23-17-2 on Soccer since World Cup up 14.17 units
Sassuolo at +117 for 2 units. Sassuolo looked solid vs Juventus, but then Ronaldo got a brace. Empoli have not won in Mapei Statium for over nine years. Babacar, Berardi, and Boateng should be enough to get the win over Empoli here. Empoli are scoring less than a goal a game this season.
20-17-2 on Soccer since World Cup up 6.38 units
Got juiced yesterday. PSG had it! What a great game between Liverpool and PSG at Anfield. Dortmund and Atletico pulled through after both had a shaky first half. Messi broke the tie with Ronaldo for most champions league hat tricks all time (8). Messi made one of his patented left-footed-over-the-wall-upper-corner free kicks. After that he had a left footed one time goal and a right footed placement goal. Messi has more champions league goals than PSV has in their history. That isn’t a stab at PSV either. Guy is unreal, Ronaldo knows what happened…..
Bayern at -200 for 4 units. Benfica scored once and lost all 6 champions league games last season. Now they face the German giants. Bayern has beat Benfica in their last 6 champions league matches. Thomas Muller is in form, which it seems like it has been a while since I have been able to say that. Robben is healthy and James Rodriquez is still killing it. Pizzi has been in phenomenal form for Benfica, but it won’t be enough here.
Juventus at -132 for 4 units. Ronaldo in the champions league is like Eminem in a rap battle.. you don’t bet against them. That is all.
Manchester United at -145 for 4 units. Romelu Lukaku scored 5 goals in his last tie with Young Boys back when he played for Everton. United have looked better recently after their shaky start to the season. Juventus and Valencia along with these two teams make it a tough group. United will want to get a win here in the “easiest” away match this group will offer them.
18-15-2 on Soccer since World Cup up 6.55 units
Champions league group stage is here.
Tottenham pk for 2 units. Neither of these teams are in the best form as Inter just lost to Parma while Tottenham just lost to Watford and Liverpool. The Nerazzurri do well at home against English competition historically, but I believe in this Tottenham squad. Eriksen looked solid over the international break (assist vs Liverpool too) and I expect him to pull the strings here for Kane and others. Nainggolan and Perisic are two of my favorite players in Fifa and in real life, but Inter does not have much else going on. I think the Spurs attack can do enough to Inter’s backline to draw or win this game.
Atletico Madrid at -128 for 4 units. Monaco does not have a win in their last 4 matches and now Atletico comes to town. Antoine Griezmann and Diego Simeone will come out firing this group stage after not getting past this stage last season. Atletico did win the Europa League, but Madrid wants more. Falcao and Monaco are no slouches, but Atletico’s defense turns it up a notch here.
PSG +.5 at -123 for 3 units. PSG to win or draw? I will bite. Liverpool have been one of the best teams in Europe over the past year, but I think Cavani, Di Maria, Verratti, Draxler, Neymar, Mbappe, and Thiago Silva are getting disrespected with this line. PSG are built for Champions league and I think they at least get a draw out of their trip to Anfield. Salah and Mane have been in arguably the best form in the world over the past 9 months, but this will be a close exciting game. PSG have scored 3 or more goals in 5 consecutive matches.
Dortmund at -122 for 2 units. Dortmund looked great vs Frankfurt and I expect that to carry over here. Reus, Dahoud, and Wolf had some solid chemistry in that game. Club Brugge have had a great start to their season, but the competition ramps up tremendously here. Dortmund, similarly to Atletico, failed to advance past this stage last season and they will want to get off to a great start here. Just a little extra motivation. Jadon Sancho has two assists in 3 games for Dortmund domestically. Brugge have scored first in 7 of their last 8 games, so if Dortmund can score first, Brugge will be uncomfortable.
17-14-2 on Soccer since World Cup up 8.40 units
Zlatan scored his 500th goal in true Ibra fashion. Yeah, he knows taekwondo. I mean the LA Galaxy have an overpaid shitty defense, but Zlatan is amazing. Even Toronto’s fans gave a standing ovation for this goal. Some of my other Zlatan favorites (he has so many to choose from, but these are top 500) are his bicycle kick vs England and his superb solo goal for Ajax.
Now on to the plays.
Juventus at -417 for 5 units. Sassuolo have not lost a game all season. Juventus will not underestimate them. Juventus have won 9 out of their last 10 games at home in Turin. Mario Mandzukic has been in great from since the start of the World Cup really, but more recently, he has scored in the past two games. Kevin-Prince Boateng is one of my favorite players in Serie A and he has been scoring for Sassuolo. Ronaldo only has one assist and no goals domestically since coming to Italy, that will most likely change today.
Sevilla at -145 for 3 units. Sevilla at home. Sevilla lost the “Andalusian derby” to Betis last time out, but they have looked great in Europa League.. what’s new? Getafe has one of the best defenses in Spain, but Sevilla is not an easy place to play. Jorge Molina will hope to be a factor for Getafe as he used to play for Sevilla’s rival Betis. Sevilla’s last two loses at home that were not friendlies were against Barcelona and Bayern..
17-11-2 on Soccer since World Cup up 14.40 units
Tottenham pk, +.5 for 3 units. Spurs have scored in their last 25 games at Wembley and they will here too. Lucas Moura has been a nice surprise for the Spurs this season. Who needs signings when you have players that hardly played last year that are talented? Liverpool has been scoring at will and they are first in the league for a reason. Spurs have won 8 straight games with Michael Oliver as the ref. Liverpool has only won 14 of the past 33 with Michael Oliver as the referee.
Leicester pk, +.5 at -126 for 3 units. Bournemouth has given up too many goals for them to be favored here. James Maddison has been more than solid for Leicester this season. These two teams usually get a lot of cards when they meet, which is sometimes fun to watch. I expect an ugly close game here.
Barcelona -1, -1.5 for 4 units. Real Sociedad is not an easy place to go get a win, but Dembele, Messi, and Coutinho are all in good form. Willian Jose is injured for Sociedad which hurts their attack. Barcelona have actually conceded more goals at the Anoeta than they have scored in their history.. that won’t continue today.
16-11-2 on Soccer since World Cup up 12.90 units
Bayern Munich at -333 for 5 units. Stuttgart beat Bayern 4-1 last time they played. Bayern will get revenge today. Bayern has won their 6 games on the road domestically. Stuttgart has been scored on by Bayern the last 18 times they have met. Muller has got out to a good start fort Bayern and I expect that to continue.
16-11-2 on Soccer since World Cup up 11.14 units
Besiktas at -170 for 3 units. Besiktas just has more talent on the field than Partizan Belgrade. Besiktas lost 3-2 to Antalyaspor last time out, but it was a game where Besiktas won the second half after a terrible first half. Ricardo Gomes has been scoring for fun for Partizan, but Medel, Pepe, Gonul, Quaresma, Arslan, and Ozyakup should have the experience needed to win this second leg for Besiktas.
15-11-2 on the Soccer since World Cup up 6.14 units
Tottenham Hotspur +0 at +125 for 4 units. Manchester United and Jose Mourinho need a win today at home, but I do not think they get it. United is off to their worst start since 2014/2015. Brighton beat United 3-2 the last time out. Tottenham could get out to their best start in nearly a decade with a win today. Kane normally struggles against United, but I expect that to change today. He has 2 goals in 7 league games against Manchester. I just think Tottenham has been playing a lot better than United and that will show today.
14-11-2 on the Soccer since World Cup up 5.09 units
Sevilla at -380 for 4 units. Sevilla is starting new signing Gonalons who should add some stability to the midfield. Sarabia, Muriel, Vidal, and Nolito should be enough going forward for Sevilla to walk over Sigma Olomouc. Sevilla knows they need to get some away goals here just so they do not get put in a tight spot during the second leg.
14-10-2 on the Soccer since World Cup up 8.09 units
Red Bull Salzburg at +119 for 3 units. Red Star is not in the same class as Salzburg. I think Salzburg wins this game. Munas Dabbur has been great this season and has 4 goals in 4 Bundesliga matches. Red Star does have a solid defense, but they have not played a team of this caliber lately.
