Thursday Night Football – Buccaneers at Panthers

69-58-5 on the NFL last season (2018/19) up 26.36 units

5-6 on the NFL this season up 0.57 units 

Panthers at -280 for 4 units. This line should be closer to -360 for me. No way Jameis Winston can beat Cam Newton.. right? Winston seems to love throwing the ball to the other team. The Panthers match up well with Tampa’s wideouts. Donte Jackson can cover Godwin. James Bradberry can cover Mike Evans. Short, Burns, and former Buc Gerald McCoy all looked good against the Rams.. and I expect that to continue against a worse offensive line. CMC is going to ball out every week.. Panthers eat a W tonight.

Cam Newton over 1.5 passing TDs, Curtis Samuel over 36.5 receiving yards, Curtis Samuel will have at least 1 TD, Cam Newton over 247.5 passing yards Parlay risking 1 unit to win 2.85 units. I have a gut feeling Cam is going to complete a deep touchdown to Curtis Samuel. The Buccaneers did resign safety Andrew Adams, who picked off Cam 3 times last season, but that was an anomaly. Tampa plays a little more press coverage than the Rams did. LA played soft coverage, which made it hard for Samuel to get open deep.. As a result, a lot of the Panthers’ deep routes were just to open the field for CMC and DJ Moore underneath. I expect Cam to look deep more often tonight, as opposed to last Sunday.

Also, I am glad Eric Weddle is okay after McCaffrey’s knee made his head bleed last week. Don’t really know how that happened like that, but Weddle appears on track to the play the Saints. Good news for the 34 year old.