22-23-1 on NBA Playoffs down 3.14 units
Had a bad read on the 76ers-Celtics in Game 1. The Cavs won Game 1 and made me happy I made a series bet on them. The Raptors had a chance to win the game in regulation but they missed their last 11 shots in the 4th quarter and like 3 of those rimmed out on the final possession. If J.R. Swish and Kyle Korver make shots like they did in Game 1, I think they Cavs win in 6. The Warriors beat the Pelicans in a competitive game. The Pelicans covered easily. The Warriors have Steph Curry coming off the bench, the Pelicans have Ian Clark and Solomon Hill coming of their bench.. not fair.
Rockets Jazz over 205 for 4 units. The over last game lost by 1 point. This one will hit. I think both teams score more than they did in Game 1. Jazz shot 59% from the free throw line in Game 1 and that was the difference in the over. That number will go up.
Jazz +11 for 2 units. Jazz looked a lot better in the second half on Game 1. Quin Snyder the batman villain made some halftime adjustments that helped the Jazz. I just think this is too many points. I expect the Jazz to shoot a little better, and the Rockets to shoot a little worse than the 53% from 3 they shot in Game 1. Jazz had 18 turnovers in Game 1, that number will go down too.
35-24 on MLB in 2018 up 23.34 units
14-4 over past 5 days. 3-0 yesterday. Matthew Boyd finally got a win for the Tigers after allowing only 1 run in 4 of his 5 starts. Chris Archer looked better for the Rays, but still left some balls over the strike zone that got barreled. The Brewers kept getting up on the Reds and then letting the Reds come back. Homer Bailey gave the Brewers too much to hit in the first and fifth innings and that was the difference. Upton got a walk-off for the Angels. I bet on the Angles because I have been fading Alex Cobb all season. Cobb looked great, but the bet still won thanks to Nick Tropeano’s pitching and Justin Upton’s walk-off single.
Rays ML at -125 for 2 units. Blake Snell has been the best pitcher for the Rays this season. Snell has 41 strikeouts in 35 innings. C.J. Cron has been raking the ball for the Rays to the tune of 7 home runs. These teams are fairly evenly matched by my hitting numbers, but I like the starter (Snell) for the Rays a lot more.
Twins ML at -105 for 1 unit. Haven’t lost betting against Marcus Stroman yet, not going to stop now. Stroman has given up at least 4 earned runs in every start and is responsible for 25% of the Blue Jays losses this season. Twins blew the game last night, maybe they will learn from their mistakes… or maybe they will keep making those same mistakes..
Yankees Astros over 7.5 for 1 unit. Dallas Keuchel has given up 6 home runs this season. Astros have experience hitting Severino. I just have a feeling about this one. Past two games have gone under for these two teams. Were those accidents or a trend? We will find out tonight.
37-35-4 in Hockey up 11.07 units
Up 5.3 units on NHL Playoffs
Capitals came back to beat the Penguins in Pittsburgh. The Penguins fans wanna talk about how dirty Tom Wilson is (Wilson broke Aston-Reese’s jaw), I wanna talk about how nice that Ovi goal was. Crosby has done the “hit the puck in mid air for a goal” twice this season, but neither was a game-winner in the playoffs. Crosby and Ovi are both so damn good and I thoroughly enjoyed Game 3 last night. It was a hard fought game, but I wouldn’t get too comfortable if I were the Caps. I wonder if Pittsburgh fans hate Tom Wilson or Ovi more… The Jets came all the way back from a 3-0 deficit to beat the Predators in Winnipeg. The Jets won the 2nd period 4-0. Tanev has scored in 4 straight games for Winnipeg. I think both the winning teams on Tuesday night showed some resiliency and fight that they have not had in years past.. only time will tell if it will be enough for them to meet their Stanley Cup dreams.
Past two nights I have been fading the public and betting the “underdogs” to some small gains. Tonight I am just betting heavy on who I think are the better teams.
Bruins ML at -134 for 4 units. Bruins back at home. The Bruins had to beat the refs and the Lightning in Game 2. The officiating wasn’t why they lost, but it did not help. The Bruins have to play better and they will at home. The Bruins won both games at home against Tampa in the season series. Marchand and the Bruins know they have home ice advantage in a best of 5 now, and they won’t give that up.
Knights ML at +120 for 2 units. I am not betting against Fleury. San Jose has just given up too many power plays and will need to clean that up. The Sharks say they are playing a lot better than the 7-0 defeat in Game 1.. not that hard to do. Knights have been better most of the season, but the Sharks have their backs against the wall. Should be an exciting game like the last two games, but if any team can pull away, I think it is the Knights.