NFL Thursday Night Football

69-58-5 on the NFL last season (2018/19) up 26.36 units

10-14 on the NFL this season down 5.04 units 

AJ Brown will have over 2.5 receptions at -130 for 6 units. Brown is averaging 4.5 targets and 3 catches a game in his rookie season.. so why bet him at his average? I think the Jaguars are going to focus on Delanie Walker and Derrick Henry. Henry had 238 yards!!! and 4 touchdowns!!! the last time he played the Jaguars. Jacksonville has not forgotten. Ramsey is still going to play, but I doubt he shadows the rookie Brown. I tried to google who Ramsey will be covering and all that comes up is that he hasn’t been traded yet and will play tonight. Thanks Google, I know. Brown should have some room against the same Jacksonville secondary that Sammy Watkins dominated. Last week, Houston’s top two receivers (Fuller and Hopkins) both had at least 3 catches. Brown is going to catch 4 balls or more. This may win in the first half.

Titans -3.5 at +150 for 2 units. The Browns Alternate line worked well for me Monday night, so I am going back to the well. I still think this Titans team is better than the public seems to think. Minshew was sacked 4 times last week and I expect more of that tonight. Minshew’s stats look good because of his garbage time against the Chiefs average secondary. Jacksonville completed less than 25% of their third downs last week. I think Tennessee’s defense is better than Houston’s and there are some stats that backup my thoughts like Points Against and Yards. Tennessee allowed 4.4 yards per play while forcing two turnovers last week. That is good. I love Minshew as an ECU/Mike Leach fan, but don’t love him to play great tonight. Speaking of Leach.. if you didn’t see Leach talking about PAC-12 mascots it is awesome and posted below. Leach will make you think. He is quite the Wordsmith..

Champions League Recap – Europa League Predictions

92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units

44-36-9 on Soccer in 2019 down 0.64 units

I love betting on Manchester City against Shakhtar. City have now won their past 3 games over them by a combined score of 12-0. 12! The line was -1.5 because Stones, Laporte, Kompany were all out and they had just lost to Norwich. TOO EZ. An angry Pep, makes me a happy bettor.

PSG beat Real Madrid 3-0 and Zidane said PSG were better in every department. PSG did not have any of their attacking 3 (Neymar, Mbappe, Cavani) in this match, but they had former Real man Di Maria.

Real Madrid have now lost their past 5 Champions League games without Sergio Ramos (PSG, Ajax, CSKA, CSKA, Juventus). Hazard did not look that great for Real Madrid.

Juve went up 2-0 with Cuadrado scoring his first goal since.. well it has been a while. He had an awesome dance to celebrate that was posted on the @Sportsologists instagram. Atletico Madrid turned it up a notch in the last 30 minutes of the game to equal 2-2 on a Hector Herrera header. Ronaldo had a chance to take the lead for Juventus late, but it wasn’t a penalty so he missed it..

Tottenham went up 2-0 on Olympiacos on a Lucas Moura strike and a Kane penalty, but the Greek side deservedly tied it up 2-2. I know Tottenham made the final last year, but they need a right-back and attacking-mid if they want to move on. Eriksen looks like he has checked out.

Munich took care of business and Muller scored a cheeky chip goal. Leverkusen got upset by Lokomotiv Moscow. Ajax keeps on winning in this competition, beating Lille 3-0. Leipzig can’t lose in any competition.

Valencia beat Chelsea 1-0 and Ross Barkley missed a pk. Barkley said he is still Chelsea’s PK taker after the game. Why is even on Chelsea? No disrespect, but he should not be in a top 10 clubs squad. Hummels and Dortmund put the clamps on Barcelona in their 0-0 draw. Lionel Messi saw some action for the first time since the Copa Del Ray final in May. Napoli upset Liverpool 2-0, but Liverpool lost at Napoli last year and still won the Champions League.

Onto today’s plays. Staying away from Arsenal without Lacazette, Ozil, Sokratis, Bergkamp, Pires, and Thierry Henry in the squad today.

Basel at +112 for 2 units. Basel have scored at least twice in their past 4 games. Kemal Ademi has been on fire for Basel. Krasnodar are tied atop the Russian Premier League this year after 9 games, but I like Basel at home. History, Form, and the best player are all on Basel’s side.

Sevilla at -189 for 3 units. Sevilla are going to win this game 1-0 or 2-0 like they have done in 3 of their past 4 matches. Sevilla haven’t lost an away match in La Liga this year and Qarabag are objectively worse than those teams. De Jong, Ocampos, Fernando, Joan Jordan, and Reguilon may not have the star power than Sarabia and Ben Yedder had, but Sevilla seems to be playing more like a team this season. Munir should feature today.. I like Sevilla to keep up the winning on the road.

Roma -1 at -181 for 2 units and Roma -1.5 at +106 for 1 unit. I don’t know much about Basaksehir, but I know Roma should beat them in Rome. Dzeko should feast. Roma scored 4 goals in their last game and I expect more of the same here. The last time Basaksehir played a team near Roma’s stature (B. Monchengladbach), they lost 5-1. Mkhitaryan, Kluivert, Florenzi, and Cristante can all score for Roma. Florenzi can score from the halfway line..