Saturday Soccer

92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units

34-28-7 on Soccer in 2019 down 4.66 units

Leicester City at -172 for 10 units. Fulham have secured only 2 points on the road all season. Tielemans has been a great addition so far for Leicester. He has an assist in their last two games from the midfield. Fulham give up over 2 goals a match. Leicester haven’t lost a match this year that David Coote has refereed (1 win and 1 draw). Vardy will score if he starts, but if Grey starts he will score. Like this spot.

College Basketball Friday – March Madness is Here (Barely)

No top 10 teams play tonight, but they all play tomorrow except for Gonzaga. Duke/UNC, Michigan/Michigan State, and LSU’s first game without the FBI-probed Will Wade all take place this Saturday. Stephen A. Smith called Will Wade a fool and that is way worse than anything the FBI can do. LSU has suspended Will Wade for making more “offers” to players than just a scholarship offer. The best game tonight is either Bowling Green/Buffalo or Minnesota/Maryland. There are some favorable spots, conference tournaments, and win streaks on the line tonight. VCU are going for 12 in a row at home against Jameer Nelson’s former school St. Josephs. Buffalo are going for 10 in a row against Antonio Daniels’ former school Bowling Green. Belmont are going for 14 against – I don’t know any athlete that went to Austin Peay, but you get it. Finally, Murray State are going for 10 wins, but they play Jacksonville State, who are going for their 9th straight win.

70-62-2 on NCAAB last season and went up 8.95 units

24-23-1 this season up 2.29 units

Murray State -6 at +103 for 3 units. Jacksonville State beat Murray State by 20 in Alabama this season. Now Murray State gets a chance at them away from Jacksonville State’s home. The Gamecocks shot the ball the best they have all season in that win over Murray State. They shot 63% in the second half! Murray State will make the defensive adjustments needed in this one. Murray State has the best player on the court in Ja Morant. The Racers have won all of their past 5 games by double digits. They get revenge tonight.

Loyola Marymount -5 at +106 for 3 units. Pepperdine can get hot from 3, but Marymount’s defense should limit them in this one. Loyola has not covered this spread in either game against Pepperdine this season (lost by 15 at Pepperdine). That will change tonight. Batemon and Scott have both been playing well for Loyola of late. Batemon had his worst game of the season at Pepperdine, he won’t play that poorly tonight. Marymount are on the outside looking in on the NCAA tournament bubble and they have to win this 2nd round WCC tournament game if they want to keep their season alive.

Indian Wells BNP Paribas Open Outlook and Round 1 Preview

The “Mini Major” is here. Last year’s winner, Juan Marin Del Potro, is out with an injury this time around. Every other top seed is here though (Federer, Nadal, Djokovic etc…) The top 32 seeds all get a first round bye in this tournament. Only 2 unseeded players have made it to the quarterfinals here in the past 5 years. The best players take this tournament seriously. Nadal is 50-10 in this tournament. Djokovic is 49-8. Zverev is in-form. Federer is still Federer. Kevin Anderson is back after suffering some elbow pain. Monfils and Tsitsipas are looking to stay in solid form as well. It will be an exciting tournament.

91-44-6 on tennis in 2018 up 42.63 units

27-24 on tennis in 2019 down 28.19 units

Radu Albot at -225 for 5 units. Albot won in Delray Beach already this season. He has been producing consistently this year. Copil has lost to worse players on this surface recently than Albot. The top ranked Moldovan gets the win here.

Hubert Hurkacz at -191 for 4 units. Hurkacz made his first quarterfinal recently beating Kei Nishikori to get there. This is his first meeting against Donald Young. Young has 6 first round exits here at Indian Wells. Young doesn’t have a main draw ATP win since the Citi Open 10 months ago.

Andreas Seppi at -194 for 4 units. Seppi is 6-2 in first round matches here. Peter Gojowczyk doesn’t scare me even with all those consonants to end his name.  Seppi is in better form and won their only other meeting on this surface.

Ryan Harrison -1.5 sets at -106 for 4 units. Ryan Harrison keeps playing Nick Kyrgios in the first round of tournaments and keeps losing to him. No shame in that. Well Nadal felt shame in losing to Kyrgios.. but Nadal has been a little hot-headed and, for lack of a better word, rude lately. Harrison is 7-2 in first rounds here. Roberto Carballes Baena, Harrison’s opponent, is winless on hardcourts this season and is more of clay player. Ryan beat Roberto in straight sets at Wimbledon in their only other meeting. Harrison can beat Schwartzman in the next round too if he wins here.

Tennys Sangren at +103 for 3 units. Mannarino has not beat anyone of note lately and has struggled over the past year. Sandgren has lost 4 in a row, but he did win at Auckland earlier this season. This is the perfect spot for Sandgren to start rounding back into form.

 

Espanyol at Athletic Bilbao and Schalke at Werder Bremen Previews

92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units

33-27-6 on Soccer in 2019 down 5.08 units

Athletic Bilbao at -152 for 3 units. Borja Iglesias has been one of the few bright spots this season for Espanyol, but he is out on yellow card suspension in this one. Sergi Darder, one of Espanyol’s better midfielders is also out on yellow card suspension. Espanyol are tied with Eibar as the worst away teams in the league (8 points gained on road games this season). Raul Garcia, Inaki Williams, and Iker Muniain have all been solid this season for Bilbao. Garcia has scored their last 3 goals. Espanyol suck on the road and are missing multiple key players. Line should be closer to -230 IMO.

Bilbao/Espanyol over 2 at -142 for 3 units. 11 of Espanyol’s past 12 games in all competitions have pushed or gone over this number. The one that didn’t go over, was a nil-nil game against Valencia. Valencia barely score a goal a game and have 15 draws in La Liga this season, so that is an outlier. Bilbao score at least 2 by themselves in this one.

Werder Bremen at +114 for 3 units. Schalke haven’t scored in the league in over 330 minutes. Eggestein and Kruse do enough for Werder Bremen here.