91-44-6 on tennis in 2018 up 42.63 units

27-24 on tennis in 2019 down 22.19 units

Stefanos Tsitsipas +3 at -120 for 6 units. Built up a huge bankroll on tennis last season, but this season has been rough so far. Still early in the year. Not going to run and hide cause I’ve lost a few. The hungry dog runs faster.

Roger Federer can join Jimmy Connors if he wins his 100th ATP title here. Insane. Tsitsipas beat Federer 3-1 at the Australian Open already this year. Stefanos went on to lose to Djokovic and cry. Not making fun of him for crying, seeing that passion is good. Just a fact, he cried. The thing is, I would never cry after playing Djokovic because there is no way in hell I could even get a game off of him. So, him crying, means he thinks he can beat the Joker. I like the confidence in the young Greek.

Federer beat Coric easily in the Semis. Coric had won the two meetings against Federer before this recent match, but Roger had had enough. Coric played poorly and Roger took advantage. Tsitsipas beat the in-form Monfils. I rate Monfils as a top 10 player right now (my ratings are way more important than the ATP system), so that win is impressive.

Tsitsipas gave Federer a lot of different looks while coming to the net over 60 times during their AO meeting. Federer will be more prepared for that this time around, which is part of the reason I am not betting money line here. Tsitsipas is going to attack Federer’s backhand on his serve. This forces Federer to slice and allows Stefanos to come forward. Federer has to step up his return game to a level I haven’t seen this year. Obviously Federer can step up, but Stefanos will make it difficult. I want to make this a massive play, but Tsitsipas has played a lot of tennis over the past 15 days with over 3,000 miles of travel in between. Mental and physical fatigue are going to be a factor for the Greek in this one, but Tsitsipas will win at least a set.

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