2-1 on UFC/MMA down 1.43 units
Lost the big bet on Brian Ortega last time out. What a fight that was. Max Holloway scared me away with his health issues, but damn is he a beast.
Zak Cummings at -316 for 3 units. Cummings has a 6-3 UFC record, while Smith is 5-5. Cummings will win this one with a submission.
Joaquim Silva at +108 for 3 units. Bet on the Brazilian. Silva has lost 1 match in his UFC career and it went the distance. I told myself I would bet on him in his next fight when he lost to Pinchel and here we are. I expect him to rebound nicely.
Charles Oliveira at -303 for 3 units. Bet on the Brazilian. Oliveira is going for revenge as Jim Miller was his first ever loss. Charles submitted to the knee bar in the first round against Miller. Oliveira is coming off back 2 back performances of the night. I like him here.
Lee/Iaquinta over 2.5 at -120 for 5 units. Iaquinta went the distance with Khabib. This is a rematch of a fight that went the distance. These guys are a great matchup and I think this one goes the distance as well. Kevin Lee has the ability to submit Iaquinta, but I don’t think he will. This should be a good one.
0-0 on UFC/MMA
Thiago Santos at -191 for 3 units. Thiago Santos is Brazilian. Jimi Manuwa isn’t. What more do you need to know? Seriously though. Manuwa has the reach advantage, but Thiago’s ability to use body and leg kicks will wear Manuwa down. Santos received the fight of the night last time out in his TKO win over Eryk Anders. That momentum carries over.
Valentina Shevchenko at -303 for 3 units. Shevchenko has been close to winning a title, but hasn’t done it yet. She gets it tonight. Jedrzejczyk losses to Namajunas knocked her down a peg, but she is still a beast monster. Valentina has to make this fight ugly and not let Jedrzejczyk kickbox her to death. 125 is the ideal weight for Valentina and that will show tonight.
Brian Ortega at -105 for 4 units. Ortega has never lost. Max Holloway is no joke, but I am just going with my gut in this one. Holloway has won 12 fights in a row and that is the longest current active streak in the UFC. Holloway has had to pull out of 2 title fights this season due to health concerns. Ortega has never been knocked out, even though he has lost some rounds handily. The scrappiness of Ortega is hard to deny. Should be a good one.