Premier League Thursday Predictions

92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units

62-54-11 on Soccer in 2019 down 14.82 units

Going with the big favorite today.

Arsenal at -167 for 8 units. Interim head coach Freddie Ljungberg’s second game since taking over for Arsenal. Aubameyang is in-form and he scored twice in Arsenal’s latest draw to Norwich City. Arsenal have scored in the opening 30 minutes in half of their home league games this season. Brighton have not won an away league game since the season opener against Watford. I would feel even better about this play if Mustafi doesn’t start again. Pukki’s goal was a deflection off of him. Put in Martinelli for Willock, and I will be even more confident in this play.

Sheffield United at -120 for 2 units. Newcastle surprised me and many others with their 2-2 draw against Manchester City. Was it a sign of things to come for Newcastle, or a let down game for Man City? Sheffield is a tough club to play at this season. These two have not met in the Premier League since George W Bush was the president of the United States. Mousset is in-form and has had some close calls on goals to add to the ones he did score. Sheffield have a stronger defense (given up half as many goals over each teams’ last 10 matches) and are at home.

 

ACC Big 10 Challenge Continues – December 4th College Basketball Predictions – Ohio State at North Carolina

70-62-2 on NCAAB last season up 8.95 units

17-15-1 this season up 13.09 units

Maryland/Oklahoma State/Penn State Parlay risking 6 units to win 3.58 units.

Marquette -19.5 at -110 for 2.2 units. Markus Howard. Line was 21. I’ll take the point and half.

North Carolina -157 for 2 units. Ohio State have looked great this season, but Cole Anthony is a walking bucket. BRob being back for UNC helps their defense. UNC’s big men have been improving this season, especially the freshman Bacot. I expect North Carolina to get more easy baskets and win the game. Ohio State’s first game on the road as well.

Virginia +121 for 2 units. UVA is one of the few teams that can guard Matt Haarms. VCU struggled against the big man, UVA will do better. Florida State had 16 steals against Purdue. Got to take Virginia’s defense at plus money here.

South Carolina -125 for 2 units. I have predicted every South Carolina basketball game correctly this season, including their loss to Boston U and UNI. I like them to win two in a row here on the road. Maik Kotsar and AJ Lawson looked good against GW.

Morehead State -305 for 2 units. IUPUI has only 2 wins on the season. Morehead State have lost 4 in a row, but are favored in this one for a reason.

Premier League Wednesday with a Little PSG Action

92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units

60-51-11 on Soccer in 2019 down 7.45 units

Not gonna lie, tilting a little bit. Mad because I lost a parlay because of James Harden’s dunk that didn’t count. Seeing the board well lately, might as well ramp up the unit sizes and capitalize.

Norwich +0.5/PSG Parlay risking 3 units to win 3.81 units. Southampton haven’t won consecutive matches at home since March. The Canaries have been scoring goals lately. Teemu Pukki is a goal-scoring machine for club and country this season. The referee for this match, Kevin Friend, has been dishing out yellow cards at an impressive clip over his past 6 matches (4.5 a game). Norwich looked solid against Arsenal and Everton. I’ll take them to win or draw. PSG shouldn’t lose to Nantes. PSG are only two points clear at the top of the table. Just adding them to offset (Quavo) the juice and then some.

Aston Villa +1.5 at -110 for 3 units. Villa have covered in 4 of their past 5 matches. Manchester United scored from 2 corners in their match against Villa. I expect Villa to tighten up on defensive set plays in this one. Grealish and Mings are in-form. I think Villa are a better team than their table standings suggest. Value play here.

Liverpool -230 for 6 units. Liverpool are unbeaten in their past 31 league matches. Manchester City cut the lead to 8 points yesterday and looked dominant doing so. Liverpool push it back to 11 today. Had this line at -320 for the home team.

Tottenham +169 for 5 units. Tottenham/Manchester United Draw +235 for 5 units. Mourinho against his old club. A story as old as.. me. Manchester United’s defense has been slacking lately. Tottenham will score in this one. Alli has been given more freedom under Mourinho. He has been enjoying it as well, scored twice in their last match. Manchester United haven’t beat a top of the table team in a while, I dont expect it to happen today.

 

NBA is Rigged

This dunk did not count. The refs did not review it. The Rockets lost in double-overtime. Some people think James Harden is basketball aids, but this is clearly a terrible call by the refs. Yes, I am bitter because I went from having a positive 5 unit NBA day to a negative 10 unit NBA day because of this call. I am done with the NBA for a while. Bowl Games, NFL games, Soccer, and other such sports will help console me.

 

NBA December 3rd Predictions – Chalk Talk

61-53-2 on NBA in 2017/18 up 9.28 units

30-28-2 on NBA in 2018/19 up 4.16 units 

7-7-1 on NBA in 2019/20 down 3.91 units

Mavericks/Rockets/Clippers Parlay risking 6 units to win 8.43 units. All 3 of these teams are more favored than they were when the line opened. No reverse line movement in any of them. Luka, Harden, and Kawhi are all playing well. Carmelo got Western Conference player of the week, but the Blazers won’t beat the Clippers. Harden dropped like 45 a game on over 70% TS last week and didn’t win the relatively meaningless player of the week award.

Rockets -6 at -110 for 4 units. You can bet against Harden. I am not. The Pistons smacked the Spurs last time out. Rockets > Pistons. San Antonio’s problem in that Pistons game? Allowing 15 3s. The Rockets excel in shooting 3s. Ben McLemore is playing better. Clint Capela and Danuel House should be back for this one. Not going to overthink this one. The line has moved from -2 to -6.5 as of now.

College Basketball December 3rd – ACC/Big 10 Challenge – Michigan is Ranked

70-62-2 on NCAAB last season up 8.95 units

14-14-1 this season up 2.92 units

Michigan went from unranked to the the #4 team in the country. The Biggest jump since Kansas in 1989. Kansas beat Kentucky 150-95, among other things, to jump that high. Roy Williams likes to score. Safe to say the over hit in that one. Reddit user Homebrewingislife recalled this, Pitino was out of timeouts and Roy offered to call one for him. Pitino flipped Roy the bird and Roy promptly benched the walk-ons and re-inserted the starters and told them to run up the score. Gotta love it.

Short write-ups today. Sorry.

St Johns -20.5 for 2 units. St Johns is too good.

William & Mary +115 for 4 units. William & Mary’s height will cause problems for ODU.

Louisville -255 for 4 units. Michigan can take the 1 ranking with a win, but I think they lose.

Dook +6.5 at -110 for 4 units. Give me the points. I expect this game to be close.

Never Change Dwight Howard

Oh, you wanted a MNF play? I got something even better..

Dwight sent a cameo from the toilet today. It is a nice sweet message. A cameo from Dwight is $250. He is getting paid to sit on the throne. Snoop Dogg’s cameos will cost around $750. Mr. Howard has 5 kids with 5 different women. If he does these cameo things about 10 times, he can get them all a $250 gift. Dwight is just being fiscally responsible.

 

NFL Sunday Week 13 Predictions

69-58-5 on the NFL last season (2018/19) up 26.36 units

40-45 on the NFL this season up 3.34 units

Swept the board on Thanksgiving thanks to Cole Beasley and Da Bears.

Colts +0 first half at -102 for 6 units. Colts defense is a top-5 rush defense. TY and Mack are out. Colts offensive line is still one of the best in the league. Tannehill doesn’t scare me, even though he has a league leading passer rating. Colts will be better at converting first downs early. Titans are giving up over 27 points a game in their last 3.

Panthers -10.5 at -111 for 6 units. Talked about this one on the podcast. It is going to be rainy. CMC should be able to run all over the Redskins. The Redskins didn’t score a point in the rain against the 49ers. Carolina’s defense should excel and matches up well against Washington in the rain.

Chiefs -11 at -110 for 6 units. Mahomes threw 4 Tds in a quarter against the Raiders earlier this season. McCoy should find some running room. Andy Reid is 17-3 after a BYE week. I expect KC to get some easy touchdowns because of play design. Defense is rested. Jacobs could go off for Oakland, but I doubt he will do enough to challenge the Chiefs on the final scoreboard. Raiders just lost 34-3 to the Jets. Mahomes has beat the Raiders by an average of 19 points in his career.

Rams/Cardinals over 47 at -112 for 3 units. I could see this game finishing in the high 50s or 60s. It will be rainy for a lot of NFL games today, but not this one.

Premier League Sunday Predictions

92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units

58-50-11 on Soccer in 2019 down 18.44 units

Leicester at -169 for 6 units

Aston Villa at +598 for 3 units.

Villa/Manchester United Draw at +348 for 3 units. Late Post so no write-up. Wanted to wait for lineups to come out. If you click on this post and scroll to the bottom you can subscribe to the newsletter and never miss a play.