Category: Uncategorized

Player To Win Snowboarding – Women’s Half pipe

Chloe Kim +135 for 3 units.

Arielle Gold +950 for 3 units.

At the Aspen X-Games, these two got gold and silver in the superpipe event. Gold went into first place after her last run, then Kim stole the Gold with her last run. Chloe Kim has arrived. She is only 17 and I think she will get her first olympic gold in the halfpipe here. Arielle Gold had a a near flawless run that she had never landed in an event, but Kim’s back 2 back 1080s stole the gold from Gold. I think Arielle may come through based on her impressive X-Games performance, but Kim is obviously the favorite.

 

Odds to win Men’s Ice Hockey

Russia -110 for 2 units. I am going with the favorite here. A lot of the best players will not be playing in this event due to the NHL schedule. Russia has, arguably, the second best hockey league in the world. I think Russia should be a heavier favorite so I am going to take the value here. If they make it to the championship game and are playing a heavy underdog, I will most likely hedge on the underdog. Best of luck.

15-10-1 on NCAAB in 2017 up 5.25 units

31-28 on NCAAB in 2018 up 5.93 units

Idaho -6 for 2 units. Idaho has the better defense and advantage inside. Also, Idaho moves the ball better on offense. Idaho has been dominating opponents lately and I expect more of the same here. Brayon Blake is shooting over 45% from deep for Idaho and adds a nice threat from the forward position. Victor Sanders has been leading Idaho lately. I just can’t see Idaho losing this game.

6-6-1 in Hockey up 6.85 units

Panthers ML -105 for 1 unit. Haari Sateri has been playing well at goalie for the Panthers. They have won their past 4 games with him. The Kings have won 4 of their past 5 games and have a solid away record. If you look closer at their away record, they have only won one away game in the past 6 against a team with a winning record. The Panthers play better at home and I like them here. Best of luck.

4-5-1 in Hockey up 4.19 units

Finland – Sm Liiga

Jukurit Helsinki over 4.5 for 3 units at -112. Helsinki has been averaging over 4 goals a game in their last 5, while Jukurit just gave up 4 goals to a below average Assat team. Helsinki have the second most home goals in the league. Erik Thorell is playing well in his first season with Helsinki and had two assists the last time these two teams met.

Helsinki -1.5 for 1 unit at -102. I think this one could get out of Jukurit’s control. Helsinki has been playing some of the best hockey in the league recently. Helsinki’s only home loss this year was to league leaders Karpat.

NHL

San Jose Sharks ML OT included at -104 for 1 unit. Sharks have lost two straight at home, but their skid ends here. The Sharks have been playing better than their results have indicated recently. Martin Jones is 4-0-1 in his last 5 at home for the Sharks.

5-2 in snooker up 3.95 units

Mark Williams ML for 4 units at -145. This line is fishy to me as I had Mark Williams as a lot bigger favorite. Li Hang did win the last time these two played, but that was before Mark Williams got hot. Li has lost his last 5 matches against good competition, while Williams has won his last 10 matches against arguably better competition. Williams is a joint favorite to win this event at 20/1 odds.

Stuart Bingham ML for 3 units at -300. Bingham is a joint favorite to win this Shoot-Out at 20/1 odds as well. He gets an unranked opponent in the first round in James Silverwood. Silverwood has lost his last two matches against unranked competition. Bingham rarely slips up at the beginning of tournaments. Thought this line would be close to -450, so a value play here even at high juice.

Mark King ML for 2 units at -180. Ashley Carty has never beat King in an event. King is a fairly consistent player. King usually only loses to tough competition, Carty does not really qualify as that. Best of luck.

Mark Selby, Ronnie O’Sullivan, John Higgins, Judd Trump, and Ding Junhui all chose not to participate in this tournament. I can’t speak for all these players, but I can promise Ronnie is not playing because the first place prize is not big enough. Ronnie has been feeling ill this year, but if this purse was considerably bigger than the 150,000 pounds it is.. he’d be there.

 

15-10-1 on NCAAB in 2017 up 5.25 units

30-26 on NCAAB in 2018 up 9.02 units

Duke -1 for 4 units. UNC-Duke, one of the best rivalries in all of sports. UNC has not been able to cover 3s all year and Duke is making over 45% of their 3s in their last 3 games. Grayson Allen will most likely go off. Duke scores more points and allows less points than the Tar Heels. Duke has been winning in recruiting in recent years (much too Calipari’s dismay. Calipari isn’t salty at all mentioning how much his former players are worth), but UNC has been winning in March and April. I just think Duke is the better team at this point in the season. Duke doesn’t have a bench, but their starters are pretty damn good. If Grayson Allen can silence the Dean Dome like Austin Rivers did a few years back, he will go up the all-time Duke white boy list passing Greg Paulus and others by my estimation.

South Alabama -6 for 3 units. Little Rock away from home fade. South Alabama is 13-6 against the spread this year and now they get one of the worst teams in the conference. Little Rock has lost 6 in a row. University of South Alabama has lost 3 in a row, but all were on the road. No way USA doesn’t cover with the Olympics starting today too.

Gonzaga -12 for 2 units. Gonzaga won this game by 33 earlier this year at home. Gonzaga is hitting their stride again after some mid season hiccups. Gonzaga leads Pacific in every statistical category except blocks. My numbers said this line should be about 18 so I am taking the value here. Best of luck.

 

 

15-10-1 on NCAAB in 2017 up 5.25 units

29-24 on NCAAB in 2018 up 12.09 units

UVA -2.5 for 3 units. Virginia is 15-4-1 against the spread this year and Florida State is 14-6-1 against the spread this year. Virginia has not lost a conference game all season and I do not see that happening here. UVA only gives up 52 points a game and defense travels. FSU does shoot 3s better at home and they will need to make a lot of them if they want to pull out a win here. FSU went to overtime with Syracuse and Miami at home, UVA is way better than both of those teams. I have said it before but I think UVA does not get the respect they deserve from Vegas because of the public perception and the style they play. I will keep taking advantage of these low spreads for UVA as I think they are the best team in the nation, sorry Villanova.

NC State +6 for 3 units. Virginia Tech has not beaten an ACC team with a winning record in the conference as UNC sits at 5-5 in the conference. State has the advantage in the paint and I think that will keep this game close with NC State maybe pulling out the win. Also, State has the better defense as they give up less points, have more steals, and block more shots. Maybe VT surprises and wins this game by more than 6, but I would not bet it as they just lost to Miami. Also, State is on a 3 game win streak.

Auburn -7 for 3 units. Texas A&M has not been great on the road this season and now they travel to face maybe the best team in the conference. Auburn is 12-0 at home, while the Aggies are 1-5 on the road. A&M did play maybe their best game of the season last time out, but that was against a bad South Carolina team. If you follow me, you bet on A&M in that game. I just think Auburn is too good at home for the Aggies. Auburn could get overmatched in the paint in this one, but I think they do enough to cover.

15-10-1 on NCAAB in 2017 up 5.25 units

27-23 on NCAAB in 2018 up 10.17 units

Michigan -1 for 2 units. Michigan won this game by 11 last week, and Northwestern could not get much going offensively. This game is in Rosemont, Illinois and not Ann Arbor. Michigan has a better offense and a better defense than their opponent in this one. Northwestern is 9-12 against the spread this year, while Michigan is 14-9 against the spread. I am siding with the better team.

Notre Dame -6 for 2 units. Notre Dame has lost 7 in a row and are still favored by 6 against Boston College. Notre Dame has lost some close games in their losing streak and injuries have derailed this season. This is a must win for Notre Dame at home if they want to make the NCAA tournament. BC has only won one away game all year when they beat Hartford on December 2nd.

Arkansas -7 for 2 units. Arkansas has too good of an offense at home for a struggling South Carolina team. South Carolina is shooting below 40% from the field on the season, that isn’t good. Daryl Macon played well last game and if he can keep it going, Arkansas will cover. Best of luck.

4-3-1 in Hockey up 8.19 units

Finland – Sm Liiga

Jukurit +0 (pk) for 2 units at -104. Assat has not won an away game since January 3rd when they beat Hameenlinna in penalties. Also, Assat has been in some of the worst form in the league this calendar year. They have been giving up an average of 4 goals a game over their last 5 matches. Zach Budish and Teemu Suhonen should help Jukurit pull this one out.

KooKoo +0 (pk) for 2 units at +118. KooKoo is in better form and at home for plus money. I like that. KooKoo has been awful at home while Hameenlinna has been solid away, but I like this spot for KooKoo. KooKoo won the last meeting between these two 6-3. This should be a close game so I will side with the underdog. Best of luck.

15-10-1 on NCAAB in 2017 up 5.25 units

27-22 on NCAAB in 2018 up 12.17 units

Rutgers +3 for 2 units. Home dog here. Both these teams are a little above .500 against the spread this year. Rutgers have an advantage inside and played great against Purdue in their last game. Indiana is 1-7 on the road this year. Rutgers are actually outscoring opponents at home by almost 8 points a game. The line has moved from +1 to +3, I would not have taken this game at +1, but I like the points in what should be a close game.