UFC 235 Predictions – Jon “Bones” Jones Vs. Anthony “Lionheart” Smith

6-1 on UFC/MMA in 2018 up 9.90 units

12-3-1 in 2019 up 17.79 units

I’ve got a serious UFC problem. TOO MUCH WINNING. The Champ is here.

Polyana Viana at -260 for 4 units. Hannah Cifers is from Oxford, North Carolina. I am from North Carolina, so I like her, but Viana is Brazilian and you always go with the Brazilian. Nah, but really, a guy tried to jump Viana while she was waited for an uber. This is what happened to that guy. Not going to lie, I’m throwing training/experience/record vs similar fighters/grappling advantage and other factors out the window. She fucked that guy up. That’s badass and enough for me to side with her in this one.

Alejandro Perez at +175 for 3 units. Perez hasn’t lost since June 2015. Cody Stamann is a 5-foot-7 beast monster, but I like the value in the experienced Perez.

Zabit Magomedsharipov at -254 for 5 units. ZaBeast is 16-1. Zabit has some of the best striking in the UFC. Sorry Jeremy Stephens. You ain’t winning this one. Here is their intense beef. 

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Tyron Woodley at -170 for 2 units. Kamaru Usman is a scary man. His nickname is the Nigerian Nightmare. Usman is the “value” play, but I’ll take the guy that has already defended his title 4 times.

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Jon Jones/Anthony Smith over 1.5 rounds at -159 for 4 units. I either get an awesome Jon Jones knockout in the first or I win my bet. Win/Win situation.

 

Dubai Tennis Championships Final – Stefanos Tsitsipas Vs. Roger Federer

91-44-6 on tennis in 2018 up 42.63 units

27-24 on tennis in 2019 down 22.19 units

Stefanos Tsitsipas +3 at -120 for 6 units. Built up a huge bankroll on tennis last season, but this season has been rough so far. Still early in the year. Not going to run and hide cause I’ve lost a few. The hungry dog runs faster.

Roger Federer can join Jimmy Connors if he wins his 100th ATP title here. Insane. Tsitsipas beat Federer 3-1 at the Australian Open already this year. Stefanos went on to lose to Djokovic and cry. Not making fun of him for crying, seeing that passion is good. Just a fact, he cried. The thing is, I would never cry after playing Djokovic because there is no way in hell I could even get a game off of him. So, him crying, means he thinks he can beat the Joker. I like the confidence in the young Greek.

Federer beat Coric easily in the Semis. Coric had won the two meetings against Federer before this recent match, but Roger had had enough. Coric played poorly and Roger took advantage. Tsitsipas beat the in-form Monfils. I rate Monfils as a top 10 player right now (my ratings are way more important than the ATP system), so that win is impressive.

Tsitsipas gave Federer a lot of different looks while coming to the net over 60 times during their AO meeting. Federer will be more prepared for that this time around, which is part of the reason I am not betting money line here. Tsitsipas is going to attack Federer’s backhand on his serve. This forces Federer to slice and allows Stefanos to come forward. Federer has to step up his return game to a level I haven’t seen this year. Obviously Federer can step up, but Stefanos will make it difficult. I want to make this a massive play, but Tsitsipas has played a lot of tennis over the past 15 days with over 3,000 miles of travel in between. Mental and physical fatigue are going to be a factor for the Greek in this one, but Tsitsipas will win at least a set.