The Best Sports Saturday of the Year is Here

College Football Playoff, Jon Jones/Gustafsson, Premier League soccer (Salah), Serie A soccer (Ronaldo), and of course Charlotte Hornets basketball…. ARE YOU NOT ENTERTAINED? IS THIS NOT WHY YOU ARE HERE?

I’ll start with soccer because that starts about 5 hours after this will be posted…

92-77-9 on Soccer since World Cup up 11.17 units

Juventus/Napoli/Tottenham Parlay risking 3 units to win 3.77 units. Sampdoria travels to Turin to face the Italian Giants today. It is near impossible to score on Juve in Turin. Juve only have one draw in their past 12 matches. Quagliarella can score for Sampdoria, but Juve’s attacking options should overwhelm the Sampdoria defense.

Tottenham have won 12 of their past 14 league matches. Wolves lack teeth in their attack. Son is hot. Tottenham also have not drawn a game domestically in a while (all season). I could see Harry Kane making a penalty in this one.

Napoli have beat Bologna by a score of 19-3 over their past 5 matches against each other. Napoli lost last time out to Inter. Koulibaly got a red card in that game and was the target of racism. Inter has been “punished” for these acts of racism. I think the punishment should be more severe, but it is what it is. Milik, Insigne, and Mertens should be enough offense to secure the win.

52-36 on College Football this season up 35.93 units

10-7 on Bowls up 6.56 units

Florida +7 at -149 for 5 units. Michigan lost to OSU and Notre Dame this season. They beat Wisconsin, Penn State, and Michigan State. I think Florida is more like the first two than the last 3. 7 points is a lot for a game that has a “low” over/under of 51. Florida averages 426.7 yards a game on offense. Michigan averages 427.3 yards a game on offense. Florida beat LSU and Mississippi State this season. Michigan is similar to those two teams in the sense that they all like to run the ball and play defense. Rashan Gary, Devin Bush, and Karan Higdon are all out for Michigan to focus on the NFL.

Notre Dame/Clemson under 59 at -128 for 3 units. Both these teams allow less than 18 points a game. 3 of Clemson’s last 4 games have gone under this number. 4 of Notre Dame’s last 4 games have gone under this number. Trevor Lawrence is great, but I could see him struggling a little in this one. Ian Book will be one of the best Qbs Clemson has faced all year. This game could be closer than people think, but it’ll be tough for either team to break 30/35 points.

Alabama/Oklahoma over 77 at -120 for 3 units. I’m not going to bet the under with Kyler vs Tua. Vegas is daring us to take the over. You have to.

6-1 on UFC/MMA in 2018 up 9.90 units

Montel Jackson at -165 for 2 units. Even though Jackson missed weight by 2 pounds and is fined 20% of his purse, I like him to beat Brian Kelleher. Jackson has an almost 9 inch reach advantage. Quik wins this one with superior kickboxing work.

Ryan Hall at -446 for 4 units. Hall is a great grappler from Northern Virginia. BJ Penn fights in another UFC bout here. BJ and all his brothers have the same name, Jay Dee Penn. That’s wild. BJ has not won a fight since he beat Matt Hughes in 2010. The man that once defended the lightweight championship 3 times, could be fighting his last fight tonight.

Walt Harris/Andrei Arlovski under 2.5 at -153 for 3 units. Walt Harris hasn’t seen the 3rd round in any of his last 5 fights. Andrei Arlovski last 5 fights have gone to a decision. Harris will be too much for the 39 year old…

Jon Jones/Alexander Gustafsson under 4.5 at -117 for 3 units. Jon Jones doesn’t like people saying he “lost” to Gustafsson when the decision went to Jones the first time these two met… he will be knockout hunting in this one. Gustafsson is ready to fight, if he wasn’t, he would have shut the fight down when it was moved from Nevada to California last week. Gustafsson is the only UFC fighter to takedown Jon Jones. Should be a good one with a knockout or submission. Gotta feeling…..

Lee/Iaquinta

2-1 on UFC/MMA down 1.43 units

Lost the big bet on Brian Ortega last time out. What a fight that was. Max Holloway scared me away with his health issues, but damn is he a beast.

Zak Cummings at -316 for 3 units. Cummings has a 6-3 UFC record, while Smith is 5-5. Cummings will win this one with a submission.

Joaquim Silva at +108 for 3 units. Bet on the Brazilian. Silva has lost 1 match in his UFC career and it went the distance. I told myself I would bet on him in his next fight when he lost to Pinchel and here we are. I expect him to rebound nicely.

Charles Oliveira at -303 for 3 units. Bet on the Brazilian. Oliveira is going for revenge as Jim Miller was his first ever loss. Charles submitted to the knee bar in the first round against Miller. Oliveira is coming off back 2 back performances of the night. I like him here.

Lee/Iaquinta over 2.5 at -120 for 5 units. Iaquinta went the distance with Khabib. This is a rematch of a fight that went the distance. These guys are a great matchup and I think this one goes the distance as well. Kevin Lee has the ability to submit Iaquinta, but I don’t think he will. This should be a good one.

Holloway/Ortega

0-0 on UFC/MMA

Thiago Santos at -191 for 3 units. Thiago Santos is Brazilian. Jimi Manuwa isn’t. What more do you need to know? Seriously though. Manuwa has the reach advantage, but Thiago’s ability to use body and leg kicks will wear Manuwa down. Santos received the fight of the night last time out in his TKO win over Eryk Anders. That momentum carries over.

Valentina Shevchenko at -303 for 3 units. Shevchenko has been close to winning a title, but hasn’t done it yet. She gets it tonight. Jedrzejczyk losses to Namajunas knocked her down a peg, but she is still a beast monster. Valentina has to make this fight ugly and not let Jedrzejczyk kickbox her to death. 125 is the ideal weight for Valentina and that will show tonight.

Brian Ortega at -105 for 4 units. Ortega has never lost. Max Holloway is no joke, but I am just going with my gut in this one. Holloway has won 12 fights in a row and that is the longest current active streak in the UFC. Holloway has had to pull out of 2 title fights this season due to health concerns. Ortega has never been knocked out, even though he has lost some rounds handily. The scrappiness of Ortega is hard to deny. Should be a good one.