MLB May 3rd

36-26 on MLB in 2018 up 21.29 units

15-6 over the past 6 days. Astros could do nothing against Severino. The Rays lost in extras on a bunt single. The Twins won and Stroman got another loss for the Blue Jays.

Betting on the better starting pitchers coupled with the better teams today.

Pirates ML at +115 for 3 units. Trevor Williams has given up one home run in more than 35 innings for the Pirates. Nationals are batting injury problems as well. Hellickson hasn’t impressed me too much either for the Nats.

Braves ML at -106 for 2 units. Jason Vargas fade and the Braves are first in the division. We all knew they would be….

Tigers ML at +102 for 2 units. Skoglund fade. Royals looked better in their series vs the Red Sox, but I still think the Tigers are better. Skoglund has given up 15 earned runs in 21 innings this season.

Diamondbacks ML at -119 for 3 units. Patrick Corbin is better than Alex Wood. Wood did not look good at all last time out. This line should be closer to -150 in my opinion.

Athletics ML at -120 for 3 units. I am just going to keep betting Sean Manaea till he loses. Manaea made me a fan with his no-hitter vs the Red Sox. He was named AL pitcher of the month with his 30 strikeouts in April. LeBlanc hasn’t started a game since 2016 and the Mariners are putting him on the mound instead of calling up Ariel Miranda. The Mariners bullpen has not impressed me, especially after losing Paxton’s career high (and MLB season high) 16 strikeout no run display last night. They might need their bullpen a lot without a true starter starting on Thursday.

 

Tennis May 3rd

5-5 on tennis down 2.38 units

Kohlschreiber ML at -370 for 3 units. Kohlschreiber is actually down in the series vs Zverev 1-0 on the tour, but that match was played in 2008. Kohlschreiber is in better form, is better overall, and has a better history in this tournament. This match is in Germany and both are German so not too much of an angle there.

Kohlschreiber Zverev under 21 for 3 units. I think Kohlschreiber and his much stronger serve wins in straight sets.

Chardy ML at -110 for 2 units. Chardy won the last meeting on clay 2-0 vs Lajovic. Chardy looked good in the first round of this tournament and my prediction is that he will move on here. Lajovic beat a fatigued Millman in the first round. Lajovic has not got past the second round of a tour level tournament since last year. I think Chardy will do enough to beat him in this one. Chardy has made some impressive round of 16 runs this season, Lajovic has not.

NHL Playoffs May 3rd

37-37-4 in Hockey up 5.07 units

The Lightning got up early on the Bruins and did a great job protecting the lead. Tampa won the faceoffs and the takeaways. The Sharks got up early and did a great job protecting the lead as well. Vegas is deservedly mad about picks not being called against the Sharks (especially during the first goal). I don’t think the Sharks dominated as much as the score indicated, but the Sharks definitely deserved the win. Vegas got mad at the end of the game and were 2 men down as time ran out. The series is now tied 2-2 and the Sharks have to feel confident after losing the first game 7-0 and crawling back in the series. Vegas did not score on any of their power plays and Fleury had a bad night for the first time in a while.

Going back to fading the public and betting underdogs… Should have never stopped doing that.

Caps ML at +150 for 3 units. Tom Wilson is suspended for the Caps, but I think they have outplayed the Penguins to a greater extent than one Tom Wilson. The Capitals winning is my prediction for Game 4. I just think the Caps have been better this series, and if it were not for a Game 1 meltdown, they would be up 3-0.

Caps Penguins over 6 for 1 unit. Last game was so open and I expect more of the same. So many great offensive players in this series and Murray has been struggling a little.

Predators ML at +130 for 3 units. Predators got up 3-0 and then lost the game. Jets are 9-1 in their last 10. A lot of things did not go the Predators way in Game 3, Subban’s clears, Rinne being too aggressive, and they still were in the game. Predators almost have to win this game if they want to stay in the series. If the Predators get up, they will defend the lead a lot better. Connor Hellebuyck had a good quote about Pekka Rinne: “I hope the media’s not all over him … this is not a fun series for a goalie.”