35-27-1 in soccer down 1.54 units
Dortmund ML at -128 for 4 units. Dortmund has not lost at home this calendar year and will want to prove something after not winning a game in Champions League. Pulisic, Reus, Schurrle, and Batshuayi will be too much for Atalanta’s backline. Dortmund know they need an advantage going to Italy for the second leg if they want to advance. Atalanta did come away with first in their group, but that was when Everton was in awful form. Batshuayi and Dortmund have won the last two games and he actually might be a better fit than Aubameyang. Aubameyang seemed to be offsides a lot and did not always link up with other Dortmund players. Batshuayi may not have the pace of the man he replaced, but he seems better at finding space in the box already.
Lazio ML at -103 for 3 units. Lazio have been struggling domestically and will look to the Europa league to change their recent run of poor form. This should be a fairly open game wth exciting counters, but I expect Immobile to be the difference. If Ciro does not play, I will most likely stay away. Lazio has scored in every away Europa league game, while FCSB has scored in every home Europa league game, so we should see some goals.
Atletico Madrid -1 at +103 for 3 units. I just can’t see Copenhagen scoring against Atletico’s backline. Antoine Griezmann has been in fine form and is averaging a goal a game over his last 5. Madrid has held opponents scoreless in 6 of their last 10 on the road. The under on goals is an interesting play here too, but I usually stay away from that with a home underdog in the first leg.