70-62-2 on NCAAB last season and went up 8.95 units
37-34-1 this season down 0.43 units
I am going to go up 20 units at least over the next two weeks. I feel it deep down in my plums.
Louisville at -232 for 3 units. My view of this Louisville team is skewed because I watched them dominate UNC, but take away that win and Louisville has still outperformed many people’s expectations for them this season. Daniel Oturo is Minnesota’s only good big man (no offense to Matz Stockman or Eric Curry). If Louisville can attack him early and get him in foul trouble, they will pull away. When Jordan Nwora scores over 20 points Louisville wins (unless they are playing Duke or Tennessee). Minnesota lasts longer than Rick Pitino does with a woman.. not saying much as they will still be knocked out in the first round. Rick Pitino tweeted today that he thinks Kentucky would lose in the Final Four… Nobody gives a shit Rick. Kentucky won’t make it there anyway.
LSU -7 for 2 units. Everyone and their mom is on Yale because of the Will Wade news. Yale’s Miye Oni will be in the NBA one day, but LSU has enough talent on defense to limit him. LSU bounces back from an SEC loss to Florida and gets the double digit win today. Naz Reid is a grown man down low for LSU. He has a couple inches and about 40 lbs on Yale’s best big man Jordan Bruner. Reid and Tremont Waters do enough for LSU. Is water wet? I don’t know, but Tremont Waters is wet.
Auburn -6 for 2 units. New Mexico State is very good. They lost to Kansas by 2 when Kansas had not kicked anyone off of their team yet. New Mexico State is also on a 19 game winning streak. This game is in Utah. Utah is a lot a closer to New Mexico than Alabama. Even with all that said, Auburn’s ability to rebound and drain 3s will get them the win. I doubted them against Tennessee, won’t do it here.
Side note: Tennessee looked so damn poor against Auburn in that SEC championship game. Rick Barnes couldn’t take a team with D.J. Augustine and Kevin Durant to the Sweet Sixteen. Tennessee looked unprepared and rattled in that game. I am staying away from the Volunteers in this tournament..
Florida State -8 for 2 units. FSU’s basketball team might be able to beat FSU’s football team at football. That’s how deep they are. FSU doesn’t have a player averaging over 13 points a game, but they have 8 players averaging over 6 points a game. I watched the Vermont win over UMBC and Anthony Lamb is a beast. FSU has too many guys that can rotate to him on defense for him to go off like that in this game. FSU pulls away in the second half.
Nevada at -148 for 9 units. Not only is this a Florida fade, I love Nevada in this tournament. Trey Porter has been the main reason Nevada’s defense has been so much better this season in my opinion. Porter is a beast in the paint. Jazz Johnson shoots 45% from 3 for Nevada. Jordan Caroline and Caleb Martin both average over 17 points a game for the Wolfpack. Nevada limped through their post-season tournament, but I think they were looking ahead to the NCAA tournament. Their seeding is not as good as they thought it would be at the start of the season (due to the PAC-12 out of conference games not being as good of wins as they thought they would be). Nevada has more experience and better top-end-talent. Nevada will go on 2 or 3 big runs and win the game because of it. If Nevada loses, I’m gonna be like this kid..
Old Dominion +12.5 for 5 units. I kept betting on ODU in the Conference-USA tournament and they kept winning. Even ODU fans were like I don’t know if they are going to win this game, but I believed! Purdue has a great point guard in Carsen Edwards. Their offense revolves around him, as it should. ODU has 4 good guards in B.J. Stith, Ahmad Caver, Marquis Goodwin, and Justice Kithcart. Also, ODU has two 7-footers, while Purdue has none. I think ODU has a chance to pull off the upset here and I love them to cover 13 points.