26-23-1 on NBA Playoffs up 7.88 units
Celtics +2 for 2 units. The Celtics perimeter defense will shut down Kyle Korver and JR Smith. Lebron won’t be able to find the passing lanes he found last round. I still expect Lebron to go off, but the Celtics are the best team he has played against in these playoffs. I think the Celtics win a game in Boston, let’s hope it is this one. I expect the Celtics to come out playing harder with Scary Terry and Marcus Smart setting the tone.
Celtics – Cavs under 205.5 for 2 units. Brad Stevens and his defense will limit Lebron. This number has been rising a little so I’ll take perceived the value. I expect a physical game that the Cavs are not used to after playing the Raptors.
39-41-4 in Hockey up 5.23 units
CAPS ML at +174 for 2 units. IT IS THE CAPS YEAR. STILL WRITING IN ALL CAPS BECAUSE IT IS THE CAPS YEAR. LIGHTNING COULD NOT USE THEIR SPEED ON THE FORECHECK LAST GAME AND I DOUBT THEY WILL BE ABLE TO HERE. OVECHKIN HAS BEEN IN A GOOD GROOVE THE LAST FEW GAMES. THE FACEOFF GOAL WAS NICE. I JUST THINK THIS IS TOO MUCH VALUE TO PASS UP AGAIN. TAMPA IS GOING TO NEED MORE THAN 21 SHOTS TO WIN A GAME IN THIS SERIES.
41-41 on MLB in 2018 down 2.07 units
Rays at -107 for 3 units. Rays bats seem to wake up yesterday. Blake Snell has not given up more than 2 earned runs in his last 6 starts for the Rays. Dylan Bundy does not scare me for the Orioles. This line is weird to me, but I am sticking to my numbers and my gut.
Braves at -138 for 3 units. The Marlins have lost every game Jose Urena has started this season. Sean Newcomb has been solid this season for the Braves. Braves have the way better bats and a better starter today.
Mariners Tigers under 8.5 for 3 units. James Paxton (fresh off a no hitter) and Blaine Hardy take the mound today. Paxton had 12 strikeouts in the game before his no hitter. He is hot. Hardy has only given up 1 earned run on the season in 3.1 innings pitched. Seattle’s bats could always pop like they did in the second game yesterday, but I do not think that will happen today.