70-62-2 on NCAAB last season and went up 8.95 units

24-22-1 this season up 5.29 units

Old Dominion/Baylor/Northern Kentucky/NC State/Dayton Parlay at +134 for 3 units. Theme: Home teams that have to win for the NCAA tournament.

Dayton are 13-16 ATS this season. The money line is juicy, but they won’t lose to La Salle at home. Dayton can’t lose this game if they want a shot at an at-large bid.

NC State has a better of chance of making the tournament than Dayton does, but I wouldn’t say they are safe quite yet. The Wolfpack have an “easy” game against a bad road team in Georgia Tech. If State wins this one, they are in the tournament. Like the spot.

Horizon League Championship quarterfinal game here between Northern Kentucky and Detroit Mercy. Detroit has been bad away from home this season and I expect that to continue tonight. Detroit has a great freshman guard, Antoine Davis, who averages 26 points a game, but they lack the defense to beat Norther Kentucky.

Baylor is another home team that can secure a spot in the NCAA tournament with a win tonight. Oklahoma State struggle on the road. If Baylor loses this one, they go from near-lock for the NCAA to firmly on the bubble. They take care of business in Waco (shoutout Chip and Jo). I want to take Baylor -8.5 because OK State is 11-18 ATS this season, but they played great vs Texas Tech on the road, so I will play it safe.

I love this Old Dominion team. Them and Gonzaga have kept me afloat this season. Southern Miss lost by 18 to ODU in Norfolk already this season. Southern Miss has lost 2 in a row. ODU has won 7 in a row. B.J. Stith, Carver, and Caver are a deadly guard trio for the Monarchs. Going back to the honey hole here.

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