Tennis September 30th

48-21-2 on tennis up 21.83

Fabio Fognini at -202 for 4 units. My favorite player on tour. Mr. Fognini. The Italian number 1 is going for his 4th title on the season. That would be an Italian record. Fognini has been so consistent this season compared to past years. Bernard Tomic has done well to make it this far and I believe in him (won money on him this tournament), just not against Fognini. Tomic does not have the results against this level of competition. Tomic said it himself, “Fabio is playing ridiculous.”

Pierre-Hugues Hebert at +106 for 3 units. Hebert’s serve will be too strong. Nishioka has already retired in 5 matches this season and has to be a little tired in making it to the final. This is Hebert’s second ever final and Yoshihito’s first. One of these two will get their maiden tour win. Hebert one the only other meeting in straight sets. A lot of people are saying Nishioka is the better player, but I don’t see it.

Hebert/Nishioka over 22.5 games for 1 unit. Even if this game only goes two sets, I could see it being a tie breaker both times. I see it going 3 sets though.

Soccer September 30th

30-21-5 on Soccer since World Cup up 19.47 units

3-0-1 yesterday. I thought Hazard and Chelsea were going to give me my only loss on the day, but then Sturridge happened. Seriously, click that link.. that goal is absurd. Dortmund was down 2-0, but came back against Leverkusen to win 4-2. Borussia now have 11 goals in their past two league games. Ronaldo got two more assists for Juventus. He leads the league in assists. Mandzukic scored the brace in the Juve win, after Napoli went up early. Sevilla keeps scoring at will. Andre Silva is the top scorer in La Liga for Sevilla and he got another one in their 3-1 win over Eibar.

Villarreal -1 at -105 for 2 units. Villarreal just has more talent. Layun, Santi Cazorla, and Carlos Bacca all had their moments in Villarreal’s win over Bilbao. Villarreal have not won at home yet this La Liga season, but that will change today.

Eintracht Frankfurt at -108 for 2 units. Sebastian Haller has been Frankfurt’s best player so far this season with 3 goals and 1 assist. Frankfurt is another team that has not won at home yet this season, but that will change today. Hannover have not won an away game in forever (11 months). Frankfurt has won the last two meetings between these two. Hannover could get it together and do something here, but nothing I have seen from them makes me think that will happen on the road.

Burnley pk at +104 for 2 units. Burnley scores more than Cardiff and has a better defense. Ashley Barnes and that Aaron Lennon guy have played well for Burnley this year. There is too much value in this play for me to pass it up. Cardiff has only created 7 clear chances on the season, they scored on 3 of them. Cardiff have given up 15 goals in their past 4 games. Burnley will find the back of the net here.

Soccer September 29th

27-21-4 on Soccer since World Cup up 7.83 units

Borussia Dortmund pk at -126 for 4 units. Dortmund beat Nurnberg 7-0 last time out. Dortmund has kept two clean sheets this season and are tied for best defense in the league by goals allowed. Reus likes playing Leverkusen. He has 7 goals and 3 assists in 12 games against them. Dortmund can move up to first in the league with a win. At worse they tie here.

Sevilla at +120 for 4 units. Sevilla is going for 4 wins in a row here. They just beat Real Madrid 3-0. Now they go on the road to face an average Eibar team. Sevilla has scored 14 goals in their last 3 games! Eibar beat Sevilla 5-1 last time they played. Sevilla will get revenge today. Ben Yedder has 6 goals in his past 3 games for Sevilla.

Liverpool pk at -116 for 4 units. Hazard did a Hazard and Chelsea went on to beat Liverpool in the Cup. Beating Liverpool twice in a row is no easy task. Liverpool are the only team left in the PL with a 100% record. Mane and Salah have been in fine form for a while now. Should be an exciting game, but I am backing the league leaders at this value.

Juventus at -109 for 4 units. Milik who has been in great form for Napoli and is not in the starting lineup today, but Ronaldo is for Juve. Juventus have scored 2 goals or more in 9 of their last 10 home games. Two best teams in the league here. Juve have allowed two goals in just 1 of their past 62 Serie A games at home…