79-62-7 on Soccer since World Cup up 16.21 units

Atletico Madrid at -146 for 4 units. This game should be at -250, but it isn’t because Atletico haven’t won in 4 games away from home. Valladolid does not have the talent that Madrid has. Madrid only have 1 away win this season in the league. That changes today. Atletico have won their past 6 La Liga matches against Valladolid by a score of 16-2. Oblak has 103 clean sheets for Atletico. Yes, 103!! Valladolid have only scored 4 goals in their past 5 league games. Atletico wins 1-0 or 2-0.

Valencia at +179 for 2 units. Eibar have had one of their best starts to a La Liga season ever, but Valencia have the second best defense in the league (12 goals allowed) behind Atletico and tied with Getafe. Pareja has been great being the maestro this season for Valencia. Kondogbia, Soler, Mina, Rodrigo, Wass, Coquelin, and Garay are all solid players for Valencia. This Valencia team has struggled for wins this season, but they lead Europe with 9 league draws this season. Eibar have slowed down and Valencia have picked it up over the past few games. Here’s to that continuing..

Dortmund at -299 for 4 units. I love this Dortmund team, and not just because they have Christian Pulisic. Paco Alcacer has 11 goals in only 6 starts this season. He is a World Class super sub. Dortmund hasn’t lost at home in the league all season. Werder Bremen have only won 1 of their last 5 league games. Dortmund has won all 5 of their last 5 and are 7 points clear of Monchengladbach at the top of the table (8 points ahead of Bayern). Dortmund averages over 3.5 goals a game at home. I told myself I would keep betting Dortmund under -300 till they burned me and they haven’t yet.

Juventus -1 at +108 for 2 units. Derby della Mole today. The oldest derby in Italy. Juventus and Torino. Juventus have not gone two matches without a win since they signed Ronaldo. They lost to Young Boys midweek, but they had already qualified for the round of 16 in the Champions League. Ronaldo will go out of his way to be a team player in this one, after being selfish and cancelling Dybala’s goal against Young Boys. Torino have been a fairly easy team to bet on this season as they win the matches they are supposed to and draw/lose vs better competition (AC Milan and Napoli). Juventus have won their past 3 meetings. Dybala is in great form. Mario Mandzukic is one of the best poachers in all of soccer. I like this spot with Juve coming off a loss.

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