded Christian Yelich away.. Guess who won that deal? Nobody on Miami hits Mikolas well and the Cardinals bats are getting hot. Cards should win easy again.

Astros at -131 for 2 units. Pitchers duel. Brandon Woodruff is 8-1. Verlander is 9-2. Verlander gave up 3 Earned Runs in his last start, but that is because AJ Hinch took him out too soon in my opinion. Woodruff has given up 3 or more runs in each of his last 2 starts. Astros are hitting the ball better over the past 10 days and I think Verlander will go deep into this game.

Tigers at +122 for 2 units. This game is a coin flip. You take a 50/50 shot at plus money.

Padres -1.5 at +125 for 2 units. As long as the Padres don’t send Trey Wingenter out of the bullpen, they will win. Shaun Anderson, the starter for the Giants tonight, gives up more than a hit per inning. San Francisco’s bats have been cold. Padres are the better team with the better starter.

Padres/Astros/Braves/Cards -1.5 Parlay risking 2 units to win 15 units. Braves should win batting against Mitch Keller and his 13.50 ERA. Mike Soroka is 7-1 for the Braves this year. I wrote about the other teams above.

2019 U.S. Open at Pebble Beach Preview

21-21-4 on golf in 2018 up 3.41 units

7-8 in 2019 down 0.22 units

Tiger loves playing his irons and this a great course for it, but he has struggled on putting on these poa annua greens this season. If Tiger can start hot, I think the rest of the field should be very worried. Woods hasn’t seemed to have the same focus that he had at the Masters recently, but a U.S. Open at Pebble Beach should be more than enough to get his attention.

Image result for pebble beach tiger woods

The rough is thick and if you miss a green.. you could be double-bogeying here. These bumpy greens and roughs will make it difficult if players are not striking the ball well. I do think we will see some low numbers though, as a lot of players have experience for days on this course.

Round 1 – Brandt Snedeker vs. Henrik Stenson – Brandt Snedeker at -105 for 6 units. Snedeker shot a 69 here at Pebble Beach to kick off the Pro-Am back in February. The problem was he shot a 74/75 to follow that up and got cut. Snedeker has been one of the best players on the greens and has excelled at getting out of bunkers this year. Snedeker tied for 4th in his last tournament, while Stenson tied for 37th in his last tournament.

Also, Snedeker has finished in the top 10 at the U.S. Open in 5 of his last 10 appearances. Two of Snedeker’s nine tour wins have come here at Pebble Beach. He should be more heavily favored in this matchup. His driving comes and goes, but I think his short game, coupled with him already playing this course this year, gets him the round 1 victory over Stenson. Stenson is one of the best ball-strikers on tour, but I think he makes a few mistakes.

To Finish in the Top 10:

Tiger Woods at +135 for 2 units. If Tiger can make putts, this will win easy.

Adam Scott at +350 for 2 units. Scott is one of my favorite characters on Parks and Rec. Adam has finished in the top-20 at both majors so far this year. He is a great ball-striker and that is what is needed here. Also, he was frustrated with a 2nd-place finish the Memorial Tournament the other week. He is playing well.

Rickie Fowler at +250 for 2 units. The 2010 rookie of the year has yet to win a major, although he has finished top 3 in all of them. He will be wearing his tropical colors in this tropical location. I can guarantee that. His King Cobra throwback hat was cool. He has finished in the top-15 in 3 of his past 5 tournaments. I have a gut-feeling he will do well this week.

Image result for fowler retro hat

Rosmalen Grass Court Championships

91-44-6 on tennis in 2018 up 42.63 units

40-44 on tennis in 2019 down 19.25 units

Frances Tiafoe at -193 for 6 units. Tiafoe’s ability to cover the court and hit solid groundstrokes will get him the win. Jordan Thompson won the first set against Tiafoe earlier this year, but Frances dug deep and won the match. Tiafoe excels in more areas on the court than Thompson, and I expect that to show up again today. Neither player is a great on grass, but I think Tiafoe has a slight advantage on this surface.

MLB June 10th – David Ortiz is Recovering from Being Shot

David Ortiz was shot in the back in his native Dominican Republic on Sunday. The Boston Red Sox are paying for him to be transported by air to Massachusetts for treatment. David Ortiz is one of my top 5 favorite players of all-time. I’ll never forget being at his two home-run game against the Athletics in April 2012.. or his many post-season runs. The video of his shooter getting beat up is NSFW.. but I will post it here

Wild scenes in the Dominican Republic. Ortiz has done a lot for his home country, but it is never enough for some people. The rumor is they were trying to rob him. Sad. The suspect is in custody. Onto lighter topics..

92-83 on MLB last season and went up 34.31 units

17-14 on MLB this season up 1.10 units

Tampa Bay Rays at -180 for 3 units. Charlie Morton is 7-0 this season. Morton has one of the highest velocities on average in the MLB this season. He’s got the stuff. Tanner Anderson, the starter for Oakland tonight, had a 6.26 ERA in AAA. Now he plays one of the better MLB teams so far this season. Anderson went to Harvard.. so at least he has that going for him. What a nerd.

Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ at +100 for 2 units. LAD has covered -1.5 in Hyun-Jin Ryu’s last 6 starts. Ryu has one of the best strikeout cutters in baseball. Griffin Canning is starting for the Angels. He is a rookie and the blue team’s lineup should feast on him. If you missed Max Muncy making MadBum mad last time out, check out the instagram. It is a pretty awesome homer and interaction. Muncy hit the ball about 430 feet into the Bay and told MadBum “to get it out of the ocean”. Muncy may not know the geography of the Bay very well… but he yacked that ball so well he can call it the ocean for all I care.

NBA Finals Game 5

7-5 on the NBA playoffs up 3.55 units

Warriors +1.5 at -110 for 9 units. Raptors have worked Golden State over these past two games, but I think tonight is a lot closer of a game. Looney and Thompson should play better in their second game back from injury. Draymond Green, Steph, and the NBA want this series to go at least 6 games. KD may or may not be back.. but I think he will and this line will move to Warriors -1 or -2 once he is declared active. The Raptors used a 37 point third quarter to put away the Warriors 105-92 in Game 4. Golden State knows they have to come out stronger after halftime. Golden State hasn’t scored over 109 points in this series. I think they break that number in this one.

Klay Thompson of the Golden State Warriors will score 24 or more points at -110 for 2 units. I said it last game… If the Warriors want to win, Klay has to score. He did score and they lost. I like this prop even more if KD is out.

MLB June 8th

92-83 on MLB last season and went up 34.31 units

16-14 on MLB this season down 1.19 units

Dodgers -1.5 at -131 for 3 units. Hill held the Phillies runless in his last start. Hill is is 7-2 with a 2.26 ERA in 14 career starts against the Giants. Dodgers can’t lose 3 in a row right? Hill is getting healthier and healthier and I like him to continue his upward trajectory today. Jeffrey Alan Samardzija, the former Notre Dame football All-American, did not look good in his last start against the Marlins..

Belmont Stakes

0-0 on the horses

Bourbon War will finish ahead of Master Fencer at -101 for 3 units.

My horse racing knowledge is small, but I know I will be drinking a lot of bourbon today… so gotta bet on Bourbon War. That is all.

UEFA Euro 2020 Qualifying

92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units

36-30-9 on Soccer in 2019 down 1.41 units

Germany/Belarus over 3 at -101 for 7 units. First ever competitive match between these two countries. Belarus are last in their group after a 4-0 loss to the Dutch, followed by a 2-1 loss to Northern Ireland. Die Mannschaft will want to play well against Belarus and Estonia because Northern Ireland and the Netherlands are not going away. Gnabry, Sane, and Reus should be able to help each other score. Although it is still early, Belarus almost have to win this game.. so I expect them to play aggressive. Belarus have given up 3.5 goals a game at home against top 20 nations recently. Germany averaged over 4 goals a game in World Cup qualifying. Germany will score.