Day: January 10, 2018

15-10-1 on NCAAB in 2017 up 5.25 units

5-6 on NCAAB in 2018 down 4.32 units

LSU +9.5 for 5 units. LSU just beat a good Texas A&M team on the road and barely lost to Kentucky. They are a great 3-point shooting team which can keep them in any game. Arkansas has been struggling and razorback fans have to be a little worried about their team. Both these teams are 3 games above .500 vs the spread. Arkansas has not beat a conference team by more than 2 and I do not see them winning this game by double digits. Look for Reath and Waters to drill some 3s to help us cover.

TCU +2 for 4 units. I think Texas is getting too much credit for being at home here. TCU is a good road team this season and beat a Baylor team that beat Texas well recently. TCU has 2 conference losses but they were to Kansas and Oklahoma. TCU’s offense will be too much for Texas to handle. Take the better team for with the extra points.

 

18-16-1 on NBA in 2017 up 7.22 units

11-6 on NBA in 2018 up 5.32 units

Pelicans -1 for 4 units. Grizzlies won the first meeting, but they had Mike Conley playing back then. Anthony Davis may not play, but the Pelicans have actually got more support of late. The floor should be more open for Cousins without Davis. Grizzlies have only covered in 3 of their last 16 home games. Pelicans are 3-2 without Davis this year and the losses game in good games vs the Warriors and at the Rockets. I expect them to pull out the win here.

Hawks +9 for 3 units. Hawks are 3-19 on the road this season. They have not won a game in this road trip. Nuggets won the first game they played against the Hawks by 5 and I think they are better now and they are at home. Jokic has been struggling to score lately, but I think he will get out of his slump starting here. Gary Harris is averaging almost 19 points over their last 10 games and Murray is having a good season as well. The Nuggets know if they want to make the playoffs, they have to win these games. Good teams win, great teams cover. Nuggets are not a great team – contrarian play.

Wizards -7 for 2 units. Jazz on the road fade. I hate betting the Wizards because they can’t close out games. See their 4th quarter meltdowns in their last two games if you want an example. They have to be as tired for blowing 4th quarter leads as the people that bet them. I just think the Wizards have too much offense for the Jazz to keep up. Best of luck.

 

 

 

11-3-1 in soccer up 9.18 units

Chelsea ML at -155 for 4 units. Arsenal is all out of sorts on the defensive end of the ball. They should have lost to Chelsea in their premier league contest recently but Morata blew two chances with just the goalkeeper to beat. Bellerin had a great half volley to tie the match for Arsenal. Arsenal just does not have the chemistry on the backline to stay in this one. Chelsea plays better at home and have only lost to Manchester City since September at Stamford Bridge. Kolasinac and Monreal both being out furthers my worries about Arsenal’s backline.

Chelsea Arsenal over 2.5 at -135 for 2 units. First match was open and Arsenal should be going for a goal here which will leave their shaky backline open. Best of luck.

Alaves -1 at -170 for 4 units. Copa del Ray game here. Alaves won the first leg 3-1, so Formentera will have to come out firing. This is the furthest Formentera has ever made it in La Copa and I although I think they may grab a goal here, but they will not do enough to move on. Munir, Bojan, and Demirović will just be too much for Formentera to handle. I see Alaves dominating on the counter and Formentera losing hope early in this game. Best of luck.