Drake -130 for 4 units. “Don’t think about it too much” Just bet it baby! Tyson Etienne can ball for the Shockers. Drake just extended their coach, DeVries, for 8 more years for a reason. 4 More Years! Twice! Darnell Brodie is a solid big man for Drake and the Bulldogs have guards. Good formula in March – good guards and a big man. The Shockers are the public favorite and have the more March experience, but I like Drake.
UCLA +2 for 2 units. UCLA hasn’t won a game since 2/25. They are due! The Bruins are 11-0 when they hold opponents to 62 points or fewer and 6-9 when opponents exceed 62 points. Michigan State can struggle to score at times. I like UCLA to cover in a close game. I like the under a little too, but life’s too short to bet an under on the first day of the long-awaited March Madness.
Michigan/Maryland over 132.5 for 3 units. Michigan should prove why they are a top-10 team today. Maryland does not have the talent Michigan has. Wiggins and Ayala looked solid for Maryland in a good win against MSU. Maryland just has too many droughts on offense for them to keep up with Michigan. I like the over because Michigan can score at will.
Alabama -8 for 6 units. Mississippi State’s win over Kentucky doesn’t impress me much, although at least Kentucky played unlike Dook. Bama can get just as hot as anybody in college basketball from 3. Makes them fun to bet on. They should win this game by double digits. Maybe bet Miss St 1H as a hedge, but I ain’t scared enough to do that.
North Texas +1 for 3 units. Javion Hamlett and the Mean Green are only a slight underdog against the 1 seed for a reason. North Texas can limit their turnovers and make 3s. A combo I like in March.
Florida St ML -140 for 3 units. FSU should get revenge on UNC today. I hope the Heels win. I think the Noles win.
Texas -1 for 3 units. Kansas doesn’t impress me. They do play great defense, but Texas is the more athletic team. Goin with former VCU coach Shaka Smart’s squad here.
8-3 on College Football this season Up 25.99 units
Haven’t written an article since I predicted the Bama/OSU National Title game perfectly. Won 26 units on college football this past season. It was a fun ride. Shoutout to Iowa and Bama.
Gambling has become legal in more states since last time I wrote (like Virginia), BTC keeps going up, Trump is no longer President, Hornets have the best player in the league in LaMelo Ball. Panthers are gonna get Watson I hope. Good time to be a North Carolinian living in Virginia besides all this COVID shit. Going to start posting my plays religiously like I used to when I was a younger better man. I am no longer going to use working at a hospital during a global pandemic as an excuse.
70-62-2 on NCAAB in 2019 up 8.95 units
46-38-1 last season up 13.96 units
0-0 this season
Haven’t wrote about College Basketball in 366 days right before shit hit the fan with COVID. March Madness will always have been crawling back. One of the best tournaments in all of sports. Let’s get this Bitcoin, USD, or whatever you bet with nowadays.
Miami -4 at -110 for 3 units. Gotta take advantage of trash teams like BC this time of year.
North Texas -5.5 at -110 for 3 units. North Texas
Loyola Marymount +2 at -110 for 3 units.
NHL
Lightning -1.5 at +130 for 3 units. Score in first 10 at -185 for 3 units.
Avalanche -1.5 at +110 for 3 units. Score in first 10 at -145 for 3 units.
Knights -1.5 at +115 for 3 units. Score in first 10 at -170 for 3 units.
7-3 on College Football this season Up 20.33 units
Alabama -6 1H at -106 for 6 units. Bama has dominated every team they have played. I was surprised at how good OSU’s wideouts and D-line looked against Clemson. My “OSU hasn’t played anybody logic” may have backfired (not like Clemson beat anybody that great.. sorry Notre Dame). Fields looked amazin vs Clemson. Most of the season he looked pretty pedestrian though. Was the Clemson game an anomaly? Maybe, but Alabama has a better defense, especially in the secondary, this season when compared to Clemson. Shaun Wade is not good enough in OSU’s secondary to cover Bama’s wideouts. OSU’s safeties are even worse. Cornell Powell had over 5 receptions and 100 yards against Shaun Wade in the semi-final. Cornell Powell did not win the heisman like DeVonta Smith did.
Bama finished with the highest point total in the country at 48.2 points a game. Sermon is the only guy that worries me a little. He has looked like a beast over the past 3 games, but I ain’t scared. Roll Tide. Dabo ranked this OSU team 11th, so they must not be as good as Bama…….
6-2 on College Football this season Up 17.63 units
Full disclosure, my units are so high because I hit two parlays that included an NFL game, but were mostly College football. The money was still won and the plays were posted in advance.
The Big Ten has changed their rules so Ohio State can be their Playoff team. Back in my day you had to play at least 6 games to make the Big 10 Championship game, but NO MORE! Dabo Swinney thinks Ohio State shouldn’t make the playoff. Dabo’s thoughts on the matter:
“Obviously, that’s a tough question to answer in my position because we feel like we’re definitely one of the best four teams in the country and there’s nothing that’s going to happen in that game next week for Clemson or Notre Dame that’s going to change that in my opinion and that’s based on data,” Swinney said. “It’s almost like you’ve got to have 120 hours to get a business degree and yet these people over here only need 60 hours to get a business degree.
“I think any time you step in between the lines, the game of football, there’s a lot that can happen — a lot. I mean, heck — in 2017, we lost to a three-win or four-win Syracuse team and still went to the Playoffs. So anything can happen. Guys can get hurt. There’s a lot. So I think the fact that we’re going to have 11 games as well as the SEC teams — I mean, you look at Florida and Texas A&M and Alabama. I mean, these teams are going to have 11 games this year.”
It will be real interesting to see who gets left out of the playoff. Do Texas A&M and Bama both get in if Bama has one loss? Does Clemson’s loss even count cause they didnt have Lawrence? Poor Cincinnati and Coastal Carolina.
Iowa +2 at -110 for 6 units. Iowa has played almost twice as many games as Wisconsin. What a weird season this is. Iowa is averaging over 37 points over their past 5 games. I think the perception is that Iowa’s “boring” offense against Wisconsin’s strong defense will lead to a Badgers’ win. This should be a close game, but I like Iowa’s offense more than most this season. Tyler Goodson, is well, good at running the football for the Hawkeyes. Iowa’s defense is just as good as Wisconsin’s. Wisconsin’s best healthy wideout is 5 foot 7. Davis being out kills their ability to jet sweep along with other things. Mertz has no one to throw to. Iowa’s seniors will want to end the losing streak against Wisconsin. I think Iowa’s defense against Wisconsin’s lack of wideouts, along with Iowa just simply having more game and practice time this season means they should be favored. Take the points.
Florida/LSU under 68.5 at -110 for 3 units. I just see a 41-14 type game here. I don’t think LSU can score against this Florida defense.
Fall Golf is a little weird, but the Masters is must watch tv. The weather could dampen the mood a little, but I think it just means you have to find “calm” steady golfers.
The hole-in-one by Jon Rahm is a fun way to get it started. Bryson DeChambeau is bringing out the longest, biggest driver ever in Augusta. It is all about Head Speed and power for Bryson. He is going to bomb it to some greens.
Top 10
Tony Finau +155 for 1 unit. Finau has all the talent to win this tournament, but he won’t. Finau has one of the best shoe games on tour, but that is not why I am betting him. Finau has all the tools to place in the top 5. I like him in the top 10 at plus money. Solid ROI here. Finau got a top-10 with a sprained ankle in 2018. EZ money.
Jordan Spieth +330 for 1 unit. He loves this place.
Matt Kuchar +850 for 1 unit. Kuchar should pay his caddies, but I like his ability to stay even in what could be some bad weather.
Tournament Matchups
Webb Simpson over Colin Morikawa at -140 for 2 units. Fading the youngster. Gotta go with my North Carolina guy Webb.
Brooks Kopeka over Bubba Watson at -130 for 2 units. Bubba has been off this year. Brooks is more consistent at high level events. Brooks hasn’t won this tournament yet. I think he has a better chance than the odds are saying, but I really like him over Bubba. Brooks will ride his top-5 finish last week to a good week..
Top Rest of World Player – Corey Connors at +2100 for 1 unit.
Top Canadian – Corey Connors at even for 1 unit. Corey Connors is one of the best iron players on tour. That is needed at Augusta. Connors is my favorite sleeper because of his ball-striking and recovery abilities.
Top English Player – Lee Westwood at +850 for 1 unit. Westwood has finished 2nd in this tournament twice and has finished in the top-25 of a lot of tournaments this season. Great value here.
Top Spanish Player – Jon Rahm at -375 for 3 units. Shouldn’t be a contest with Garcia, won’t be without him. Rahm never takes a break and is always in top-10s.
Top 20 Finish – Rickie Fowler at +145 for 1 unit. Just a Rickie fan. Want him to win one big one.
69-58-5 on the NFL season (2018/19) up 26.36 units
46-49 on the NFL 2019/20 season up 27.97 units
5-4 on the NFL this season up 13.44 units
Bills -9.5 at -110 for 3 units. Jets suck. Their best offensive weapon, the former Dookie, Jamison Crowder is out today. Bills are coming off of back 2 back losses to the Chiefs and Titans. Josh Allen get right game. Buffalo’s defense will want to play better than they have the past two weeks. Rumor is Josh Norman is still depressed after getting stiff armed across the field two weeks ago against Henry.
Panthers +6.5 at -110 for 3 units. Brees can’t throw the ball down the field. Panthers have looked surprisingly good without Cam, CMC, Olsen, Kuechly, and others. Anderson and Moore are talented wideouts. I had the Saints favored by 3 so will take this. The Panthers d-line is underrated and young.
Falcons at -116 for 3 units. I hate betting the Falcons, but Detroit’s secondary will struggle. In a battle of two teams who should have fired their coaches… I’ll take the team that already has.
49ers at +140 for 3 units. Patriots lost to the Broncos. The Broncos suck. NE doesn’t have enough weapons on offense anymore. Kittle should eat. McKinnon is enough coming out of the backfield for San Fran. Both teams do not have their full roster. I’ll take the team with the best player on the field (Kittle) at plus money.
Titans at -123 for 6 units. AJ Brown is a stud. Tennessee will have a defense planned for the Pittsburgh trips to one side offense that has been dominating the league so far. Claypool is good, but Corey Davis is back for the Titans. Derrick Henry will eat. Pittsburgh hasn’t played a good rushing offense all season (Giants, Broncos, Texans, Eagles, and Browns w/o Chubb). I think the Titans should be favored by more. I’ll bite.
Packers at -172 for 2 units. Packers won’t lose two in a row.
Chiefs at -340 for 2 units. Broncos suck. Tyreek Hill should go off today if last year’s games against Denver are any indication. Interested to see how much work Bell gets with CEH looking so good. Throw this in some parlays if you’re feeling frisky.
69-58-5 on the NFL season (2018/19) up 26.36 units
46-49 on the NFL 2019/20 season up 27.97 units
3-2 on the NFL this season up 15.88 units
Won my big Buccaneers play and both my parlays last week to go up big units. Let’s keep it rolling.
Jets pk at -110 for 4 units.
Jets -4 at +170 for 3 units. Broncos and Jets both suck, but NYJ is healthier. The Jets, Darnold, and Gase have to win this game. Gase and Darnold could lose their jobs if they lose badly. Jets put together enough big plays on offense to get the win. Frank Gore is still playing. Herndon and Crowder have to have big games for these bets to hit and I think they will against the hurt Denver defense. Brett Rypien don’t scare me.
Crowder over 51.5 receiving yards at -135 for 3 units.
Crowder over 4.5 receptions at -130 for 3 units. Crowder has had two weeks off. He got double digit targets in the only game he played this season. I think he gets about 6 for 70 if not better in this game. Darnold will look his way early and often.
69-58-5 on the NFL season (2018/19) up 26.36 units
46-49 on the NFL 2019/20 season up 27.97 units
71-52 on College Football in 2018 up 53.33 units
42-36-2 on College Football in 2019 up 22.84 units
0-0 on the NFL this season
0-0 on College Football this season
I’m gonna count the parlays that include NFL and College in the both records. I have been seeing the board well so far in football this year… just haven’t had the time to write. Just set up a projector in my living room to watch my Panthers and fantasy team lose on the 160 inch screen. Cam Newton on the Patriots, Luke retiring, and CMC being injured is almost too much to handle, but long blonde Trevor is a nice carrot at the end of the 0-16 stick. UNC and VCU can’t lose in football this weekend at least… onto the plays. Full throttle.
Buccaneers -6 at -110 for 6 units. Broncos suck. Tampa Bay has had a great running defense for about 2 years now. If Jeff Driskel keeps it within a touchdown… I’m okay with losing money on that. Dre’Mont Jones, Courtland Sutton, Von Miller, and others are out. Lindsay is doubtful. Melvin Gordon is about all Denver has on offense. Rob Gronkowski has been quiet this season, but I could see him spiking a ball this weekend. Shaq B playing against his former team. Tampa’s run defense and big play wideouts get them the win.
Falcons -3.5 at -110 for 1 unit.
Falcons ML at -190 for 3 units. Must win for Atlanta. Chicago is a fake 2-0. Falcons would be favored by 8 if these coin flip games went the opposite ways for both teams. Mitch Trubisky has been a pleasant surprise, but the Falcons will outscore the Bears.
Colts/Buccaneers/Miami Canes Parlay risking 5 units to 4.98 units. Florida State has no discipline startin from the head coach down. Mike Norvell has COVID. He is zoom coachin. How the F does that work.
Tennessee at -170 for 4 units. The Volunteers just have a better roster. I’m not convinced either South Carolina QB is that great. Javon Kinlaw is a BIG loss.
Alabama -27 at -110 for 4 units. Had this line at 34. I’ll take the “free” touchdown.
Georgia -26 at -110 for 4 units. Arkansas has Georgia’s old o-line coach and that is about it. UGA is one of the most talented teams in college football and that should be on display tomorrow. UGA’s defense returns their top 8 tacklers. The Razorbacks will struggle to score. Arkansas was one of the worst teams in the SEC against the run last year. That won’t change in Week 1 of this year.
Texas A&M -30.5 for 6 units. Just taking 3 of the top 4 SEC teams to win by large numbers. Bama, Georgia, and TAMU all will roll in Week 1.
Mississippi State +16.5 at -110 for 4 units. LSU is losing a lot. They will still have a great secondary, some hog mollies on the line, and a great coach. Go Tigers! 16.5 is just too much with all their roster turnover. They are goin to get every team’s best shot this year. Mike Leach has an all-time twitter. KJ Costello is a smooth California kid that should be able to lead State to some points.
Virginia Tech -7 for 4 units. NC State can’t cover two weeks in a row. It is against their religion. Blacksburg at night is not an easy place to play. VT has outrecruited State for like 3 years now. VT is returning a good amount of players. “Back the Pack” one of NC State’s blogs has the Pack losing 33-30. If they don’t believe in themselves…
Colts/Buccaneers/Miami/Virginia Tech ML Parlay risking 6 units to win 9.5 units. J. Cole’s ATM comes to mind when I placed this parlay. COUNT IT UP!! Winning some apples and pears on this one.
First posted MLB plays of the season. I have been winning a good bit on the Athletics this year, but with Chapman done it makes it tougher. I have had success betting on teams with the better bullpen, as well as, a higher walk rate. I was down a lot in 2019, but won a good chunk of BTC on Nationals alt lines in their World Series runs to end up positive on the year. Looking forward to the playoff race and playoffs. Let’s get it!
Cubs at -145 for 3 units. Could be Lester’s final start in Chicago as a Cub. Pirates have lost 12 of their past 13 games. Cubs should be closer to -180.
Rays +1.5 at -130 for 3 units. Mets almost have to win this game with deGrom pitching if they want to make the playoffs. Rays are just too damn good. Tampa has the 2nd best record in baseball. DeGrom just tweaked his hamstring. I’m taking one of the best teams in baseball against a pitcher that isn’t 100%
Giants at -115 for 3 units. Giants just beat my honey-hole of an A’s team by two touchdowns. I think they keep it rolling tonight with Cueto on the mound. Both teams need a win here, but I think the Giants are a better team this season. Guys like Trevor Story haven’t been their best this season for the Rockies.
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