NCAAB January 3rd

15-10-1 on NCAAB in 2017 up 5.25 units

2-1 in 2018 up 2.88 units

Richmond +2 for 3 units. Richmond has been playing better since this horrible start to the season. They were an easy team to fade early in the year, but I think it will come back to the mean in conference play. I actually think they win this one outright, but will take the points to be safe. Fordham has an awful offense and is poor at rebounding, I like this matchup.

VCU -1 for 3 units. Tillman will be too much for St Joes to handle. This line confuses me because VCU has the better defense, the better point guard, and the best big man in this game. Maybe it is because VCU has not won an away game all year, I think they win this one. Not going to overthink it.

Kentucky -2 for 3 units. VCU’s former coach Will Wade will go against the best team in the SEC. Have you heard this Kentucky team is young? LSU does have a potent offense, but Kentucky has a more balanced attack with five players averaging double figures in points. LSU is good at home at 7-1 on the season, but this will be the best defense they have faced all year. It seems like LSU should be slightly favored, but they are not so I am going to go against my gut and go with vegas. Best of luck.

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NBA January 3rd

18-16-1 on NBA in 2017 up 7.22 units

5-1 in 2018 up 7.08 units

Suns won last night but did not cover the -2 for my only loss in 2018 so far. Unreal bad luck. Schroder made a meaningless 2 point shot to cover the spread for them with one second remaining…

Raptors -5 for 4 units. Raptors have been hot and I think Dwane Casey should get some coach of the year consideration. Bulls have got lucky playing people without their stars, but will not get that fortunate in this one. DeRozan is a beast. Both teams have a good against the spread record, but I am going to ride with the hotter team.

Rockets Magic under 220 for 3 units. No James Harden. Magic offense is not that great. Magic and their opponent have not had 220 points in a game since December 23rd. Rockets have struggled since their hot November and early December. The line is right were I think it should be, but this total seems a little high the more I look at it.

Thunder ML – Warriors ML – Timberwolves ML Parlay for 3 units at +160. Lakers fade for the Thunder. Warriors look better again with Steph and his Curry gravity. Warriors have beat the Mavs by a combined 45 points in two games this year and I expect that number to go up. Twolves are 8-2 in the last 10 and are just better than the Nets. Towns and Butler are going to be too much for the poor Nets’ defense to handle.

Cavs +4 for 3 units. Lebron vs Kyrie. Crowder is back as well. This line is weird to me and usually I would zag and take Celtics -4, but I like Lebron in this revenge match too much. Cavs have won their last 2 on the second end of a back 2 back after starting 0-3 in those games on the season. These teams have already played once this year and that was a tough game for the Celtics as Hayward shattered his ankle. Cavs are 3.5 games back from the Celtics and Lebron may act like he does not care about that, but I think he does. Think this will be a close game so I am taking the points.

 

Soccer January 3rd

4-0 in soccer up 5.72 units

Sevilla ML for 2 units in La Copa. Carnaval de Cádiz starts next month, but I doubt the Cádiz futbol club will still be playing in the Spanish cup then. I think Cádiz will come out firing which will leave them open to the counter. Sevilla does struggle away from home this year and historically, but Cádiz is one of the closer places they can travel to being only about an hour and half away. Cádiz did beat Sevilla’s cross town rival Real Betis in the round before, but they will not be able to beat both Sevilla teams. Take Sevilla and the low juice.