69-58-5 on the NFL last season (2018/19) up 26.36 units
11-17 on the NFL this season down 13.09 units
Eagles +6 at -140 for 5 units. Public is on the Packers. Buying a point here because I think it will be a low-scoring game. Philadelphia has lost the last two weeks by a combined 7 points. Alshon Jeffrey is back and Wentz needs him (The above image shows a Nelson Agholor drop, on a crucial 3rd down, in the loss to the Lions). The Eagles had 8 dropped passes last week according to an AP article by Keith Jenkins and 5 according to PFF. I’m going to believe Pro Football Focus. Keith must be a Cowboys fan. Keith is a very Cowboys fan name. Are you a Cowboys fan, Keith? 5 dropped passes is still the most in a game this season.
Davante Adams hasn’t scored a touchdown this year, but he has had sex. He became a dad on September 20th. Green Bay is top-3 in sacks and interceptions.. that would be impressive, but they have played Mitch Trubisky, Joe Flaccid, and Kirk Can’t-Win-A-Game-Against-A-Team-With-A-Winning-Record. Wentz actually looks like a NFL QB. I’ve thrown tide pods into the wash harder than Mitch threw one of his touchdowns to Taylor Gabriel last week. Green Bay’s offense is ranked 28th, but they have played solid defenses and are 3-0. Only 1 team has started 1-3, like the Eagles are now, and won a Super Bowl (Tom Brady, BB, and Ty Law). I’ll take the points in a must-win game for the Eagles.
Eagles/Packers under 49 at -135 for 3 units. Public is on over and the Packers, so I am buying a point in the opposite direction for both. To Generalize, Green Bay and Philadelphia both have good defenses and average offenses through 3 weeks. In a GreenZone turnover I trust. Is the GreenZone still a thing? It was so dumb, but I loved it.