MLB September 25th

69-68 on the MLB up 4.70 units

Dodgers -2.5 at +115 for 2 units. Walker Buehler has an ERA below 1.80 in his last 3 starts. Diamondbacks bullpen is tired. Dodgers offensive lineup will be too much for the Diamondbacks here again. Dbacks seem to have given up a little bit.

Cubs at -162 for 4 units. Cubs had 9 baserunners last night and scored only 1 run. That 1 run was a Cole Hamels homer. That won’t happen again obviously, but they will string together some more hits today. Cubs feel the Brewers on their tails and will want to get a win here. The pressure is on. Been fading Chris Archer all year and not going to stop now. Cubs will hit more than one homer tonight. Mike Montgomery only allowed 1 earned run last time out.

Cardinals at -112 for 2 units. Gio Gonzalez has not pitched all that well since his trade to the Brewers, but last time out he was sterling. Austin Gomber only has 1 loss on the season. Gio allowed 5 runs the last time out against the Cards. Cards blew it last night and need a win here for the final wild card spot.

Soccer September 24th

25-17-3 on Soccer since World Cup up 18.31 units

Ronaldo and Juventus got the half push/half win last time out. Let’s keep it rolling, I want to be up 40 units but the end of the calendar year. Might seem a bit bold, but I like having goals.

Real Sociedad at -170 for 3 units. Alaves beat Rayo Vallecano 5-1 last time out. Rayo have lost 3 of their last 4 games. Alberto Garcia has conceded 10 goals on only 21 shots as goalkeeper for Rayo Vallecano this season. Willian Jose (Sociedad’s leading scorer) should be back for this one. Real Sociedad have averaged over 2.5 goals a game at home in their last 15 at home. They barely lost to Barcelona 2-1 recently at home.

Atletico Madrid at -381 for 3 units. Just a huge gap in talent between Atletico and Huesca. Atletico will control this game, they have kept clean sheets in 9 of their last 12 La Liga games at home. Madrid needs a win here as 10 teams are tied or within 3 points of them in the final champions league spot. I know it is early in the season, but Atletico won’t want to fall too far behind Real and Barca. Diego Simeone and his club will take care of business today. This line should be closer to -500.

Freiburg pk, +½ at -110 for 3 units. Schalke are looking to avoid a fifth straight defeat here. Schalke have given up 3 corner goals already in this young season. Freiburg have scored 3 goals in their each of their last two games. I don’t think the gap in talent is different for these two teams so I will take the underdog that is in better form here.

Hockey September 25th

7-3-2 on Hockey this season up 14.39 units

45-46-6 on Hockey last season and went up 10.46 units

You know what it is. NHL hasn’t started their regular season, but I still have some Finnish overs for you. If you haven’t bet these before, start today. I am up 14 units already in this young season and I expect that to continue today. My book has the overs set at 4.5. That is a whole goal lower than what I think they should be set at.

Jukurit/TPS over 4.5 at -134 for 5 units. Every Jukurit game this season has pushed or gone over. The last 4 TPS Turku games have gone over. 3 of the past 4 meetings between these two teams have gone over. Both teams are averaging well over 3 goals a game. Juhana Aho did not look all that great as goalie last time out for Jukurit. Run it.

HPK/Karpat over 4.5 at -126 for 3 units. HPK’s defense looked awful last time out giving up 6 goals. Karpat did not get a goal last time out, but Hameenlinna may be just the anecdote they need to get some goals. Don’t feel as confident with this one as Jukurit, but they are Finnish overs so I am always confident.

Last time I didn’t put this quote at the bottom and I had my first losing day of the season in hockey, so call it superstition, but Aladdin said it best, “Do you trust me?”