Day: April 30, 2019

91-44-6 on tennis in 2018 up 42.63 units

35-32 on tennis in 2019 down 37.93 units

Gael Monfils at -182 for 8 units. Monfils is playing in his first match after an injury absence. Monfils was sizzling before he got hurt. Opelka is a young Isner. Opelka has a great serve and impressed me against Pedro Sousa in round 1 (even though Sousa had a bum ankle supposedly). Monfils should have the advantage on this surface. I don’t think Monfils would rush back from injury with Roland Garros about a month away. Monfils is 15-3 in 2019. Gael’s ankle/achilles should be good to go and his trick shots/ability to return will be too much for Opelka. Opelka just won his first clay court tour match..

 

91-44-6 on tennis in 2018 up 42.63 units

35-32 on tennis in 2019 down 33.64 units

Taylor Fritz at -103 for 3 units. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is only 19, but he does like the clay more than Fritz. Fritz won against Fokina in Madrid last year. The American is in better form than he was then. Nishikori and Djokovic are Fritz’s last two losses on clay. No shame in that. I liked how Fritz looked vs Schwartzman and Opelka on clay recently.

Diego Sebastian Schwartzman at -161 for 3 units. Schwartzman is usually more consistent than Paire. Schwartzman lost to in-form Dominic Thiem last week. This is Paire’s debut here. Schwartzman got a BYE here in Munich last year and lost in his opening match. Paire does have the serve and backhand, but I think Schwartzman can wear Paire down with baseline rallies.

Guido Pella/Nicholas Jarry par;ay at -185 for 3 units. Jarry will only lose if he has a hangover from doing so well in Barcelona. Jarry is a better clay player than Malek Jaziri. Pella will win.