11-4 in NCAAB up 16.19 units
Valpo +2 for 2 units is the play tonight. It seems that hate for Valpo has gone too far with regards to their 3 game losing skid (Ball state, Purdue, and Northwestern). They should still be favored against a team that has one win against division 1 opponents. I watched the Valpo Northwestern game because I was on Northwestern. Northwestern smacked them, but Valpo should play better against a defensively challenged Santa Clara team.
10-8-1 in NBA up 5.34 units
Celtics -2 for 3 units. No Marcus Morris for the Celtics. Irving is shooting 47.5% from 3 over the past 5 games. Celtics are 12-4 on the road this year. Both these teams have great records against the spread this year. Pacers do not have the defense to deal with the Celtics and it seems this line should be a little higher the more I crunch the numbers. Pacers are 10-6 at home after losing their last two games at home. Celtics beat them by 10 earlier in the year in Indy. Pacers have been playing better but the Celtics are still playing a level above the Pacers.
Knicks +7 for 3 units at -120. Hornets have only beaten two teams in December by 7 or more (Magic and Thunder). This play is dependent on Porzingis playing. Hornets do not have anybody that can guard the Latvian, and this was shown in the first meeting between these two teams when Kristaps took over.
Nuggets +6 for 3 units. Nuggets are not great on the road and the Thunder are better at home, but I still like the Nuggets and the points here. Both of these teams have been inconsistent on the season, although the Thunder have been playing better as of late. No Steven Adams hurts the Thunder in this one and Jokic has his way in the paint. Take the team with the better record getting points.
Warriors ML Rockets ML Parlay Risk 4 units to win 2.6 units – Two best teams in the league against two below average teams here. Do not overthink.