Category: Uncategorized

15-10-1 on NCAAB in 2017 up 5.25 units

1-0 in 2018

TCU +0 for 3 units. Baylor has lost to every good team they have played this year. TCU is a good team that barely lost to Oklahoma and Trae Young. TCU has a well balanced fun to watch offense that should overpower Baylor. Baylor is not that great against the spread at home and TCU has a good road record against the spread. TCU does not have the best defense, but against an average Baylor offense they should do enough for the victory.

Kansas -7 for 2 units. Texas Tech has not won an away game all year and I think they will struggle tonight for Kansas. Kansas has been drilling 3s at a school record pace and I think they fall tonight at home. Texas Tech has one of the better defenses in the BIG 12, but I do not think it will be enough to slow down Kansas in Phog Allen.

15-10-1 on NCAAB in 2017 up 5.25 units

WVU -2 for 2 units is my only play today. Kansas State shot lights out vs Iowa State, but West Virginia has a better defense than Iowa State. WVU will crash the boards and win on the free throw line. Huggins is coaching against his old team and I think he will want this win more than others. WVU has a balanced offense that will wear Kansas State down. Final score 75-70 for West Virginia. Same score Bruce Weber’s Illinois team lost to UNC by in the 2005 national title.

18-16-1 on NBA in 2017 up 7.22 units

Starting a new record with the new year.

Nets ML -134 for 2 units. Reverse Line Movement.

Timberwolves -10 for 2 units. Lakers have looked awful in their last 5 games. Lonzo was not playing great, but he at least gave the Laker offense an identity. Lonzo is out and the Timberwolves have been looking better since Jimmy Butler has been shooting more. The Timberwolves beat the Lakers by 17 on Christmas in the Staples Center and I expect more of the same here for them at home.

Blazers +1 for 2 units. Dolla Damn should be back for this one after he worked out in conditioning drills on Sunday. Napier played well in Lilliard’s absence, but it will be nice for the Blazers to get their star back. I know the Bulls have been playing better and the Blazers just struggled against a bad Hawks team, but I like the Blazers here. They are just the better team and should be able to outshoot the Bulls on the way to a win.

All 5 unit Christmas money plays

13-9-1 in NCAAB up 3.3 units

Merry Chrslyer. Happy Honda Days.

Miami -6

USC -4

Princeton -2

Knicks ML

Cavs +5

Celtics -4

Rockets ML

Twolves ML

With fam, no time for write up. Best of luck.

13-7-1 in NCAAB up 10.62 units

Wofford beat UNC in Chapel Hill last night. Wofford beat UNC in Chapel Hill before Clemson ever did. Clemson has had over 50 more tries than Wofford. Roy Williams was his typical southern, mad self that he is after his boys lose. All great entertainment. Joe Lunardi tweeted “North Carolina’s home loss to Wofford is the worst by a defending national champion in the expanded NCAA tournament era (post-1985).”

Liberty -1 for 5 units. Yes Fort Wayne just beat Indiana for the second straight year, but people may not realize how good this Liberty team is. Liberty will be one of the better defenses IPFW has faced. I do like the fact the Fort Wayne’s mascot is the Mastodons for what it is worth. I think Liberty will show they are the better team on this neutral floor down in New Orleans.

Gonzaga -5 for 3 units. Jonathon Williams and Gonzaga are excited to head to warmer weather for this road-trip. I like that. Gonzaga smacked San Diego State last year, and I know both teams are very different, but I still like Gonzaga to cover. San Diego State lost to an average Cal team 12 days ago and haven’t played since. Gonzaga is averaging almost 92 points a game and is the best offense SDSU has seen all year.

 

 

 

 

 

16-10-1 in the NBA up 16.35 units

Raptors -3 for 3 units. Raptors have been a good away team all year. 76ers are giving up over 109 points a game, which is not a good recipe against this hot Raptors team that put up 129 against the Hornets last time out. Toronto is 9-1 in their last 10 and the 76ers are 2-8. Seems like this line should be at 5 or 6, people giving the 76ers a little too much credit on their home floor.

Spurs -3 for 3 units. Spurs have won 3 in a row, Jazz have lost 3 in a row. Jazz need Donovan Mitchell and it appears they won’t have him for this game. Jazz do play a lot better at home, but the Spurs will look to get this 3-game road trip started off with a win. Even if Mitchell does play, he won’t be 100%. I think the Spurs bench will win this bet and the game for the Spurs. Pop is getting his players back from injury so his rotations will be more of what we are used to seeing from the Spurs.

Cavs -10 for 3 units. Cavs are 11-20 against the spread this year and the Bulls are 17-12 against the spread this year. Think both of these numbers start moving towards the mean tonight. The Cavs are great at home, having won 11 straight in The Land. Both teams are relatively hot, but the Cavs could not do enough to get past the Bucks. Bulls have not been beat since Mirotic returned from being punched in the face by Bobby Portis. Portis still has one of my favorite college highlight tapes.

 

13-6 in NCAAB up 16.02 units

 

Mississippi State -22 for 5 units at -108. Honestly have not watched a Mississippi State game all year, but I have watched Arkansas Little Rock and they are putrid. Mississippi can blow bad teams out and I think that happens here. Little Rock struggles to score the ball and has a below average defense – not a good combo. Mississippi State has beat 4 teams by more than 22 this year and I think this will be the 5th team to get blown out by them. Also, Little Rock has not won an away game all year.

Seton Hall -21 for 2 units at -110. Wagner is a weak 7-2 and Seton Hall is undefeated at home this year. I watched Seton Hall play a good VCU team in person and come away with a double digit win. The Seton Hall senior stacked team will come out with fire after losing their last game to a solid Rutgers team. Corey Sanders is a great player for Rutgers. Watch for him come March. Wagner lost to Rider their last time out and will not be ready for this step up in competition.

13-10-1 in NBA up 5.8 units

 

Raptors -2 for 4 units at -106. Raptors have won 3 in a row and beat a Kings team that looks a little better after beating the 76ers last night. Hornets had lost 3 in a row before the Knicks came to town without Kristaps the Latvian gangbanger. Hornets beat the Knicks, but I do not think we should be too much stock in it, as the Knicks did not have their best player. Hornets are sitting their rookie Malik Monk supposedly because he is not up to their standards on defense…. Why would they not let him get game time to figure this out. Monk’s confidence can’t be that high and I am confused why MJ and the franchise don’t just throw him into the fire. Hornets are an average team on offense and Monk could help them. Kaminsky got hot vs the Knicks, but I think the rotation of Raptors bigs should be enough to keep him contained.

 

Pacers -4 for 4 units at -110. Oladipo had another great night against the Celtics that was overshadowed by the Pacers’ meltdown. Pacers are actually a top 10 scoring team that the Hawks will not be able to keep up with. This line would be a little higher if the Hawks did not just beat an injury riddled Heat team. Sabonis, Young, and Bogdanovic will be enough of a supporting cast for Oladipo even if Turner does not play for the Pacers. Pacers are 6-1 against the spread in their last 7 road games. This line just seems a little too low for a good team vs the team with the league’s worst record.

 

Kings +5 for 3 units at -108. Randolph played great against the 76ers who were without Joel Embiid. Hield and Frank Mason III were making their shots and I know the Kings have not won on the second night of a back 2 back all year, but I like them here. The Nets have a below average offense and a terrible defense. The Kings have one of the worst offenses in the league, but they are improving. The Nets have lost 3 straight and it is hard to see them beating any team by more than 5. A lot of people are playing the over, but I would not trust that with these two below average offenses. I’m taking the points and believing in the veterans of the Kings.

 

 

 

 

12-4 in NCAAB up 18.12 units

 

Stephen F. Austin +15 for 2 units. Stephen F. Austin has 3 players averaging over 15 points a game led by Kevon Harris. Missouri has been surprisingly good this year without their star recruit. Missouri can get hot from 3, which is most likely why this line is so high. I do not think Vegas and the public realize how good this Stephen F. Austin program is. They just beat LSU and I think they can keep this one close.

Georgia Tech +4.5 for 2 units. Georgia did not look great in this last game out losing to UMASS by 10. GT looks to be playing better and they are one of the better defenses Georgia will have played all season. Georgia is 2-4 against the spread this season and I see that going to 2-5. Josh Okogie coming back for GT is another reason I like GT in this game.

Alabama -7 for 2 units. What some expert capping? Collin Sexton.

There are a few more games I would like to play, but the lines are not open at all 3 of my books so stay tuned for what could be more.