ATP Cincinnati – August 14th

91-44-6 on tennis in 2018 up 42.63 units

42-47 on tennis in 2019 down 39.78 units

Tsitsipas/Wawrinka/Zverev Parlay risking 4 units to win 12.86 units. Struff beat Tsitsipas earlier this year. The Greek won’t want that to happen again. Neither of these players are playing their best tennis right now, but Tsitsipas is the better player. Struff has had a great 2019 but his standards, but has been slipping recently. I like Stefanos to do enough today against the strong Struff serve.

Wawrinka and Rublev meet today. Wawrinka leads the H2H 1-0, but that match was a couple years ago. Rublev has struggled since his back injury last year, but has turned it up lately. I just like Wawrinka’s ability to fight back. Wawrinka is 6-2 in the second round here. He lost in the second round to a Russian last week… I don’t think that’ll happen twice in a row.

Miomir Kecmanovic is in great form, and Zverev is not. Alexanders Zverev is great in Masters 1000 events, but he has never won a match in Cincy in 6 appearances here. He will get at least one win this time around.

 

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UEFA Super Cup – Chelsea Vs. Liverpool

92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units

36-31-9 on Soccer in 2019 down 8.41 units

Liverpool at -155 for 4 units. Liverpool are one of the best teams in the World. Chelsea are not. Chelsea started a guy named Tammy at striker in their 4-0 loss to Manchester United over the weekend. Sorry Tammy, you may be a star one day.. but not quite yet. Hazard is gone, Loftus-Cheek and CHO are hurt. Pulisic, Kante, and Barkley are not enough to beat Liverpool.  Chelsea’s manager, Frank Lampard, is trying to implement a pressing style that got caught on the counter attack too often against Man U. Salah, Mane, and others should get it done for Klopp’s side. Stephanie Frappart will make history as a female referee today. Yay diversity!

MLB August 14th – Twins and Yankees

92-83 on MLB last season and went up 34.31 units

40-37 on MLB this season down 1.61 units

Yankees at -255 for 3 units. Little bit of reverse line movement here, but not enough to scare me off of the Yankees. New York has won 4 in a row. Gio Urshela had 3 hits yesterday. That DJ LeMahieu guy had a homer on the first pitch from Baltimore. Judge finally got a double and that may be all he needs to break out of his slump. Bundy has a 6.56 ERA over his last 3 starts for the O’s. Baltimore can clinch a 3rd straight losing season with a loss today…

Twins at +105 for 5 units. Kyle Gibson has won 2 of his last 3 starts for Minnesota. Gio Gonzalez is 3-3 with a 6.56 ERA in nine career starts against the Twins. Milwaukee’s bullpen has not been what it was last season. Minnesota are a half game ahead of the Indians in their division. The Brew Crew are 2 and half games back of the Cubs in the NL Central. Minnesota has the best BA and SLG in the MLB against lefties this season. Gio is a lefty. I like this spot today.