Football is back

69-58-5 on the NFL season (2018/19) up 26.36 units

46-49 on the NFL 2019/20 season up 27.97 units

9-6 on the NFL in 2020/21 up 9.14 units

0-0 on the NFL in 2021/22 up 00.00 units

1-2 on the NFL in 2022/23 down 3.14 units

8-5 on NFL in 23/24 up 6.21 units.

7-10 on NFL in 24/25 up 7.80 units

Survivor Week 1 Entries: Jaguars, Cardinals, and Broncos.

Saquon Barkley anytime TD for 3 units DK Boost from -185 to +100.

Travis Kelce to have 1 reception in 1st Quarter Draftkings Boost from -200 to +100 for 3 units

Draftkings Ghost Leg Parlay – Jerome Ford +150 TD, Ravens over 17.5 -375, Malik Nabers over 50 receiving yards -314 parlay for 3 units

Brock Bowers to have over 1417 receiving yards +1625 for 1 unit.

Baseball, Hockey, Soccer – Lets get it

Mike Trout has 4 homers in his career against Sonny Gray. I think he gets his 5th today. Rooker and Swanson have started hot.

Trout/Dansby Swanson/Rooker Home Run Parlay risking .5 units to win 9137.5 units. or +18275 no sweat parlay on DK. Feeling Lucky!

Basketball no sweat bet on Draftkings today – Miles Bridges 30 points rebounds assists with no LaMelo. Fred VanVleet over 2 3s. Nuggets ML and over 114.5 team total. +225 parlay them all

Have a 100% boost that I am using on Crystal Palace over 1.5 goals, Hurricanes in hockey over 2.5 goals, Man City to win first half and man city to score 3 or more. Leciester and Southampton two of worst teams in league. Capitals are doing their Ovechkin thing and giving up goals in the process. Seems like they love giving up two goal leads lately. Hurricanes can apply the pressure and win, but feel safer with the 3 goals.

New Year – Same Me

Dolphins in Madrid? Whose going with me?

Galatasaray ML, over 5.5 corners and to score twice. Starting the weekend with a heavy favorite over in Turkey. Osimhen, Mertens, and Yilmaz will be too much offense for Hatayspor to handle.

NBA: Bulls have been bad. Brandon Miller questionable, but even if he plays I like LaMelo tonight. LaMelo won’t go 2-9 from 3 again. The Play: Ball 30 points, Hornets over 111.5 and LaMelo Ball over 44.5 Points Rebounds Assists +130

UFC: Sopaj ML – De Ridder ML – HIll/Prochazka under. +486 boosted to +729 with DK boost Kevin Holland is past it. Sopaj is a beast and that HIll Prochazka fight is gonna be entertaining as hell.

Kelce 50 yards – Chiefs 20 points – Texans 13 points and Kelce to score. DK Boost from +405 to +539. Kelce will show up in the playoffs. Texans looked pretty good, so scared of the line. Hope the Texans win, but betting on Kelce.

King of the endzone promo Saturday – Mixon – Dameon Pierce – Xavier Worthy

King of the endzone promo Sunday – Nacua, Demarcus Robinson, and Ronnie Rivers

No Sweat Bet: Rams over 12.5, Ravens over 26.5 and Worthy 50 receiving yards +339

First NFL Game in Brazil Predictions

3-3 on NFL in 24/25 down 0.08 units.

Why did nobody tell me Isiah Likely would be better than Mark Andrews? That would have been nice to know. Lamar TD will hit this year as much as they ran him, but missed last night. Anyway, onto Friday Night’s matchup. Have the Eagles found a WR3 or fixed their secondary? IDK, but they will need to if they want to win the Super Bowl.

Parlay for 1 unit to win 6.8 units with DK boost: Packers +0.5 first Q, Packers over 19.5 points, Jaire Alexander Assist, Darius Slay assist. These athletic dudes can be flying around assisting like Neymar pre french league farmers fucking his legs up.

Jordan Love over 10.5 rushing yards +125 boosted to +188 for 3 units. Hit the first 3 games of last season. Run it back baby..

Josh Jacobs Anytime TD Scorer +110 for 3 units.

Also have my no sweat from Mark Andrews not getting a TD that I lived bet on Lamar Jackson’s rushing yards after his fumble last night. It hit almost before halftime, but hit nonetheless. Won’t count for my record cause not on the website, but I am up on NFL I swear! Haha good luck this weekend. Going to a 49 Winchester Country Concert tonight, so hopefully won’t be too hungover to write about NFL WEEK 1 SUNDAY REDZONE OCTOBOX AHHHHHHH EVERY TOUCHDOWN HOPEFULLY THE PANTHERS GET SOME OF THOSE TOUCHDOWNS JETAVION SANDERS IS STARTING TE AND GONNA BE A BEAST

Brandon Miller will be better than Anthony Edwards

NAMESEASONTMGPMPGPPGRPGAPGSPGBPGTPGFGMFGAFG%3PM3PA3P%FTMFTAFT%MINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-
Anthony Edwards2020-21MIN7232.119.34.72.91.10.52.27.016.841.72.47.232.92.93.877.62,3141,3923362118236160129-228
NAMESEASONTMGPMPGPPGRPGAPGSPGBPGTPGFGMFGAFG%3PM3PA3P%FTMFTAFT%MINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-
Brandon Miller2023-24CHA7432.217.34.32.40.90.61.86.414.644.02.56.737.31.92.382.72,3831,2793151756642132184-510

I realize saying Brandon Miller will be better than Anthony Edwards is a hot take since Ant just dominated the defending champs, but B Miller is nice. Brandon Miller plays for the Hornets, who sucked because of injuries yet again. These injuries gave him a chance to be the focal piece of the offense at times. Brandon Miller shot better than Ant did his rookie year (numbers above), and he has a higher shooting ceiling (form and height).

My Hornets could keep sucking forever, but if LaMelo can ever be healthy and they can ever find a 5 that can play defense. They have something with Brandon Miller. Miller doesn’t have the “pop” athleticism that Ant has, but he does have the ability to hang in the air like Ant. I mean look at this dunk.

The Hornets rarely hit on lottery picks. Hell I wanted them to draft Scoot – maybe it’s just cause of the Miller-Alabama gun stuff – but boy was I wrong. Miller can play. I doubt the Hornets will hit on this year’s 6th pick. I think they should go with Salaun (6 foot 9 hardworking frenchmen), Topic (Tall guard if LaMelo doesn’t pan out), or Cody Williams (nba starter at least). If the Hornets can hit on this pick this year, they are actually setting up nicely. Davis Bertans, who won’t be resigned, is the second biggest cap hit right now after LaMelo. The Batum signing was terrbile. The Rozier/Hayward signings were not viewed as bad, but they kinda were. Rozier and Hayward got paid about 50 million a year combined on the Hornets and didn’t ever make the playoffs. Rozier and Hayward complained and said snide things about how shitty they Hornets culture was after they left – yeah yall were brought to make it better as veterans.

Brandon Miller may never be great because of the team that drafted him, but I think he can be a top 10 nba player and in MVP conversations on the Hornets. If that happens, Hornets fans (me) would love him forever.

MARCH. IS. HERE. BEST TIME OF YEAR AHHHHHHHHHH

70-62-2 on NCAAB in 2018/19 up 8.95 units

46-38-1 last season 19/20 up 13.96 units

15-11-2 20/21 up 8.91 units

1-7 this season down 7.48 units

Scottie Scheffler winning the Players back 2 back washed away a lot of college basketball sins. An Auburn over didn’t hit, even though they scored 86 (South Carolina had 55). UNC let up 35 to Pittsburgh in 1H, but Pittsburgh couldn’t break 67 points. I ain’t worried about losing some close ones. A lot of basketball left. Congrats to all the conference winners – especially NC State and Duquesne for winning their conferences for the first time in a long time (’87 and 77′). Sadly those two teams beat my teams. VCU made the NIT. UNC got a 1 seed. Last year VCU made the tourney and UNC didn’t – be cool if they could both make it. Real Cool.

Kentucky -13.5 for 4 units. Using my DK 64% boost here. Hit this one when it opened, and the line hasn’t moved. Oakland allows a high percentage of shots in transition (5th most out of any team in tournament). That scares me against Kentucky’s guards. Over/under is 163 – There will be points in this game and Kentucky will get too many easy ones. Kentucky has almost become a lovable loser in this tournament – They have a chance to go on a run this year.

NC State +5.5/Creighton -13.5/BYU Duquesne over 140.5 Risking 1 unit to win 3.9 units. I watched NC State beat UVA and UNC in person. Burns and Burns are problems. OConnel can shoot. Texas Tech allows 60% of opponents shots at the rim. That’s a lot (6th worst our of tourney teams). The human escalade is gonna get his..

Creighton beat UConn by 19. Once I saw that happen – I was betting their line in NCAA tournament until they lose. They can outshoot anyone

Duquesne have been scoring since they beat VCU in Richmond – Honestly he milked the injury a bit. Just almost lost a tooth. Happens to children all the time. Dae Dae is a problem for the Dukes. BYU have a smooth offense, but I do not think their defense is crazy good. BYU are actually one of the few teams that the tournament seeded correctly. BYU love getting out in transition.

South Carolina/Creighton/Auburn -12.5 risking 1 unit to win 2.89 units. Jay Bilas said Oregon would win, so going with the Cocks. Creighton ain’t losing to Akron – RIGHT? Yale are not great at offense or defense. They just beat Brown by 1 to make the tournament on an unathletic looking last second shot. The opposite of Kyrie’s game winning shot against the Nuggets.

Creighton +2500 for 1 unit. Dook +2500 for 1 unit. North Carolina +1200 for 1 unit. Auburn +1400 for 1 unit. Picking a team from each Region and letting it ride.

Also placed some more golf bets – Wyndham Clark top 10 all 4 Majors on DK +8000 for 1 unit. Lowry top 10 all 4 +8000 for 1 unit. Scheffler top 4 all 4 +650 for 1 unit.

Maverick McNealy top 10 Valspar Championship +650. Brian Harman in my One and Done.

Some NBA Bets for tonight if you are a degenerate and can’t wait for NCAAT like me.

Kyrie Irving 4.5 assists/Kyrie 3 3s made/Mavs over 114.5 tonight against the Spurs. Riskin 1 unit to win 1.89 units. Doncic is Prolly playing, but I like Kyrie to get a little more usage with Luka’s hamstring issue. Kyrie seems to be locking in. He has played in 18 games straight for the first time since 2016 I think it was. Spurs defense will be great one day with Wemby, but that day is not this season.

Jordan Poole first 3 +390. Bet & Get on DK for 0.5 units. No Jones for the Wizards. Was going to go with Kispert or Poole, but Poole’s odds are better. Dk has nuked their odds on this promo, but I hit on Kyrie with Luka out, Kuzma with Jones out, and D Mitchell with Strus out.

61-53-2 on NBA in 2017/18 up 9.28 units

30-28-2 on NBA in 2018/19 up 4.16 units 

7-7-1 on NBA in 2019/20 down 3.91 units

2-1 on NBA in 21/22 up 8.67 units

No Plays in 22/23

3-4 on NBA this year up 2.08 units.

March Madness is here

70-62-2 on NCAAB in 2018/19 up 8.95 units

46-38-1 last season 19/20 up 13.96 units

15-11-2 20/21 up 8.91 units

0-0 this season

BYU ML/1H ML and over 142 against UCF today for 1 unit at +152. Using draftkings SGP insurance boost.

Just gotta get a little action in before my VCU Rams play at 2.

St Mary’s looked good against Gonzaga to win the WCC last night. Zags just don’t have the offensive fire power this year. Scoring is important in basketball.

UNC gonna beat dook 3 times to win the ACC Tourney Title? Idk but stay tuned!

Free basketball goal closeup photo

NBA Post ALL Star Break – March Madness Coming Up – Mexico Open

61-53-2 on NBA in 2017/18 up 9.28 units

30-28-2 on NBA in 2018/19 up 4.16 units 

7-7-1 on NBA in 2019/20 down 3.91 units

2-1 on NBA in 21/22 up 8.67 units

No Plays in 22/23

1-1 on NBA this year up 1.80 units.

Hornets +8.5 even money against Jazz for 4 units or $200.00. Reverse Line Movement here – 80% of bets are on Jazz, but line has moved from -10 to -9. Hornets have covered every game since Tre Mann was added to the team. Hayward, PJ Washington, Terry Rozier, Frank Ntilikina, Ish Smith, James Bouknight, and Kai Jones are all gone and the Hornets should be better off because of it. LaMelo is still out, but he does not move the needle enough compared to public perception.

Tatum/Shai Gilgeous-Alexander/Donavon Mitchell/Curry/Fox/Doncic/Booker all to score 25 points tonight risking 0.1 unit to win 1.05 units.

Josh Giddey over 3.5 assists and over 0.5 3 pointers made and Thunder race to 20 1Q Parlay risking 2 units to win 8.25 units. Thunder are better than the old Clippers. The Twolves called the Clippers old not me. Twolves should be calling anybody anything till they win something, but I am a Hornets fan….

College Basketball is heating up. VCU was rolling until they lost by 22 to UMass. Penn State kicked their leading scorer off the team and then beat Illinois. UConn was looking dominant untill they got smacked on the road. UNC has a point guard, 3-point shooter, and big man so they can always make a run. Houston’s defense is suffocating. Auburn looked great until a home loss to Kentucky. I’m locked in so some plays will be coming..

I also bet on Tony Finau, David Lipsky, Emiliano Grillo, and/or Alejandro Tosti to win this Mexico Open. It is a course for horses and Cameron Champ is already off to a hot start. Hojgaard, Shelton, and Ghim are the guys I wished I would have bet after watching 15 minutes of golf this morning..

Terry Rozier or Jimmy Butler in Crunchtime?

The Heat are in the middle of massive losing skid. Since they took Terry Rozier from my hornets for Lowry’s big – let me tell you they already have problems. Rozier scored 8 of the Heat’s first 11 points last night in the loss to the Booker Suns. Then he asked Jimmy to take the technical free throw and Jimmy shook his head no. Jimmy made the free throw, but gotta let the new fan favorite cook. Terry’s offense then suffered and the Heat lost the game. Jimmy lets Herro shine – can he also let Rozier shine? Time will tell, but I would not bet on the Heat going back to the ECF with their defense playing like it is.

1-1 on NBA this year up 1.80 units.

Carolina Panthers' Military Appreciation football

NFL Divisional Round – Hopefully the Games are not shit blowouts again this weekend

8-2 on NFL this year up 9.21 units.

The Cowboys Suck! They have not won an NFC Championship since their Super Bowl win in the 90s — The Lions Don’t Suck! The Lions got their first playoff win since before xbox live, text messages, and Facebook were a thing. Panthers keep announcing on their instagram that they are interviewing coaches (its a lot and none are named Harbaugh). These games will be better this weekend. Read last weekend like a book. Wouldn’t hate betting Devin Singletary to score again, but going parlay crazy… Packers might win again.. Bills favored makes me think they smack the Chiefs.

Isiah Pacheco longest reception over 10.5 yards/Amon Ra St. Brown TD/Aaron Jones TD/Nico Collins TD for 1 unit at +2179 with 30% boost. Could be a Travis Kelce game, more likely to be a Rice game, but I think still think Pacheco will take a screen pass for some yards – especially if Chiefs are down. St Brown was the only Lion to not score last week it felt like. He’s due. Nico is a stud and still not gettin respect at +160. Aaron Jones.. Keep it up. He’s been red hot the past 4 weeks now.

Lamar Jackson over 199.5 Passing Yards/Packers over 13.5 Points/Buccaneers over 16.5 Points/Josh Allen over 39.5 rushing yards for 1 unit at +350. Lamar is getting 200 passing yards. Packers are scoring 14. Bucs are scoring 17. Josh Allen is the variable, but I think he pulls off another long run last week. Chiefs secondary is not the best tackling secondary.

Packers over 16.5/Packers +3.5 1Q/Packers over 9.5 1H/Over 9.5 1Q for 1 unit at +448. Packers keep it rolling. They were hot over the past month of the season and worked the Cowboys. 49ers may lean on them and win the game like they always seem to do against the Packers, but I think the Packers score enough to keep it close.

Shai-Gilgeous-Alexander under 44.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists for 3 units. Why is SGA catching a stray? No, it is not because I wish the Hornets had him instead of Miles Bridges (Bad trade). It is because the Thunder scored like 134 points against the Kings last time they played and this number still ain’t it.