NBA Playoffs April 19th

6-5-1 on NBA Playoffs up 2.09 units

RIP Erin Popovich

Pacers almost made the comeback, but the Cavs evened the series. The Cavs are 0-2 against the spread this playoffs. If the line is anything more than Cavs -4 in Indianapolis, I’ll bet the Pacers again. Lebron had a dominant first half, I still hate how he complains to refs instead of getting back on defense.. just wait till a stoppage in play. Maybe I am just old school. Donovan Mitchell and Derrick Favors beat the Thunder and tried to push the over over, but Paul George, Westbrook, and Carmelo went 0-14 in the 4th quarter. Thanks Big 3. The Rockets worked the T’Wolves and CP3 went silly.

76ers -2 at -108 for 3 units. 76ers can’t shoot worse from 3 (19.4%) than they did in Game 2. Covington won’t shoot 9 3s again. Amir Johnson will have to play well again against Whiteside. Ben Simmons will adjust after getting slowed down in Game 2. Wade turned back the clock and went off, but I don’t know if he can do that in back to back games. I just think the 76ers are the better team and they know they have to win this game.

Blazers +4 for 2 units. Just too many points against a hungry Blazers team. Lillard has to step up and I think he will. I don’t like betting against playoff Rondo, Jrue, and The Brow, but this is just too many points for a hungry 3 seed.

Warriors Spurs over 206 for 4 units. Staying away from the line in this one. Pop’s wife passing away may lead to the Spurs playing inspired basketball. -4 is a fishy line anyway and I would usually take the underdog when the line is fishy, but the passing of Erin Popovich throws a wrench into the situation. The last game soared over and the first game should have too, but the Spurs went cold for two large stretches of the first game. They won’t go cold tonight.

 

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NHL Playoffs April 19th

26-27-3 in Hockey up 4.51 units 

Chasing losses worked. Didn’t like being down units after being up all season. Let’s keep building and be a little more disciplined. Penguins rolled the Flyers. Crosby is now the Penguins’ career postseason points leader. Kucherov had two goals and is a beast for the Lightning. Kuch rocked Sami Vatanen. I thought it was a clean hit, others did not. Nashville held on to beat Colorado. Forsberg is too nasty. The Ducks played their best game of the series and still got swept by the Sharks.

Bruins ML at -118 for 2 units. Another bounce back spot here. They worked for me yesterday so why quit them? The Bruins top line did not have a point in Game 3, that will change in Game 4. Bruins should do a little better against the stretch passes in this one. The Maple Leafs may deserve to be up 2-1 in this series honestly, but I like the Bruins here. Krejci’s line will have to finish better and I think they will be the difference for the Bruins in this one.

Capitals ML at +109 for 2 units. 3 games and 4 overtimes in this series. In a series this close, why not take the team at plus money? I think the Caps will have more confidence than they have had all series in this game. Capitals power play is just too strong for the Blue Jackets. The Blue Jackets had like 3 shots hit the post in the last game, if one of those goes in, this series may be over tonight. They did not go in though and I think the Caps can get this series even tonight.

MLB April 19th

12-10 on MLB in 2018 down 0.24 units

Machado hit a walk-off in the Tigers Orioles game… Luckily for us and all Tigers bettors, it was Dixon Machado and not Manny Machado. Thought the Nats had the win, next time I check, Nats down 11-5. Thanks Ryan Madson. Red Sox and Porcello cruise again. Dodgers rock Perdomo for like the umpteenth consecutive time.

Tigers ML at +107 for 3 units. When I see Alex Cobb, I bet the other team. That is not going to change until he turns it around. Cobb has given up 2 home runs in 3 innings pitched this season.  If you need more info to bet the Tigers at plus money (you shouldn’t).. The O’s have lost 5 in a row and they are 2-6 in day games.

Blue Jays ML at +135 for 3 units. Jays are hot, Yanks are not. Sabathia, who is coming back from an injury, has struggled against the Blue Jays recently as well. He has an ERA over 7 in his last 12 games vs the Jays. Aaron Sanchez had a no hit bid his last time out, and I expect him to get a win against the struggling, error-prone Yankees.

Pirates ML at -108 for 3 units. Taillon has made me money this season so I am going to keep riding him. I expect a close pitcher duel type game here. In close games, I like betting the team with the higher batting average and walk rate. Pirates are better at both than the Phillies. Pirates are 7-2 on the road and the Phillies are 5-1 at home, something has to give.

 

Tennis April 19th

1-1 on tennis down 1.11 units

Nadal ML at -2000 for 3 units. Nadal is not going to lose on clay here. Really just betting because I will be watching. Nadal has never lost a set to Khachanov in his career. Nadal has won this tournament 10 times. TEN!

Bautista-Agut – Goffin over 21.5 games for 3 units. The past two matches between these two has gone over. This is their first meeting on clay and I expect a bit of feeling out and holding serve in the first set. If I had to pick a winner, I would go with Bautista-Agut. I just think we will see a tie break in this match, which should push the over fairly easily.