College Basketball Saturday – UNC/Kentucky

70-62-2 on NCAAB last season and went up 8.95 units

5-7-1 this season up 1.69 units

Florida State/Colorado/UNC parlay risking 1.5 units to win 2.58 units. UNC scored 103 points against Gonzaga and now they play a Kentucky defense that is not as good. Luke Maye plays against the team he knocked out of the tournament two years ago. Sorry Malik Monk and De’Aaron Fox. Kabengele and Mann will be too much for St Louis. FSU wins at home. Colorado has won 6 in a row. Also, they are bigger and better at defense than Indiana State. Larry Bird’s alma mater loses today. 

Georgia Tech/West Virginia/Texas A&M/Virginia -19.5 parlay risking 1.5 units to win 3.98 units. Alvarado and Georgia Tech’s defense are enough to beat in-state rival Georgia. William & Mary won’t be able to score against UVA. UVA continues their domination of the state in basketball. Texas A&M are too big for Marshall and the Aggies play better at home. West Virginia will beat a smaller Jacksonville State team at home.


48-35 on College Football this season up 32.21 units

4-3 on Bowls up 2.88 units

Memphis -3 at -120 for 5 units. I could give you “advanced” numbers, but I have to wrap Christmas presents. Just know Memphis has a better ATS record, offense, defense, QB, and are closer to the game location. This should be -7. I can’t see Wake Forest stopping Darrell Henderson running the ball.

Houston/Army under 60 for 2 units. I’ll keep this one simple too.. Army haven’t had a game over this number all year. ALL YEAR!! I have only watched 2 Houston games this season, but I don’t think they are good enough to knock Army off their gameplan. Houston’s two best players are sitting this one out. Army runs the ball too much for this over to hit.

Buffalo/Troy over 49 for 2 units. Buffalo averages 35 points a game and struggles against good running backs. BJ Smith should eat for Troy. I think Buffalo is better, but proximity of the game to Troy and Neal Brown’s 2-0 bowl record with Troy make me stay away from picking a winner.

Luka Jovic vs Bayern – Lazio Get Back to Winning

88-69-8 on Soccer since World Cup up 25.75 units

Real Betis at -126 for 3 units. The Andalucian side are led by Giovani Lo Celso who has scored 4 goals in his last 5 games. Betis are solid at home and have 12 points from their last 5 games. They keep rolling here against an Eibar team that hasn’t won in their past 3 away games.

Atletico Madrid at -236 for 3 units. Espanyol are in the worst form in the league. Atletico hasn’t lost at home all season. This should be -400 or more. Value.

Leipzig/Werder Bremen under 3 at +111 for 3 units. I think Leipzig get up 1-0 and then batten down the hatches. Leipzig have the best defense in the league and they are even better at home. Past 3 matches between these two have gone under this number. Just like this spot. The number should be 2.5.

Eintracht Frankfurt +1.5 at -159 for 5 units. Luka Jovic, Luka Jovic, Luka Jovic, and Sebastien Haller. I will keep writing about these two until every soccer fan knows them. They are great. Bayern have been rounding into form (barely), but Frankfurt have been hot all season. I don’t think Bayern will win this game by 2 on the road. Frankfurt have scored in their last 10 home matches. Bayern is still shaky at the back. Hummels lacks the pace and Boateng isn’t fit. Robben, Sanches, Tolisso, and James Rodriquez are all out for Bayern. Alaba and Kimmich are great at going forward, but Frankfurt can catch them out of position. I see a 2-1, 2-2 type game here.

Napoli/Lazio/Arsenal/Chelsea Parlay risking 4 units to win 6.08 units. Arsenal have won their past 6 homes games against Burnley. They have averaged 3 goals in those matches. This Arsenal team is better than some of those Arsenal teams as well. Chelsea haven’t lost at Stamford Bridge all season. Leicester have not won in their last 8 matches at Stamford Bridge. Chelsea have only lost twice this season, but are still 8 points behind Liverpool. They have to win these home games if they want the title. Lazio are in the midst of their worse domestic form since 2009; however, Lazio has won their last 7 matches against Cagliari at home. Cagliari have conceded first in 7 of 8 away games this season. Like Chelsea, Napoli are 8 points behind the league leaders (Juve) and haven’t lost at home all season.