College Basketball Tuesday – Blue Bloods and Steph Curry’s School

70-62-2 on NCAAB last season and went up 8.95 units

19-17-1 this season up 15.08 units

Let me start of by saying I hate Kyle Guy. I don’t like that his last name is Guy. I don’t like that he always balls out against my schools (VCU and UNC). I don’t like the way he yells; however, I do like that he won me money last night. Coby White is so fun to watch as a Tar Heel fan, but UVA’s defense coupled with Little and Johnson getting ankle injuries was too much to overcome. UNC’s main problem in the game was a lack of inside presence and perimeter defense. Roy has time to fix this.

Duke/Kentucky/Davidson Parlay risking 5 units to win 5.11 units. Can Rick Pitino take any credit for how well this Louisville team is playing? Dick Vitale seems to think Rick should get another coaching job…. Dick Vitale may want to die screaming on a different hill. Louisville does have some good wins this season, like against UNC, but Duke is a tough matchup for them. Jordan Nwora is great for the Cardinals, but Duke excels at taking away your best player.

Lost in all the Zion talk, is how good of a job Coach K has done in handling this team. Duke out-coaches and out-athletes Louisville tonight. Duke holds opponents to under 30% shooting from the field. Louisville holds opponents to a lot higher number of 41.3% shooting from the field. That stat embodies the difference between these two teams.

Tremont Waters has been going off for LSU and Will Wade this season. Calipari recruited Waters, but he chose Georgetown and then switched to LSU. The Tigers have been an offensive machine in the last few weeks; however, Kentucky has the defense to slow them down enough for the win. PJ Washington has been dominate for Kentucky of late and I expect that to continue tonight. I hate that I think Duke and Kentucky are the two best teams in basketball. One of them will win the Championship for sure. (Jinx has been activated).

Davidson is tied with VCU atop the A-10, but they are only 4-4 on the road this season. Fordham is last in the A-10. Donald Trump’s first university attended, Fordham, has one win in conference play, and that was against fellow bottom-dweller UMass. Jon Axel Gudmundsson put Davidson on his back in their close win against Umass. Davidson comes ready to play in this one and gets the win.

 

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ATP Rotterdam Round 1 Predictions

91-44-6 on tennis in 2018 up 42.63 units

24-20 on tennis in 2019 down 10.21 units

Denis Shapovalov ML/Milos Raonic -3 Parlay risking 7 units to win 6.41 units. Franco Skugor does have a strong serve, but the Croatian should not be too much of a challenge for Shapovalov. The Canadian has some points to defend at Delray soon, so getting some wins in his debut at Rotterdam would be good for the confidence.

Milos Raonic goes up against an out-of-form Philipp Kohlschreiber. This is Raonic’s first match since losing in the quarterfinal of the Australian Open. Raonic made the semifinal here in his only other appearance in 2015. Raonic did not drop a set to Kohlschreiber in their only other harcourt meeting at the 2015 Australian Open. Fognini is the only top-ranked opponent the German has beat this year. We all know how up and down Fognini can be. Kohlschreiber’s first serve percentage has been far too low for my liking this season. That will hurt him today against a player of Raonic’s caliber.

Champions League – PSG at Manchester United and Porto at Roma

92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units

13-13-5 on Soccer in 2019 down 10.08 units

Well since I last wrote about soccer, Manchester City beat Chelsea 6-0, Real Madrid beat Atletico 3-1, Sevilla came back from a red card 2-0 deficit to tie Eibar, Barcelona tied Bilbao 0-0, Tottenham beat Leicester 3-1, and Dortmund blew a 3-0 lead to tie Hoffenheim 3-3. The Dortmund loss is the most shocking. I would be up about 5 units if they won that game; however, Reus and Delaney’s absences were felt. Once the game started to slip away, Reus could have been used to add some leadership and steady the game. Reus and Kane will be out for Tottenham/Dortmund tomorrow.

Manchester United +0 at -161 for 10 units. No Cavani or Neymar for PSG. Manchester United haven’t lost at home under caretaker boss Ole Gunnar Solskjær. Pogba should be able to dominate the midfield. Kylian Mbappe is amazing, but the twenty-year-old-World-Cup-winner may have too much of a burden in this one without Cavani or Neymar. Rashford rested over the weekend, so he should come out firing. Di Maria going up against his old club here. Draxler, Di Maria, and Mbappe are not a bad front 3, but Neymar and Cavani are World Class. Manchester United has the fitter, more in-form team, and they are at home. Not going to overthink this one.

Roma at +110 for 3 units. Dzeko will step up in this big game. Porto dominated their weak group, but playing at Roma will be the toughest opponent they have played in a while. Roma only lost one game at home in the group stage and that was to Real Madrid. El Shaarawy and Dzeko both scored in Roma’s 3-0 win against Chievo over the weekend. They tuned up well for this match and I expect them to get the win in Rome.