Euro Group Stage Comes to a Close

92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units

55-48-11 on Soccer in 2019 down 14.06 units

France/Albania over 2.5 at -120 for 3 units. France looked like poor in their last match. They have already secured advancement however. 4 of Albania’s last 5 games have had 4 or more goals. France’s youngsters can score. Seems like this line should be higher. Giroud should start and get his poacher goal.

Portugal -2.5 at -105 for 2 units. Luxembourg doesn’t have the talent to stop Portugal from qualifying. Portugal moves on with a win. Ronaldo will have 100 international goals if he scores twice here. He knows this. He will try for it. Portugal have at least 3 goals in 4 of their last 6 away games. The 2016 defending champions will take care of business today.

 

Euro Qualifiers are Wrapping Up

92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units

55-48-11 on Soccer in 2019 down 15.36 units

England has qualified, even amidst the Gomez-Sterling dust-up. The Czech Republic, Ukraine, Spain, Poland, France, Turkey, Belgium, Russia, Italy, and…. Finland have already qualified. After 32 failed attempts and 81 years, Finland have made a major international tournament. Pukki, Tim Sparv, Joona Toivio and Jukka Raitala may be representing Finland’s golden generation right now.

Austria at -385 for 5 units. Austria beat North Macedonia 4-1 the last time they played. Arnautovic and Sabitzer are studs. Arnautovic had 4 star skills and was 6 foot 4 in Fifa 17, I fell in love with him. He was a poor man’s Ibra in Ultimate team. I digress, Austria will move on with a tie, but I think they won’t risk it and go for the win. Macedonia commits a lot of fouls and are not as disciplined in defense as Austria. I like this spot.

Weekend Parlay Round 6 – College Basketball – NFL – Euro Predictions

3-6 on weekend parlay up 7.66 units

Florida (Basketball)/Bucks/Mavericks Knicks over 215/North Carolina +4 (Football)/Alabama (Football)/Penn State(Football)/Wake Forest +34/Hawaii -7/Appalachian State/Chiefs risking 1 unit to win 34.56 units.

Florida is coming off a loss to in-state rival Florida State. Towson is 2-1, but with wins against terrible basketball schools. The Gators have a lot more talent. The Bucks go up against the Bulls. The Bulls have been “easy” to bet on this season, as they have won and lost every game they were supposed to (except for the Hornets maybe). Giannis takes care of business. Mavericks play a Knicks team that they lost to last week. Dallas only scored 102 points in that game. They get at least 110 tonight.

North Carolina and Pittsburgh have played everybody close this season. Now they face each other, I’ll take the points. Alabama and Penn State will win coming off of tough losses. Wake Forest should keep it relatively close against Clemson. Wake has quietly been one of the best teams in the ACC this year. The over under for Hawaii UNLV is set at above 70. Hawaii have scored over 37 points in their last 3 games. Hawaii will simply outscore UNLV. App State is coming off a win against South Carolina. They will beat Georgia State. I like the Chiefs on Monday Night, but the line should move to 4 or 5 by gametime, so when the parlay makes it that far, you can sprinkle a little on Chargers +4 to guarantee winning money.

Switzerland/Austria/Florida/Penn State/Cincinnati/Appalachian State/Panthers/Saints/Bills Dolphins Over 41 risking 1 unit to win 8.24 units. A little Euro action to start this parlay. Switzerland and Austria both have in-form players against inferior opponents. Both countries will want to win too based on their group standings in these qualifiers. I wrote about Florida, Penn State, and App State above. Cincinnati had a scare against ECU, but rebounded for the 50 point win against UConn. They keep it going against USF. The Panthers and Saints are coming off of a loss. The Panthers didn’t have their LT and best CB against the Packers and the referees. They won’t have the refs sucking Rodgers off to compete against this week. CMC runs all over the Falcons. The Saints won’t lost to the Falcons and Buccaneers in back 2 back weeks right? RIGHT? Finally, Buffalo played Miami in Buffalo and there were 52 points scored in that game. 41 is too low for Fitzmagic and Josh Allen. Either could throw a pick 6 in this one. There will be at least 45 points in this game in Miami (barring a hurricane).

 

Soccer Saturday – Big Dawgs Weekend

92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units

55-44-10 on Soccer in 2019 down 2.36 units

Barcelona/Leipzig Parlay risking 6 units to win 4.68 units. Leipzig are on a 4 game winless run in Bundesliga, but they are heavily favored. That should tell you all you need to know. Leipzig went off midweek in the German Cup, winning 6-1 against Wolfsburg. Werner had an amazing run in that game. Speaking of amazing runs… Messi is in form. Barcelona will beat Levante.

Barcelona -1 at -180 for 3 units. Messi. Suarez. Yes I am just typing players’ names, but they are in-form.

Liverpool -1.5 at +105 for 2 units. Aston Villa just lost to Manchester City 3-0. I like Liverpool to do something similar. Liverpool rested the whole A and some of the B squad against Arsenal midweek and still won. Klopp has this team moving. Liverpool are only 6 points clear of City. They have to win these types of games to win the league. Also, City have the goal differential advantage, so I expect Liverpool to pour it on in some games.

Bayern Munich -1.5 at -100 for 2 units. Bayern haven’t covered since October 1st against Tottenham in Champions League. They are due. Frankfurt have a lot of injuries as well.

Sevilla/Atletico Madrid over 2 at -118 for 2 units. My good friend Neal loves the over 2 bet. These two teams have enough class upfront to score some goals. Both teams last two matches have hit this number. It won’t lose..

 

Image result for chicharito

Weekend Parlay Round 7 – Last Week’s Won!

3-3 on weekend parlay up 13.66 units 

3 Parlays for me this weekend. Feeling lucky after last week’s won.

Appalachian State/Notre Dame/Pittsburgh/Auburn/Tennessee/Boise State Parlay risking 2 units to win 6.61 units. All money-line bets. College Football. Boise State, Pittsburgh, Auburn, and Notre Dame are all coming off of tough losses. I like them all in bounceback games against inferior opponents. App State gets a decent Georgia Southern team at home. The Mountaineers will do enough to get the win.

Finally, Tennessee looked good against South Carolina last weekend. They know they have to beat UAB at home to make a bowl game. I wouldn’t be shocked if the Volunteers win the rest of the season, but it starts against UAB.

49ers/Bills/Tennessee/Notre Dame/Auburn/Boise State/Pittsburgh/App State Parlay risking 2 units to win 4.56 units. Like the college plays so much I am adding the 49ers and Bills. 49ers are unbeaten and going against the Cardinals on a short week. I love betting against rookie head coaches in their first Thursday Night game. The 49ers are faster and stronger in the trenches. Sanders has more time to learn the offense. Bills play the Redskins at home. Bills defense and Josh Allen get the job done.

Sorry for adding NFL plays and the odds getting worse.. I placed the only college football parlay on Monday. Tennessee, Boise State, Auburn, and Notre Dame have all been slightly more favored since then. 

49ers/Bills/Tennessee/Notre Dame/Auburn/Boise State/Pittsburgh/App State/PSG/Real Madrid/Barcelona Parlay risking 2 units to win 12.31 units. Barcelona looked dominant midweek. The line has already moved in Barcelona’s favor. Messi and Suarez are in silly good form. Levante will lose. Real Madrid also looked great. Madrid handled Leganes with ease, 5-0. Real Betis have underperformed this season. Real Madrid lost this fixture last season 2-0. Betis are actually the more injured team with William Carvalho out. As well as, Dani Martin, Juan Miguel Juanmi Lopez, Wilfrid Jaures Kaptoum, and Francis Guerrero doubtful.

Pepe Keeps my Parlay Alive!!

Pepe came on in the 75th minute while Arsenal were playing like shit and down 2-1 to Guimaraes.

Then he did this.

 

Then he did this.

Free Ozil. My Parlay was almost killed right away, but never fear.. Pepe is here. 72 million bought me and Arsenal some happiness today.

Can’t Lose Weekend Parlay Round 2

2-3 on weekend parlay up 4.44 units 

2 of the 12 legs lost last week. Boise State of Idaho and Bayern Munich of Bavaria. I won’t let you down this weekend.

These are in order of start time: Arsenal plays Thursday afternoon in the Europa League, but all the others are on Saturday with 1 (Sevilla) on Sunday. Hayden ride with me! It only lost last week because you didn’t play it. Walker and I need you!

Arsenal/Bayern/Manchester City/Ohio State/LSU/Iowa/Oregon/Sevilla risking 2 units to win 9.22 units.

Arsenal beat St. Liege and Frankfurt. St. Liege and Frankfurt beat Guimaraes. Transitive property doesn’t work in sports gambling, but I am deploying it here.

Bayern won’t kill my parlay twice. Bayern are a point back from the top of the Bundesliga. They need a win here. They won’t lose at home here.

Manchester City have looked pretty amazing. Going to keep riding them even though Pep doesn’t have central defenders.

Ohio State is the best team in college football no cap. Wisconsin just lost to Illinois. Barstool Big Cat was bummed. 

I am not convinced Auburn is that good. I am convinced LSU is a wagon.

 

Iowa have not beat Northwestern since 2016. Iowa -10 is a lock on the the “Locks and Thoughts” podcast. Go download wherever you get podcasts #shamelessplug

Washington State are booty. Oregon will roll.

Sevilla is added as the only Sunday play. Once all the others win, you can take Getafe +0.5 at plus money to hedge out and guarantee some profit, or just let it ride. Sevilla has only lost to Real Madrid at home this season though. They are hard to beat in Seville.

Soccer Sunday Preview – Liverpool Keeps Winning and Sevilla Shows Out at Home

The image above is a picture I took of Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan Stadium when Sevilla beat Levante 3-1 in 2016. I expect more of the same today against Levante in Seville #NervionPlaza

92-78-9 on Soccer in 2018 up 8.17 units

55-44-10 on Soccer in 2019 down 0.63 units

Liverpool/Manchester United over 2.5 at -120 for 2 units.

Liverpool at -140 for 4 units. Mane and Salah. I have been asking my Liverpool friends if they like Mane or Salah more and the answer as either been Yes.. or extended paragraphs on how they are both amazing and how they are lucky to have them. No Pogba or De Gea for United. Manchester United have 1 win in their last 7 league games. Now they go up against the best club in the World in my eyes. This line should be -200.

Sevilla at -300 for 4 units. Sevilla won’t lose at home. Start Chicharito!! Jesus Navas will supply the crosses. Banega will add the creativity. Ocampos has been in more than fine form. Levante lacks the fluidity that Sevilla has shown this season.

Roma at +115 for 1 unit. Sampdoria have lost their last 3 league games. They are bottom of the table. Cristante, Dzeko, and Kolarov will use their experience to get the dub. Just want to get the juices flowing with my cup of coffee before my big Liverpool/NFL bets.

Can’t Lose Weekend Parlay

Image result for lewandowski gif

Feeling lucky. El Clasico has been postponed to due Catalonia’s protests. My Parlays have not been postponed.

2-2 on Weekend Parlays, but this is my first can’t lose one; therefore, I will go 3-2. Just put it blindly. I am up 6.44 units since I started doing these parlays. Let’s get it.

PSG/Manchester City/Bayern Munich/Barcelona/Sevilla/Florida/Auburn/Iowa/Cincinnati/Boise State/Penn State/Bills risking 2 units to win 27.02 units.

12 teams on this one. PSG are without Mbappe and Neymar, but they still have a better midfield and defense than Nice. City, Bayern. and Barcelona are all healthy and won’t lose their first game back from break. I trust Messi, Pep, Aguero, and Lewandowski. Sevilla at home is a no-brainer. Sevilla are my favorite club and they have only 3 losses this season, two were against Barcelona and Real Madrid. They will beat Levante at home. Start Chicharito!

I wrote about Florida and Penn State in my college football post here. 

Auburn, Iowa, and Cincinnati are all heavy favorites at home. They won’t lose. Just adding them to make this parlay a little more fruitful.

I love this Boise State team. They could be the parlay killer on the road at BYU, but with both starting Qbs out for these teams.. I trust the Boise State defense to show out.