MLB October 3rd

70-73 on the MLB down 5.55 units

Athletics at +174 for 4 units. Severino is 5-6 with a 5.57 ERA in his last 12 starts. Severino allowed 6 runs last time he played Oakland on September 5th. Athletics will string together some hits. Yankees broke a major league record for homers, hitting 227 on the season. Oakland actually hit more road homers this season than New York. Yankees started the season hot, Athletics finished the season hot. There is too much value in this play to pass up. Liam Hedriks is starting for Oakland. He has not pitched more than two innings in any of his 25 appearances this season, but the A’s have the 3rd-best bullpen in the MLB.

Hockey October 3rd

12-7-6 on Hockey this season up 13.16 units

Both my Finnish hockey bets pushed last time out. Up 13 units on the season, so I am not going to stop now. NHL starts tomorrow, but for now…. It is all Finland baby. Feel good about these today.

TPS at -103 for 5 units. TPS have not lost on the road this season. Assat has not won at home this season. TPS Turku average over 3 goals a game. Assat averages under 2. Also, Turku has a better defense.

KalPa -1 at +119 for 4 units. KooKoo have the worst defense in the league and have lost all 3 away games this season by 2 or more goals.

HIFK pk at -119 for 4 units. Helsinki have the best offense in the league so I will side with them here. HIFK are good value at this price even against a good Ilves team. HIFK have the top scorer in the league in Erik Thorell.

Champions League Soccer October 3rd

Aguero and David Silva got the goals to give Manchester City a much needed 3 points against Hoffenheim. Silva is a sneaky little guy. City are now second in the group behind Lyon, who they lost to. Lyon did well to come back and tie Shakhtar Donetsk after being down 2-0. Ajax are in fantastic form in their domestic league and this carried over as they tied Bayern Munich in the Allianz Arena 1-1. Boateng is not a world class defender anymore. Hummels scored the goal on a quality header for Munich.

Juventus took care of business and outclassed Young Boys. Juve did not have Ronaldo, who was serving his red card suspension. Bonucci has this filthy long ball to Dybala. Dybala placed into the back of the net with a suave kind of calmness. Juventus have won 9 games to start this season, a club record.

Juve have not lost, Real Madrid lost again today. These two clubs will always be linked in my mind due to Ronaldo. CSKA Moscow was like, okay Real, you’re going not going to start Isco, Modric, Marcelo, Ramos, and Bale? We are going to beat you then and they did. Real Madrid and Manchester United are not living up to their club’s lofty history.

Manchester United put in another lackluster performance against Valencia. Eric Bailly had this terrible shot, which sums up United’s season nicely I think. Bailly is an interesting human. Here is a twitter thread of him doing ridiculous stuff. Worth the watch just for his interactions with Zlatan Ibrahimovic among a myriad of other things.

Benfica had not won on the road in a good while. They went up 2-0 on Athens, then Ruben Dias got a second yellow right before halftime. Athens scored 2 in a row to tie it, but Semedo did not let his team lose. Roma beat Plzen 5-0 and Dzeko got his second hat-trick against them in Rome in as many home matches.

34-24-5 on Soccer since World Cup up 23.06 units

Dortmund/Atletico Madrid Parlay at -150 for 4 units. Dortmund lost to Monaco 6-3 on aggregate last time these two met in this competition. The Germans will want revenge. Borussia have actually lost 4 games at home in a row in the Champions League. Reus has four goals and two assists already this season. Dortmund have scored 11 goals in their past two matches. Monaco only have 1 clean sheet in their past 17 road games. Atletico play Club Brugge at home. Brugge have lost 7 in a row on the road in this competition. Atletico and clean sheets at home go hand in hand.

Liverpool at +116 for 3 units. Liverpool travel to the Stadio San Paolo to take on Napoli. The Reds have not lost yet domestically and just beat PSG. Napoli have to win here after drawing their first game in this group stage. Liverpool averaged 3.15 goals a game in this competition last season and they haven’t slowed down. Firmino, Salah, and Mane will be too much offense for Napoli.