ATP Indian Wells Final – Roger Federer vs Dominic Thiem

91-44-6 on tennis in 2018 up 42.63 units

34-29 on tennis in 2019 down 31.90 units

I was bummed we didn’t get to watch another Federer/Nadal chapter, but the walkover means Federer will be fresher for this final.

Roger Federer -4 at +111 for 4 units. Federer is going for a record 6 titles here. The Swiss #1 has won 10 matches in a row. Roger has faced 18 players with a one-handed backhand in hardcourt finals in his career.. he has won them all. Thiem would tie his career-high ranking if he wins here. I don’t think he does. Federer is winning over 80% of his first serve points, if he can continue that he will cover. A rested, hungry Federer gets the job done today.

Bubble Watch + SEC, American, and Big 10 Tournament Championship Predictions

12-3 over the past five days. 5 winning days in a row. I love March Madness.

Payton Pritchard was named the PAC-12 Tournament’s Most Outstanding Player after Oregon’s win over Washington. During the broadcast, Bill Walton said this about Pritchard, “Some people when they face pressure, they shrivel up like a midget. Others soak it up like sponge”. I assume he meant Pritchard overcame the pressure, but it is tough to tell with the man that saw the Grateful Dead live over 800 times. Never change Bill.

Belmont, NC State, Alabama, Indiana, Texas, Ole Miss, Florida, St. John’s, Arizona State, Temple, TCU, Ohio State, Lipscomb, UNC-G, and Clemson all are right on the bubble. They all have to be nervous about making the NCAA tournament. Only 8, at most, of those teams mentioned are getting in. VCU, Washington, and Gonzaga all losing in their conference tournaments hurt those bubble teams immensely. Good luck guessing which teams the committee will pick. NC State is ranked highly by the new metric the committee is using. Belmont lost to Green Bay, Purdue, and JSU x2 this season.. that’s it. Ole Miss beat Auburn twice and barely lost to Tennessee/Kentucky, but that’s about it. I do think all 3 of those teams get in… but they don’t ask me.

70-62-2 on NCAAB last season and went up 8.95 units

37-30-1 this season up 20.57 units

Michigan at -102 for 6 units. Michigan lost to Michigan State twice this season already, but the Wolverines have been dominating in this tournament. Cassius Winston, the BIG-10 player of the year, was a problem for Michigan in their two losses to MSU this season. His pick-n-roll game is too smooth. Michigan got called for some cheap fouls and lost their composure in their loss in East Lansing. The coaches and players know this and they won’t let that get to them in this one. Ignas Brazdeikis fouled out with over 5 minutes left in that game. Michigan has to attack Xavier Tillman and hopefully get him in foul trouble. Michigan does the things they didn’t do in their two losses to MSU this season to get the win.

Houston U at -202 for 4 units. Houston beat Cincinnati by 17 just 7 days ago. Houston looked so good against UConn too. This is strictly an eye test bet for me. I have watched Houston’s past two games and I don’t think Cincinnati is good enough to beat them at this point in time.

Tennessee at -223 for 8 units. Auburn rely on 3-point shooting. Their legs are going to be tired. That is not a good combo. Tennessee were beating Auburn by 6 at halftime of their recent game, but blew the lead and lost by 4. Tennessee had 13 turnovers in that game compared to Auburn’s 5. Auburn shot 38% from deep in that game that was at home. Tennessee’s defense will step up in this one like it did over the final 3 minutes against Kentucky. Auburn shoots worse from deep and turns the ball over more than the last time these two met for the Tennessee win.