College Football December 30th Bowl Predictions

71-52 on College Football in 2018 up 53.33 units

37-32-2 on College Football in 2019 up 29.61 units

Iowa was a winner from start to finish. LSU rolled Oklahoma over and patted their belly behind 8 Joe Burrow touchdowns. OSU shit the game away behind a late interception, personal foul on a Clemson punt, a (questionable to some) targeting call, and JK Dobbins’ ankle injury. Trevor Lawrence is a fucking stallion. Clemson and LSU will be fun.

Western Kentucky -3.5 at -110 for 5 units. WKU finished the season strong (7-2). They have the better offense and the better defense. They are not favored by more because they tend to turn the ball over and because of Western Michigan’s running-back LeVante Bellamy. Bellamy has averaged over 130 yards and 2 touchdowns a game this season. Last year’s First Responder Bowl was called off due to a storm, Boise State and Boston College never got the chance to win it. DeAngelo Malone is a stud D-lineman for Western Kentucky. First-year coach Tyson Helton has the Hilltoppers pointed in the right direction and I expect that to continue today in Fort Worth. Western Kentucky will cover easily if they can limit their turnovers.

Mississippi St -4.5 at -110 for 5 units. Mississippi State underperformed this season. Louisville over-performed. The Cardinals have some studs on offense like Micale Cunningham, Javian Hawkins, and Chatarius Atwell. I watched the Ole Miss/Mississippi State game in full and wrote a recap about it here. Ole Miss literally pissed the game away with an excessive celebration that caused a missed XP. Ole Miss lost by 1. I took away from that game that Mississippi State can stop a running QB like Cunningham. John Plumlee is sneaky fast (sneaky cause he is white) for Ole Miss and Mississippi State stopped him to the point he was taken out of the game. I like this matchup for the SEC school. I wanted to bet on L’Ville in their bowl game, but the Bulldogs are not the type of team they matchup well with.

Florida ML at -610 for 4 units. Have this as the last leg to win a bunch of parlays. Florida’s swarming defense will stop UVA’s Perkins from running the ball, much like Clemson did. Bryce Perkins ran all over VT because the Hokies didn’t spy him until the second half. Florida has the athletes to do it from the start. Just off-setting juice here and winning some parlays. If you don’t like betting something this juicy.. don’t. It is free money though.

College Basketball December 30th

70-62-2 on NCAAB last season up 8.95 units

23-23-1 this season down 1.89 units

I know bowl season is still going on, but there is a college basketball spot I like tonight.

William & Mary -6 at -110 for 7 units. I can’t quit this W&M team. Elon have not played well against good teams this season. Elon’s wins have been against schools like NC Weseleyan, Kennesaw St, Mars Hill, and Milligan. The Tribe have the size and the shooting to beat the Phoenix by double-digits. William & Mary are coming off of a two-game losing streak, or this line would be higher. The twin towers of Nathan Knight and Andy Van Vliet control the paint for W&M. Bryce Barnes and Luke Loewe are not the best backcourt in the country, but I expect them to do enough tonight against Elon. Send it.

Holiday Bowl Prediction – Iowa vs USC – Play of the Day

71-52 on College Football in 2018 up 53.33 units

36-32-2 on College Football in 2019 up 24.49 units

Iowa at -116 for 6 units. Iowa’s great defense against a freshman QB. USC’s coach may or may not be out the door. He is close to a lame-duck coach. USC will not be able to run the ball and I expect their QB, Kedon Slovis, to force some throws. Iowa lost to Penn State, Michigan, and Wisconsin this season. All better teams than USC in my opinion.

USC’s defense gave up 1,998 rushing yards and 17 rushing touchdowns this season. That is a lot. The Hawkeyes held seven opponents to their season low in scoring. Hawkeyes are honoring former coach Hayden Fry, by having no tigerhawk on their helmets. Fry passed away last week sadly. Carson Palmer was the QB for USC that last time they played Iowa in 2002. Sorry if that makes you feel old. Iowa will take care of business tonight. I’ll take the team with a senior QB over the freshman one, that also has the better defense.

Christmas Hangover – Independence Bowl and Quick Lane Bowl Predictions

71-52 on College Football in 2018 up 53.33 units

35-31-2 on College Football in 2019 up 24.21 units

Pittsburgh at -390 for 5 units. I liked Pittsburgh at -10 and still like them at -11, but I have this Moneyline to finish off the parlay posted on my podcast. I am playing it for a little more than the parlay as well. Pittsburgh d-line will eat. Pitt is 0-4 in bowls under Narduzzi. Eastern Michigan has never won a bowl game. Something has to give here. Eastern Michigan’s offense is their strength, but the Panthers have one of the best pass rushes in the country along with stud corner Dane Jackson. The AD for Pittsburgh, Heather Lyke, came from the same job at Eastern Michigan weirdly enough. EMU will be able to score a little, but not enough to get the win.

Miami/LA Tech over 50 at -110 for 1 unit. Miami has given up 27 points or more in their last 3. FIU scored 41 in their last 1. I like some special teams action and some turnovers that lead to short fields that help the over. Manny Diaz has a lot of players out and hasn’t announced a starting QB. I am staying away from the spread. Miami lost to in-town “rival” FIU and that just confuses me.


Boxing Day Soccer Predictions

92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units

64-61-12 on Soccer in 2019 down 26.51 units

Arsenal/Club Brugge Parlay risking 4 units to win 5.5 units. Club Brugge have only lost to PSG and Real Madrid at home this season. Yes, that is correct. Waregem just lost to the worst team in the league and now they travel to face the best team. Not going to overthink that one.

Am I the only one that thinks Mikel Arteta looks like a toe-shoe wearing lesbian?

Bournemouth have a lot of injuries, even more so than Arsenal. Bournemouth have lacked teeth in attack losing 6 of their last 7 league games. Arsenal took the Emery out of Arsenal, but they still haven’t taken the Arsenal out of Arsenal. I think the Gunners get back on track today. Pepe, Aubameyang, and Ozil should feature. Mikel Arteta has his work cut out for him, but he thinks Xhaka is terrific so that’s a start I guess.

Tottenham at -192 for 3 units. Tottenham have won every match they were a -150 favorite in or more since Mourinho took charge. Brighton have only beat Arsenal and Watford on the road this season. Son is out with a red card suspension, but Alli, Kane, Lucas, and others should be enough for Tottenham. Brighton have struggled to keep clean sheets. I expect Tottenham to outscore Brighton today.

Manchester United at -290 for 3 units. Man U looked bad against Watford, but I expect a bounce-back here. Manchester are still unbeaten at home since September. Rashford likes playing at home. Pogba is back healthy. His creativity has been missed at times. These teams are equal on points in the table, the Red Devils move ahead today.

Hawaii Bowl Prediction

71-52 on College Football in 2018 up 53.33 units

34-31-2 on College Football in 2019 up 13.51 units

I am on 4-6 on bowls and down about 3 units this bowl season. Still up big on the year. Putting a lot of it on the line here. Scared money don’t make money. Here is what I said a week ago about this game:

Hawaii Bowl – BYU Vs. Hawaii – 8:00 PM December 24th – ESPN

Hawaii +2 at -110 for 4 units. Home game for Hawaii. Have played in this bowl 3 of the past 4 years. Familiarity. Hawaii’s passing game will complete more big plays than BYU’s. I like taking the points with the home team that has a stronger offense. This game is on Christmas Eve. I can’t wait to get drunk and watch it while my family keeps themselves entertained.


I like everything I said a week ago.. which doesn’t always happen. I like it so much I am adding 8 units to the play at +2.5 at -110. No the line movement doesn’t scare me. So officially I like..

Hawaii +2.5 at -110 for 8 units and Hawaii +2 at -110 for 4 units. 12 units total. Hawaii is the more consistent team, while BYU’s highs are higher and lows are lower. BYU lost to Toledo in the midst of a 3 game losing streak, but then ended that streak with a win against Mountain West Champ Boise State. Hawaii has lost to Air Force, Fresno State, Boise State, Washington, and Boise State again. Hawaii has a solid o-line and a top-10 offense in passing efficiency. Miles Reed, the runningback for Hawaii, is no slouch. He had 5.4 yards a carry and 891 yards this season. His longest run was only 31 yards, which makes his 5.4 YPC even more impressive. He ran for over 7 yards a carry against Boise State in Hawaii’s last game. “There is a chance they can strap 50 points on our defense because they are that good,” BYU’s defensive coordinator Ilaisa Tuiaki said. If there is chance one team can drop a 50-burger on you, you take that team in gambling. Theres a 0% chance BYU drops 50 on Hawaii tonight.

I am betting almost all my profit this season on college football on this game. I am going to be watching it and drinking. My podcast co-host Katie and the family can wait.. I can celebrate the holidays with them tomorrow after I have some more money in my pockets. That Christmas Bonus courtesy of Hawaii is going to be nice.

Thank you for reading. Merry Christmas ya filthy animals.

Bowl Game Predictions

2-0 so far on bowls ATS. Had about 4 IPAs so can’t write right right now. But luckily I planned ahead. Click here for all your bowl betting needs before Christmas. Will evaluate the post-Christmas bowls more when I’m sober. Also, Texans ML at -165 for 8 units.

Go Heels! We are a football school now. Also, VCU is 9-2 and are a 5-point underdog against the Shockers today…

Sevilla were a lock on the podcast against Mallorca this Saturday morning..


Dortmund at Hoffenheim Prediction

92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units

64-60-12 on Soccer in 2019 down 18.51 units

Dortmund at -115 for 8 units. Dortmund’s offense has been clicking lately. I wanted to wait to post this to make sure Sancho is starting, as Reus is out with an injury. Hoffenheim won their last match, but were struggling before that. Hoffenheim give up too many goals and Dortmund will capitalize. Dortmund’s defense let up not 1 but 2 terrible defensive mistakes that led to Werner being 1-1 with the goalkeeper and scoring. Borussia will tighten it up a little on defense and do enough on offense for the win. Also, Hoffenheim gave up a lot of chances to Union Berlin that Berlin did not take advantage of. Dortmund will take advantage of these situations.

William & Mary at St. Josephs Prediction and More – College Basketball Thursday

70-62-2 on NCAAB last season up 8.95 units

22-21-1 this season up 7.54 units

William & Mary at -125 for 7 units. Nathan Knight is averaging almost 20 and 10 for the Tribe. Luke Loewe and Bryce Barnes are solid guards for William & Mary. St. Josephs gives up over 80 points a game, while the Tribe give up under 70 on average. William & Mary have a huge advantage inside and the better defense. Take them on the road. The Tribe might make their first NCAA tournament this season…

Maryland at -300 for 2 units. Seton Hall have been blown out by worst teams than Maryland recently.. but are only giving 7 points. That line seems a little low to me, but I am playing it safe with the moneyline. Just some free money to offset the juice of the William and Mary bet.

Image result for bruce pearl

Auburn at -340 for 2 units. NC State has pretty good guards, but Auburn’s are better. The Tigers also have the advantage in the paint. The Wolfpack have been great ATS over their past 5, and Auburn have been poor at covering with spread losses to St. Louis and Furman recently. I am staying away from the spread, but Auburn are undefeated for a reason. I like them to keep it up at home tonight.