Day: January 15, 2018

18-16-1 on NBA in 2017 up 7.22 units

12-8 on NBA in 2018 up 2.22 units

Took a little break from the NBA, but I’m back.

Warriors ML at -200 for 3 units. Cavs and been in a drought and just are not as good the Warriors. Green and Durant will want to continue to get the best of Lebron. The Cavs have one of the worst defenses in the league and it won’t be fixed overnight. Thought this line would be closer to -300 so I am taking what I perceive as value here.

Pistons -3 for 3 units. This Pistons team just poses matchup problems for the Hornets. Howard can’t have his way in the paint with Drummond there. Kemba has not been playing all that well and Avery Bradley is a good defensive counter to Kemba’s offense. Hornets are 5-13 on the road and the Pistons are 13-5 at home. This is a 12:30 game which throws a little wrench into the betting angle, but I still like the Pistons in this spot. Hornets defense is just not what it has been in years past. Michael Carter Williams gets way too many minutes for the Hornets and should not be in the NBA. Batum has not played well this season either. If Tobias Harris shoots a little better than he did last game this will cover.

Knicks +3 for 3 units. Knicks have already beat the Nets twice this year. Nets have been playing better, but Knicks know they have to win these type of games if they want to make the playoffs. The Nets are bad enough on defense to let the Knicks get out of the slump they have been in recently. Porzingis should take over this game with some help from Tim Hardaway Jr. I predict a 5 point victory for the Knicks.

 

 

15-10-1 on NCAAB in 2017 up 5.25 units

15-8 on NCAAB in 2018 up 18.77 units

FSU -3 for 2 units. I like how deep this Florida State team is. This depth will help after a double overtime win against Syracuse in which they covered the spread. Good teams win, great teams cover. Christ Koumadje was dominate in his first game back from an 11 game injury absence for the Seminoles. Boston College will be without Deonte Hawkins who, if healthy, would be the best counter to Christ. Boston College is not as bad as recent years, so FSU’s great record over the last 10 against BC does not really matter. I think FSU has the advantage in the paint and in 3 point shooting so I am taking them here with the low spread.

21-13-1 in soccer down 1.87 units

Real Betis +0 at -185 for 4 units. Betis won their last time out 5-3 against their crosstown rival Sevilla. Real Betis got knocked out of Copa deal Ray by Cadiz, but it may actually be a blessing in disguise as they can now focus on their league games. Leganes on the other hand, just advanced in La Copa against Villarreal. These extra games could hurt Leganes in the league. Atletico Madrid are the only club that plays better defense in La Liga than Leganes. Real Betis on the other hand plays a more open passing style that saw them control the ball for over 70% of the game against Atletico Madrid, but they still lost 1-0. I just can’t see Leganes getting more than 1 goal in this game unless something crazy happens. Leganes has not won in their last 6 on the road.

Real Betis ML at +120 for 1 unit.

Manchester United ML for 2 units at -450. Stoke is playing so poorly they just fired their manager. Manchester United has to win this game if they want any chance at the title being 15 points back. Stoke fade.