Soccer August 21st

14-10-2 on the Soccer since World Cup up 8.09 units

Red Bull Salzburg at +119 for 3 units. Red Star is not in the same class as Salzburg. I think Salzburg wins this game. Munas Dabbur has been great this season and has 4 goals in 4 Bundesliga matches. Red Star does have a solid defense, but they have not played a team of this caliber lately.

 

MLB August 21st

59-57 on the MLB up 5.26 units

Twins at -113 for 3 units. Michael Kopech will make his debut for the White Sox. Kopech will try to add some life to this dreary White Sox season. Berrios is 7-1 vs the White Sox in his career and he gets the start for the Twins tonight. Berrios leads the Twins in strikeouts and wins and I think he gets another win tonight.

Padres/Rockies under 10.5 at -113 for 2 units. Robbie Erlin gives up less than a homer every 10 innings and I like his ability to control a game. Tyler Anderson has been average this season, but he has given up only 5 earned runs in his last 5 starts at home. I like this under even if it is in Colorado.

Soccer August 20th

13-9-2 on the Soccer since World Cup up 6.74 units

Ronaldo didn’t score, but Juventus did squeak out a 3-2 victory. Juve had like 4 times the shots than Chievo had, but Chievo converted their PK.

Atletico Madrid pk, -0.5 for 3 units at -113. Griezmann and Costa will be too much for Valencia. I just can’t see Valencia scoring more than 1 goal against Atletico. Atletico is coming off an excellent game against Real Madrid and I think they ride that confidence.

Liverpool -1, -1.5 for 3 units at -112. I think this might be Liverpool’s year. Mane loves scoring against Palace. Palace did get off to a way better start this season already than last season, but I think Liverpool will win this game by 1 or more goals so I will bite.

MLB August 20th

58-57 on the MLB up 1.81 units

Braves at +115 for 3 units. Chris Archer fade. I love betting against him. I thought this line would favor the Pirates by a lot more so I am going against my gut a little bit here and zagging. Kevin Gausman has looked solid in all of his starts for the Braves. Gausman is 2-1 with a 2.84 ERA since he joined Atlanta. I think Atlanta’s bats get hot today.

MLB August 18th

57-55 on the MLB up 7.31 units

Been riding the Diamondbacks against the Padres and it has worked well. Going to go back to an old formula today – which is essentially betting against bad pitchers.

Indians at -188 for 4 units. Alex Cobb has only won 3 games all season and now he faces the Indians. Indians are 29-16 in day games while the O’s are 15-31. Indians are just better and I expect that to show today.

Braves at -150 for 3 units. Senzatela is fine for the Rockies, but the Braves will get their revenge for losing last night.

Cardinals at -150 for 3 units. Wade Miley has been pitching well recently, but he still does not scare me at all.

Soccer August 18th

12-9-2 on the Soccer since World Cup up 5.54 units

Juventus at -417 for 5 units. Ronaldo and his SA debut for Juventus today. Chievo has not kept a clean sheet in the past 13 games. I think this line should be closer to -700 so I will bite. Juventus have not lost to Chievo in the past 21 games..

 

 

MLB August 16th

56-55 on the MLB up 4.34 units

2-1 since All-Star Break up 2.98 units

Twins pulled through for me yesterday after going down in the 4th inning. Logan Forsythe just kept getting on base for the Twins. Really the Pirates played the better game, but they left too many runners on base. The Mets had a 9 run sixth inning that made that an easy win. The Giants lost in extras but that game was a coin flip after San Francisco scored 3 runs in the 8th.

Diamondbacks at -135 for 4 units. One of the better teams vs what I think is the worst team. Jacob Nix gets the start for the Padres and he has only pitched 6 innings all season. Padres are 2-18 in home series openers this season. Buchholz has pitched two games at Petco in his career and won them both. Not going to overthink this one.

 

 

MLB August 15th

54-54 on the MLB up 1.36 units

Going to get back to posting. I haven’t bet on MLB since before the all star break, but have been watching for the past few weeks and feel confident enough to make some plays. Now that soccer has started and the NFL is about to start back up, I will be back on the betting horse.

I won a lot of money on Tennis, Golf, NHL Playoffs, and the NBA Playoffs this year… and then took a break, now I have the itch again..

Twins at -126 for 4 units. I do not believe in Archer. He is too inconsistent for me. All it takes is one hanging pitch from Archer for the Twins to win. The Pirates have not been hitting all that well and I expect that trend to continue. Twins play better at home. Jose Berrios leads the Twins in wins and strikeouts. Go Minnesota here.

Mets at -112 for 2 units. Mets can’t get swept on the season by the Orioles… right?

Giants at +165 for 2 units. Giants are going for the sweep tonight. The LA’s bats have been fairly silent this series and I expect that to continue tonight. Neither one of these starting pitchers has good numbers agains the other team, so I am going with the heavy underdog.

 

Soccer – World Cup Final July 15th

11-8-2 on the World Cup up 4.77 units

Croatia – France over 2 for 2 units.

Draw +235 for 2 units. You all already know a lot about this game so I will just say a few things. I love Modric. I don’t think Real Madrid wins half as many Champions League as they do without the Croatian. Kante can do enough to neutralize Modric most likely. Kante and Modric are the two best midfielders in the world in my opinion now that Iniesta has gotten old. This game will be close so why not bet the draw.

 

Tennis – Wimbledon Final July 15th

38-13-2 on tennis up 24.24 units

Up 12.41 on Wimbledon

Kevin Anderson and Novak Djokovic meet in the final of the oldest tennis tournament in the world. Anderson impressed many with his wins over Federer and Isner. Anderson had not defeated Isner since 2012 and the South African had never defeated Federer (nothing to be ashamed of). Anderson has never won a Grand Slam tournament, he gets a solid chance here. Novak played a 5 hour match against Nadal to make the final, while Anderson played the second longest match in Wimbledon history against Isner (over 6 hours). The South African has struggled with fitness in his career and I just think he will not have enough in this one.

Novak Djokovic -1.5 sets at -250 for 4 units. I think Novak wins this match 3 sets to 1 so I am going to bet it. I think Anderson can win a tiebreak set, but Novak is the smarter player in my opinion.

Djokovic -5.5 for 4 units. Novak will win his sets by a wider margin than Anderson will win his.

Anderson Djokovic over 38.5 games for 3 units. If it goes to 4 or 5 sets this bet will win, I think it goes 4 sets so I am going to bite on the over.