Day: February 15, 2018

7-7-1 in Hockey up 6.96 units

NHL – OT included.

Rangers ML at +103 for 2 units. Islanders fade. Islanders have given up 22 goals in their past 5 games. The Rangers have actually lost the last 6 games between these two teams so I expect that streak to end. The Rangers are in last in their division, but if they win here, they will be less than a game back from a playoff spot.

Ducks ML at -120 for 1 unit. Blackhawks fade. Blackhawks have lost 7 in a row overall and 6 in a row at home. Blackhawks only have 7 goals in their past 5 games and only two of those came without a power play. If the Ducks can stay out of the penalty, they will win this game.

 

15-10-1 on NCAAB in 2017 up 5.25 units

33-31 on NCAAB in 2018 up 2.87 units

Ohio State +1 for 3 units. Penn State beat OSU earlier in the season so this is a revenge game for the Buckeyes. OSU has a slightly better offense and defense, but this small difference may not matter as much in rivalry games like this. OSU will most likely have the Big 10 coach and player of the year in Chris Holtmann and Kevin Bates-Diop respectively. OSU lost to Penn State on a last second half court bank shot by Tony Carr. Kam Williams should be back for this game for OSU as well. I like the revenge angle and OSU’s ability to play defense with lengthy big guys that can switch on pick and rolls.

Purdue -10 for 2 units. Purdue has the advantage on defense and inside. Wisconsin is missing 2 of their 4 best guards and their big men have not played to their potential this season. Purdue won this game by 28 earlier this season and I expect another double digit win here.

Arizona State +1 for 1 unit. Another revenge game here. Arizona State lost this game by 6 at Arizona earlier this season. The Sun Devils have been playing a lot better on defense lately and the home crowd should give them an added boost. Arizona State has beat Xavier and Kansas this year, so they can compete with the some of the best schools in the country. Arizona does have the height advantage inside, but Arizona State averages more rebounds. ASU got a lot of shots blocked in the first matchup and I think they will make the necessary adjustments to pull out the home win.

35-27-1 in soccer down 1.54 units

Dortmund ML at -128 for 4 units. Dortmund has not lost at home this calendar year and will want to prove something after not winning a game in Champions League. Pulisic, Reus, Schurrle, and Batshuayi will be too much for Atalanta’s backline. Dortmund know they need an advantage going to Italy for the second leg if they want to advance. Atalanta did come away with first in their group, but that was when Everton was in awful form. Batshuayi and Dortmund have won the last two games and he actually might be a better fit than Aubameyang. Aubameyang seemed to be offsides a lot and did not always link up with other Dortmund players. Batshuayi may not have the pace of the man he replaced, but he seems better at finding space in the box already.

Lazio ML at -103 for 3 units. Lazio have been struggling domestically and will look to the Europa league to change their recent run of poor form. This should be a fairly open game wth exciting counters, but I expect Immobile to be the difference. If Ciro does not play, I will most likely stay away. Lazio has scored in every away Europa league game, while FCSB has scored in every home Europa league game, so we should see some goals.

Atletico Madrid -1 at +103 for 3 units. I just can’t see Copenhagen scoring against Atletico’s backline. Antoine Griezmann has been in fine form and is averaging a goal a game over his last 5. Madrid has held opponents scoreless in 6 of their last 10 on the road. The under on goals is an interesting play here too, but I usually stay away from that with a home underdog in the first leg.