NBA November 20th – Hornets at Nets with No Kyrie Irving

61-53-2 on NBA in 2017/18 up 9.28 units

30-28-2 on NBA in 2018/19 up 4.16 units 

6-6-1 on NBA in 2019/20 down 1.31 units

Hornets +4 at -105 for 7 units. I hate betting on my favorite NBA team, but this year is different! I love Kemba, but the Hornets have been more fun to watch with the youngsters playing. Caris LeVert, Wilson Chandler, and Kyrie Irving are out for Brooklyn. Oh yeah, KD is out too. Miles Bridges and PJ Washington can ball out in the frontcourt for the Hornets. Devonte’ Graham is averaging 18.3 points a game. Graham leads the Eastern Conference with 49 3-pointers. He is top-10 in assists this season too. Rozier had a shitty game against the Raptors, but he will play better tonight. Brooklyn played terribly against the Pacers without Irving. The Hornets are coming off of a bad loss to the Raptors. Brooklyn’s defense, shooting, and rebounding has been below league average over the last 10 days. Not a good combination of things. Going with the healthier, “better against the spread” team here.

College Basketball November 20th – A Teaser and a Parlay

70-62-2 on NCAAB last season up 8.95 units

7-9-1 this season down 1.44 units

Who knows what the “petty” NCAA will do with James Wiseman, but I still like Memphis to win by double digits tonight.

For those that don’t know, a teaser allows you to buy points across multiple games. All the games have to win like a parlay. A tie counts as a loss. See in my teaser below, I got 3 games that were at a half point so I can’t push and lose. You are never supposed to buy across 0 in a teaser. So if you do a 6 point teaser of a team at -2 and get them to +4. You are losing value on the 0 and the 4. That’s two numbers that you still lose on/can’t happen. Parlays are simple. You win them all, you get a slightly bigger payout than if you bet them all by themselves, but if one loses. You lose.

St. Johns -4.5/Old Dominion -5.5/Memphis -10.5 Teaser (bought 6 points) risking 5 units to win 6 units. Colombia is 1-3 with a win against Binghamton. St. Johns is 3-1 coming off a loss to Vermont. The Red Storm will be ready to play tonight against the less athletic Colombia. Old Dominion will beat James Madison. JMU just lost to George Mason by 13. ODU is better than George Mason this season. Aaron Carver and Xavier Green can ball out for ODU. Memphis goes up against a Little Rock team that is playing a little better than they did last year. Memphis has too much talent for Little Rock. The Tigers have too much size at home, even without Wiseman.

Old Dominion/Boston College/Colorado State/Saint Mary’s CA Parlay risking 5 units to win 4.95 units. Nik Popovic and Boston College are coming off of a lose to Belmont. They will be ready to play against Eastern Washington. EWU lost to St. Louis by 22. Colorado State is 3-1 with a loss to Duke. Nico Carvacho will be the biggest player on the court and he has some skills for someone his size. Saint Mary’s lost to a Winthrop team that Fresno State beat. The Gaels know this and come ready to play.

Arkansas State +11.5 at -110 for 3 units. Arkansas State does have a size advantage on the wings and a little more depth than Colorado State. I expect Colorado State to win at home, but it could be close. J.J. Matthews and Marquis Eaton could cause some problems for the Rams. A hedge out of my parlay of sorts. Still like the parlay, but mitigating risk here.