Australian Open Women’s Final – No Serena :(

91-44-6 on tennis in 2018 up 42.63 units

16-15 on tennis in 2019 down 5.95 units

Who needs Serena when you have Naomi?

Naomi Osaka (+1.5 Sets) at -244 for 10 units.

Naomi Osaka at +108 for 4 units. Osaka will become the first Asian player to ever achieve the number 1 ranking if she wins here. That is huge. There have been billions of people that have not been able to achieve that status. Literally billions. Naomi had 56 winners against Petra Kvitova in the last round. Naomi had so many good shots that Petra just stopped chasing them at one point. Osaka won over 80% of her first serve points last match and won over 50% of her return points. That is good. At barely over 21 years old, Osaka is the youngest back-to-back major finalist since 20-year-old Ana Ivanovic’s run in 2008.

Petra Kvitova did not play anyone of World Class quality on her way to the Finals; whereas, Osaka had a relatively tough road to get here. Kvitova will not be ready for the step up in competition, even though she is the more experienced player. The streaky hot serve, return game, and ability to place winners will get Osaka the victory. Osaka has not lost a match from a set lead since 2016 at Tianjin.

Friday College Basketball

70-62-2 on NCAAB last season and went up 8.95 units

9-11-1 this season up 0.16 units

I usually don’t bet on road teams like this, but I like all three of these spots. Buffalo, Butler, and Michigan have all been solid teams all season.

Buffalo at -385 for 4 units. Kent State doesn’t have the depth, size, or defense to stop Buffalo. It is that simple.

Michigan at -219 for 3 units. Michigan is 9-10 ATS this season, but they have only lost one game straight up. Indiana has lost 5 in a row and would require a huge upset to beat this Final Four bound Michigan team. Ignas Brazdeikis is fun to watch. If you watch ESPN you wouldn’t believe it, but there are great freshmen that don’t play for Duke. Ignas is one of them.

Butler +2.5 at -105 for 2 units. Butler and Creighton are similar teams, but I’ll take the points. Butler is one of the best defensive teams Creighton has faced this season. Kamar Baldwin struggled for Butler against Villanova, but he has been great this season. I expect him to bounce back here. This will be a close game, but if one team can blow out the other, it’ll be Butler.