11-8-2 on the World Cup up 4.77 units
Croatia – France over 2 for 2 units.
Draw +235 for 2 units. You all already know a lot about this game so I will just say a few things. I love Modric. I don’t think Real Madrid wins half as many Champions League as they do without the Croatian. Kante can do enough to neutralize Modric most likely. Kante and Modric are the two best midfielders in the world in my opinion now that Iniesta has gotten old. This game will be close so why not bet the draw.
38-13-2 on tennis up 24.24 units
Up 12.41 on Wimbledon
Kevin Anderson and Novak Djokovic meet in the final of the oldest tennis tournament in the world. Anderson impressed many with his wins over Federer and Isner. Anderson had not defeated Isner since 2012 and the South African had never defeated Federer (nothing to be ashamed of). Anderson has never won a Grand Slam tournament, he gets a solid chance here. Novak played a 5 hour match against Nadal to make the final, while Anderson played the second longest match in Wimbledon history against Isner (over 6 hours). The South African has struggled with fitness in his career and I just think he will not have enough in this one.
Novak Djokovic -1.5 sets at -250 for 4 units. I think Novak wins this match 3 sets to 1 so I am going to bet it. I think Anderson can win a tiebreak set, but Novak is the smarter player in my opinion.
Djokovic -5.5 for 4 units. Novak will win his sets by a wider margin than Anderson will win his.
Anderson Djokovic over 38.5 games for 3 units. If it goes to 4 or 5 sets this bet will win, I think it goes 4 sets so I am going to bite on the over.
9-7-2 on the World Cup up 4.77 units
France at +100 for 2 units. Mbappe is the youngest player to score two goals in the World Cup since Pele. I think France figured out their style a little more in their last game. France just has too much attacking power for the Belgium backline. I think France can do just enough on defense with Kante, Varane, and Umtiti.
France Uruguay over 2 at +101 for 2 units. Griezmann, Suarez, Pogba, Giroud, Mbappe, and Dembele all have goals in them. Cavani not playing makes this tougher to hit, but I think France will get up in this one and Uruguay will throw men forward.
Brazil to advance at -160 for 4 units. I love this Belgium team that has gone unbeaten in over 20 games…. but Neymar. I think Brazil gets redemption for their 7-1 defeat to Germany at this stage last World Cup. Should be a pretty exciting game.
36-13-2 on tennis up 20.12 units
Kevin Anderson at -252 for 5 units. Kohlschreiber just simply is not as good as Anderson. Anderson has won all 4 meetings between the two. Anderson could struggle, but Kohlschreiber fails to show up in big matches like this and I expect that to continue.
Stefanos Tsitsipas at -234 for 5 units. Tsitsipas is 1-0 against Fabbiano in his career. Tsitipas should be able to overpower and wear down his opponent in this one. Fabbiano did just beat Wawrinka 3-0, but I think that says more about Wawrinka than Fabbiano.
33-13-2 on tennis up 14.33 units
John Isner at -358 for 4 units. Isner has never lost to Bemelmans in his career. Also, Isner is better than he was back when he beat Bemelmans. Ruben has a chance on grass, but Isner should be able to overpower him.
Stefanos Tsitsipas at -147 for 1 unit. Neither player here is great on grass. I am going to take the Greek over the American. I think Stefanos has the higher ceiling as a player so I will take him here today. Donaldson won the only previous meeting, but Tsitsipas looked pretty good in his win against Barrere.
Benoit Paire +5 at -125 for 4 units. Shapovalov won a close 3 set encounter the last time these two met. Paire looked great on grass yesterday and I think he can keep this one close. 5 games is just too many for me to pass up.
32-13-2 on tennis up 13.03 units
Benoit Paire at -333 for 3 units. Jason Jung is only in this tournament because Andy Murray withdrew. Benoit Paire should be able to handle Jung with ease. Paire won the only meeting between these two in contested straight sets. Paire also beat The Joker in Miami in March of this year. Paire got lucky not having to play Murray, and I expect him to take advantage here.
8-7-1 on the World Cup up 3.39 units
Colombia over 1/2 at -145 for 2 units.
England over 1 at -140 for 3 units. The total for the match is at 2, but the team totals are at 1.5. I am going to bite on the team totals. Even if James Rodriquez does not play, Falcao and Cuadrado should be enough attacking presence to get a goal. Colombia has scored at least one goal in every game in Russia so far. Also, it is hard for me to see England not scoring a goal. England has scored a goal in every game in Russia that they have played their best players. They did not score against Belgium, but Kane, Lingard, Sterling, Alli, and Henderson did not play. Colombia has been keeping clean sheets this tournament, but they have not played a team with the quality of England. These knockout games have been exciting, and I expect more of the same here.