Month: December 2019

71-52 on College Football in 2018 up 53.33 units

37-32-2 on College Football in 2019 up 29.61 units

Iowa was a winner from start to finish. LSU rolled Oklahoma over and patted their belly behind 8 Joe Burrow touchdowns. OSU shit the game away behind a late interception, personal foul on a Clemson punt, a (questionable to some) targeting call, and JK Dobbins’ ankle injury. Trevor Lawrence is a fucking stallion. Clemson and LSU will be fun.

Western Kentucky -3.5 at -110 for 5 units. WKU finished the season strong (7-2). They have the better offense and the better defense. They are not favored by more because they tend to turn the ball over and because of Western Michigan’s running-back LeVante Bellamy. Bellamy has averaged over 130 yards and 2 touchdowns a game this season. Last year’s First Responder Bowl was called off due to a storm, Boise State and Boston College never got the chance to win it. DeAngelo Malone is a stud D-lineman for Western Kentucky. First-year coach Tyson Helton has the Hilltoppers pointed in the right direction and I expect that to continue today in Fort Worth. Western Kentucky will cover easily if they can limit their turnovers.

Mississippi St -4.5 at -110 for 5 units. Mississippi State underperformed this season. Louisville over-performed. The Cardinals have some studs on offense like Micale Cunningham, Javian Hawkins, and Chatarius Atwell. I watched the Ole Miss/Mississippi State game in full and wrote a recap about it here. Ole Miss literally pissed the game away with an excessive celebration that caused a missed XP. Ole Miss lost by 1. I took away from that game that Mississippi State can stop a running QB like Cunningham. John Plumlee is sneaky fast (sneaky cause he is white) for Ole Miss and Mississippi State stopped him to the point he was taken out of the game. I like this matchup for the SEC school. I wanted to bet on L’Ville in their bowl game, but the Bulldogs are not the type of team they matchup well with.

Florida ML at -610 for 4 units. Have this as the last leg to win a bunch of parlays. Florida’s swarming defense will stop UVA’s Perkins from running the ball, much like Clemson did. Bryce Perkins ran all over VT because the Hokies didn’t spy him until the second half. Florida has the athletes to do it from the start. Just off-setting juice here and winning some parlays. If you don’t like betting something this juicy.. don’t. It is free money though.

71-52 on College Football in 2018 up 53.33 units

36-32-2 on College Football in 2019 up 24.49 units

Iowa at -116 for 6 units. Iowa’s great defense against a freshman QB. USC’s coach may or may not be out the door. He is close to a lame-duck coach. USC will not be able to run the ball and I expect their QB, Kedon Slovis, to force some throws. Iowa lost to Penn State, Michigan, and Wisconsin this season. All better teams than USC in my opinion.

USC’s defense gave up 1,998 rushing yards and 17 rushing touchdowns this season. That is a lot. The Hawkeyes held seven opponents to their season low in scoring. Hawkeyes are honoring former coach Hayden Fry, by having no tigerhawk on their helmets. Fry passed away last week sadly. Carson Palmer was the QB for USC that last time they played Iowa in 2002. Sorry if that makes you feel old. Iowa will take care of business tonight. I’ll take the team with a senior QB over the freshman one, that also has the better defense.

71-52 on College Football in 2018 up 53.33 units

35-31-2 on College Football in 2019 up 24.21 units

Pittsburgh at -390 for 5 units. I liked Pittsburgh at -10 and still like them at -11, but I have this Moneyline to finish off the parlay posted on my podcast. I am playing it for a little more than the parlay as well. Pittsburgh d-line will eat. Pitt is 0-4 in bowls under Narduzzi. Eastern Michigan has never won a bowl game. Something has to give here. Eastern Michigan’s offense is their strength, but the Panthers have one of the best pass rushes in the country along with stud corner Dane Jackson. The AD for Pittsburgh, Heather Lyke, came from the same job at Eastern Michigan weirdly enough. EMU will be able to score a little, but not enough to get the win.

Miami/LA Tech over 50 at -110 for 1 unit. Miami has given up 27 points or more in their last 3. FIU scored 41 in their last 1. I like some special teams action and some turnovers that lead to short fields that help the over. Manny Diaz has a lot of players out and hasn’t announced a starting QB. I am staying away from the spread. Miami lost to in-town “rival” FIU and that just confuses me.

 

71-52 on College Football in 2018 up 53.33 units

34-31-2 on College Football in 2019 up 13.51 units

I am on 4-6 on bowls and down about 3 units this bowl season. Still up big on the year. Putting a lot of it on the line here. Scared money don’t make money. Here is what I said a week ago about this game:

Hawaii Bowl – BYU Vs. Hawaii – 8:00 PM December 24th – ESPN

Hawaii +2 at -110 for 4 units. Home game for Hawaii. Have played in this bowl 3 of the past 4 years. Familiarity. Hawaii’s passing game will complete more big plays than BYU’s. I like taking the points with the home team that has a stronger offense. This game is on Christmas Eve. I can’t wait to get drunk and watch it while my family keeps themselves entertained.

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I like everything I said a week ago.. which doesn’t always happen. I like it so much I am adding 8 units to the play at +2.5 at -110. No the line movement doesn’t scare me. So officially I like..

Hawaii +2.5 at -110 for 8 units and Hawaii +2 at -110 for 4 units. 12 units total. Hawaii is the more consistent team, while BYU’s highs are higher and lows are lower. BYU lost to Toledo in the midst of a 3 game losing streak, but then ended that streak with a win against Mountain West Champ Boise State. Hawaii has lost to Air Force, Fresno State, Boise State, Washington, and Boise State again. Hawaii has a solid o-line and a top-10 offense in passing efficiency. Miles Reed, the runningback for Hawaii, is no slouch. He had 5.4 yards a carry and 891 yards this season. His longest run was only 31 yards, which makes his 5.4 YPC even more impressive. He ran for over 7 yards a carry against Boise State in Hawaii’s last game. “There is a chance they can strap 50 points on our defense because they are that good,” BYU’s defensive coordinator Ilaisa Tuiaki said. If there is chance one team can drop a 50-burger on you, you take that team in gambling. Theres a 0% chance BYU drops 50 on Hawaii tonight.

I am betting almost all my profit this season on college football on this game. I am going to be watching it and drinking. My podcast co-host Katie and the family can wait.. I can celebrate the holidays with them tomorrow after I have some more money in my pockets. That Christmas Bonus courtesy of Hawaii is going to be nice.

Thank you for reading. Merry Christmas ya filthy animals.