Let me start off by saying I am giddy with excitement for this football season. Let’s make some money..
Army +14 for 3 units. Duke’s offense could not get it going against Army last year. I think this line is way too high. Darnell Woolfork is going to get a lot of work this season for Army. Army’s leading receiver finished the season with 111 yards…. They don’t throw the ball haha. I still think Duke wins this game, but by around 10 points… not 14.
64-61 on the MLB up 7.77 units
Tigers at +303 for 1 unit. Why not? Jordan Zimmerman is starting for the Tigers and he can get a win.
Rockies at -134 for 4 units. Brett Kennedy does not scare me at all for the Padres. Colorado has to get a win tonight if they want to win the division. They can’t keep losing to the Padres..
63-61 on the MLB up 4.07 units
Lost on MLB last time out. Losing isn’t fun. I am going to quit doing that. Back on the winning horse today.
Diamondbacks at +123 for 3 units. Rich Hill pitched a great game last time out, but it was against the helpless Padres. The Dodgers are hot and the Diamondbacks are not. I still think the Dbacks at plus money is too good to pass up here. Robbie Ray is due for a victory, he has had a no-decision in his last 6 starts. Ray has won 6 times against the Dodgers which is his personal best against any team.
16-11-2 on Soccer since World Cup up 11.14 units
Besiktas at -170 for 3 units. Besiktas just has more talent on the field than Partizan Belgrade. Besiktas lost 3-2 to Antalyaspor last time out, but it was a game where Besiktas won the second half after a terrible first half. Ricardo Gomes has been scoring for fun for Partizan, but Medel, Pepe, Gonul, Quaresma, Arslan, and Ozyakup should have the experience needed to win this second leg for Besiktas.
44-16-2 on tennis up 30.61 units
Went up 14.82 units on Wimbledon
4-2 and up 3.97 units on the US Open
Fognini at -215 for 5 units. John Millman had an easy first round draw and will have to step it up if he wants to beat Fognini. Consistency has always been a problem for Fognini, but he seems to have figured it out a little bit this year as he already has more wins than last season.
Schwartzman at -555 for 4 units. I love betting on Schwartzman because you know what you are going to get. He is going to force long rallies and tire out his opponent on most days. This line is most likely a little too high, but I will bite.
Kohlschreiber/Ebden over 38 for 2 units. I looked at -4 for Kohlschreiber for a while, but I think I am going to pull the trigger on the over. Both their first round matchups went over and I could see some 6-4 sets. Kohlschreiber is nothing if not consistent so I expect a tight match here.
63-59 on the MLB up 10.07 units
Phillies at +104 for 3 units. The aces are pitching today in this one. Aaron Nola for the Phillies and Max Scherzer for the Nats. Nola is 3-0 vs the Nats this season. The Phillies have been slipping of late and are now 3.5 games back of the Braves. This should be a close game, but I think Nola and the Phillies will win it.
Rays at +113 for 3 units. Rays have won 8 in a row and are now an underdog. They know they have to keep winning if they want to make the playoffs. Just riding the hot hand here. The Rays just swept the Red Sox and they looked like a playoff team in that series. I don’t expect that to just disappear.
42-14-2 on tennis up 29.71 units
Went up 14.82 units on Wimbledon
2-0 and up 3.07 units on the US Open
Schwartzman -7 for 3 units. Diego Schwartzman has beat Delbonis the last 3 times they have met. All those matches have been on clay and I think Diego may have a bigger advantage on these hard courts. Schwartzman made it to the quarter finals here last year. Delbonis has not played a competitive hard court match since losing to Federer in March. I like this spot.
Fognini -6 for 2 units. Fognini is my favorite player on tour for a lot of reasons. The usual inconsistent Fognini that doesn’t take shit from anybody (not even the chair), has been surprisingly consistent this season. Fabio Fognini has not lost an opening match in a grand slam this season. Michael Mmoh got the wild card for the second time in his career at the US Open, but he just doesn’t have the talent or experience that Fognini will display today.
Troicki +6.5 for 2 units. Sandgren is not in his best form, while Troicki has no fitness of late. Makes it tough to pick a winner so I am going with the underdog. Troicki is the better player when both are at full strength.
Troicki/Sandgren over 35 for 2 units. I think Troicki will win one of the first two sets then fatigue will set in. I could see this going 4 sets and Sandgren pulling it out, but whoever wins, it will be a competitive match.
40-14-2 on tennis up 26.64 units
Went up 14.82 units on Wimbledon, now let’s get this US Open betting started.
Kevin Anderson at -343 for 4 units. Anderson made me some money on Wimbledon so I am going to keep riding him. Ryan Harrison beat Anderson they last time they met and Anderson will want to get his revenge. Harrison is going to have to play his best tennis to win..
Juan Martin Del Potro -7 for 2 units. Donald Young is just not in the same class as Del Potro. Del Potro won his first and only grand slam here in 2009. Young has not been playing his best tennis this season and now gets one of the favorites to win the tournament. I think Del Potro will break Young enough times for this to cover.
15-11-2 on the Soccer since World Cup up 6.14 units
Tottenham Hotspur +0 at +125 for 4 units. Manchester United and Jose Mourinho need a win today at home, but I do not think they get it. United is off to their worst start since 2014/2015. Brighton beat United 3-2 the last time out. Tottenham could get out to their best start in nearly a decade with a win today. Kane normally struggles against United, but I expect that to change today. He has 2 goals in 7 league games against Manchester. I just think Tottenham has been playing a lot better than United and that will show today.
62-57 on the MLB up 12.35 units
Rays keep winning and if Snell can keep pitching like he is, he will win the Cy Young. Goldschmidt hit a home run that is still flying somewhere. Severino and the Yankees got another win. The Yanks are now 6 games back of their rival Red Sox. Gausman got another win with the Braves. It is shaping up to be a fun end of the season with a month left.
Blue Jays at -130 for 2 units. Neither starting pitcher is great in this one and the Orioles just can’t buy a win. Kendrys Morales will tie a MLB record if he homers in this game because he will have a home run in 8 straight games. He will be tied with Ken Griffey Jr., Don Mattingly, and Dale Long. Griffey did it last in 1993. Cedric Mullins, the Orioles best player of late, is also out..
Cubs at -135 for 2 units. Syndergaard does not scare me too much and the Cubs are hot. It is that simple.
Rockies at -140 for 2 units. Odrisamer Despaigne has been pretty terrible in his two decisions and I expect that to continue. It is always tough for a longtime bullpen pitcher to start starting games. Jon Gray has been solid this season and the Rockies need a win to keep up with the Diamondbacks. Arenado is also silly hot right now, batting .333 in August.