I haven’t wrote an article in about 8 days. I have been having a silly good year gambling wise, but was traveling for a couple days and then the Kobe news broke. Every time I would get on to write, I would watch Kobe videos/highlights/interviews instead. The ones of Shaq and Jerry West talking about Kobe on Inside the NBA last night was incredibly sad.
I will do a full Kobe write-up after the Super Bowl. I think it is the saddest death in sports history. Nothing really comes close to me. Kobe dominated being a great father like he did the NBA basketball court. I know he would have done phenomenal things post-basketball. I would have bet the house on it. He was already well on his way.
RIP Kobe, Gianna, John Altobelli, Keri Altobelli, Alyssa Altobelli, Christina Mauser, Payton Chester, Sarah Chester, and Ara Zobayan.
Full Disclosure: I am betting a little heavier tonight because I win about 20 units on a parlay if Conor McGregor wins his fight this weekend. My account is already up above average this year, so feel like I have a little wiggle room. The William & Mary play would still be big, but the other plays would be smaller if I wasn’t winning so much. Thank you for understanding.
William & Mary +1.5 at -110 for 6 units. Delaware are 6-1 at home, but they haven’t played anybody. The Tribe will be the toughest team Joe Flacco’s former school have faced at home this season. William & Mary are 12-5 ATS this season and they are a big part of the reason I am up over 18 units this season. Delaware does have a couple big men that can at least match the Tribe’s size downlow… but Nate Darling, Delaware’s best player, has been in a small slump over his last 3 games. I’ve said it about 7 times this year on my posts, but William & Mary’s ability to get easy buckets will get them the win/cover. If they can limit Nate Darling, they will win even easier. I like one of the only teams to never make a NCAA tourney to get a win on the road tonight.
Pepperdine -7 at -110 for 3 units. I thought Pepperdine was going to be a lot better than 8-9 at this point in the season. The Edwards Brothers and Colbey Ross know they have to start turning it on if they want to make a post-season tournament. Loyola are 1-5 on the road. Pepperdine are better than their record, I am not sure Loyola are. The Wave take this one by double-digits.
Oregon -9.5 at -110 for 3 units. System play. The system is not that advanced, but the gist of it is road team favored by between 8-10 with a great guard against a team on a losing streak. There are a few more variables, but this is the only play on the board that meets the requirements. The System is 5-2 this season.
Colorado at -135 for 3 units. Colorado beat ASU by 10 earlier this season. Colorado has won against Dayton and Oregon on their recent winning streak. I would make this a huge play, but I am a little worried about the line not being closer to -200 like I thought it would be. Not going to overthink, still going to play as I think Colorado wins by 5 to 8 points… just not going to go Antonio Brown crazy on it.
Swept the college basketball board the last time out. “If you keep winning, they will come.” – Kevin Costner circa 1989 – Michael Scott
Kentucky -5.5 at -110 for 3 units. The Gamecocks have lost 3 in a row since beating Virginia. They lost to Stetson (not the hats). If you knew Stetson was in Florida, congrats. You win nothing. Kentucky has looked solid since their Ohio State loss. Hagans, Maxey, Quickley, and Richards can all carry the team over stretches of the game. Kentucky will be able to make more shots and create more possessions, which are my two favorite stats for double digit win.
Minnesota at -140 for 3 units. A home team with a worse record as a favorite? Yes. Give me. Daniel Oturo should be able to do what he wants tonight. Minnesota’s guards have been in a shooting slump, but they can’t get worse. The floor is the floor. Alihan Demir should get some easy buckets with Penn State’s defensive focus being on Oturo. Penn State are only 11-47 from deep over the past two games. Two teams struggling to shoot, so take the team at home that will get more points in the paint.
Like the title suggests, Lot of spots to make money today. Conference Play is heating up.
Rhode Island +8.5 at -110 for 2 units. VCU always gets a good game from Rhode Island.
George Mason +3.5 at -110 for 2 units. La Salle shouldn’t be favored by 4 against George Mason. GMU has lost 3 in a row, but I expect a close one here.
William & Mary -1.5 at -110 for 2 units. Grant Riller has been amazing for Charleston lately, but I like William and Mary’s big men to get the easy baskets for the win.
Clemson +3.5 at -110 for 6 units. UNC’s big men being bigger than Clemson’s keep me from making this a max play. Garrison Brooks has been a beast lately for the Heels. UNC inability to make shots and their lack of perimeter defense continue to show. If UNC wins, it will be close. The Tar Heels are 59-0 at home against Clemson. That stat is at a severe risk today..
Louisville at -165 for 4 units. Notre Dame struggles closing games. Louisville’s defense will be a lot for the Notre Dame’s offense to handle. I like this matchup a lot. The Cardinals will out-rebound the Fighting Irish on the way to a win today.
Maryland/Iowa under 146.5 at -110 for 5 units. Both teams have solid defenses. Iowa does put up over 80 points a game, but I think they will struggle to score a little against this Maryland team. Most games Iowa has played against good competition have gone under this number. Maryland’s last 6 against solid competition (Ohio State, Indiana, Seton Hall, Penn State, Illinois, and Notre Dame) have all gone under this number. Go missed 3s and defense! Make it ugly.
Heat at -155 for 4 units. Brooklyn lost to the Thunder by 8 in OT on Tuesday. The Nets have lost 7 in a row and haven’t covered in any of them. They miss Kyrie. Miami scores more and gives up less points on the season. I like Miami’s 3-point shooting, Jimmy Butler, and Eastern North Carolina native Bam down low to get them the win.
Pacers at -135 for 3 units. Bulls are bad and have lost 5 in a row since beating the Hawks.
Mavericks at -130 for 3 units. I don’t think Anthony Davis plays tonight. Line is Mavericks -2, I expect it to go higher.
Virginia Tech +4.5 at -110 for 7 units. Syracuse’s defense is not as good as last year. Lander Nolley will be able to make some 3s against the zone. Hokies are 0-5 ATS against teams with a winning record over their last 5. I like this matchup though. Syracuse is an 8-6 team favored over a 10-4 team. VT shoots more 3s and makes them at a higher clip. Syracuse turns the ball over more. Rebounding is pretty even. I’ll take the better team and the points on the road.
Marquette/Northern Iowa/Iowa/Virginia Parlay risking 4 units to win 6.66 units. I’ve got some stuff on the grill so don’t have time to get into this parlay, but all will win. You are welcome.
Jazz -3 at -110 for 5 units. Jazz at Pelicans tonight. Jrue Holiday is out. Derrick Favors vs his old team. I don’t think he will like playing against Rudy Gobert. Pelicans have been playing a lot better over the past couple weeks than earlier in the season. Zion Williamson still hasn’t played.. Pelicans only loss recently was against the Lakers. Jazz have won 10 of 11. Should see some good basketball tonight. Utah beat the Pelicans by 8 earlier in the season without Gobert. I like this spot tonight. Have it straight up and to win a parlay.
Oklahoma State/West Virginia under 138 at -110 for 8 units. Line movement towards the Cowboys, which is weird because they have stunk it up over the past month. OK State is favored by 1 now. West Virginia haven’t scored over 70 against a good team in over a month (Dropped 86 on Rhode Island on Pablo Escobar’s birthday – December 1st). Oklahoma State scored 50, 50 hours ago against Texas Tech. The Cowboys know they have to up their defensive intensity if they want to win and get out of their slump. OK State lost to Georgetown at home right after Georgetown had their best player and others were dismissed from the team/transferred. I wanted to bet WVU and the under, but the line movement scared me off. I still really like the under though. Best college basketball game on the board tonight. Also, can West Virginia decide on a jersey style? They seem to change it every year.