Sportsologists

70-62-2 on NCAAB last season up 8.95 units

38-30-1 this season up 25.59 units

Alabama -5 for 3 units. Alabama has an offense averaging over 80 points a game. Tennessee averages under 67. Tennessee shoots free throws a little better, but that’s about it. Taking the home team to take care of business tonight. Both teams have to win this one to make the NCAA at-large in my eyes.

Kent State -4 for 3 units. Kent State will score more at home than Ball State. I know. Sharp.

Auburn +1 for 3 units. Auburn averages 8 more rebounds a game than Arkansas does. Auburn is better on offense. Arkansas is better on defense. Should be a good game.

Buffalo -3.5 for 3 units. Buffalo should be favored by 7 or 8. That is all. 

Ohio State +3 at -120 for 3 units. Buying half a point here. Think it will be a close game. Either team can win.

Boise State -9.5 for 8 units. Wyoming shot 19% from 3 in their +4.5 underdog straight up win against San Jose State last time out. If they shoot that poorly tonight, they will get beat by 20. Wyoming had the advantage inside against San Jose. That won’t be the case tonight. Boise State will win by double-digits on the road against a 6-17 Wyoming team. Boise State won this matchup by 11 earlier in the season, but Boise’s best player, Derrick Alston, was 1-10 and 0-6 from 3 in that one. He will play better tonight. Book it. Bet all the monies.

Duke/Rhode Island/Texas Tech/Kentucky/Boise State Parlay risking 5 units to win 5.8 units.

70-62-2 on NCAAB last season up 8.95 units

35-27-1 this season up 25.59 units

Davidson -4.5 at -110 for 4 units. As a VCU grad, I follow the A-10 closely. Davidson and GW may have similar records, but Davidson are the better team. GW’s first year coach, Jamion Christian, has GW on the right path, but Davidson cover tonight. Davidson’s defense has been great over their past 3 games. The Wildcats shoot better as well. Similar rebounding stats. Going with the better shooting team with the hotter defense. Pretty simple. Gunmundsson (Shoutout Gundersen on Hell on Wheels), Grady, and Mike Jones Who? Mike Jones. Who? MIKE JONES will all work GW.

Wake Forest +10 at -120 for 2 units. I watched some of the Virginia/Wake Forest game and Andrien White looked damn good for Wake. If he stays that hot, Wake cover easy. Also, I like betting on teams after they play UVA. Someone look up the ATS record of teams the game after they play Virginia please..

Seton Hall -9 for 2 units. Seton Hall is a better defensive team than Depaul. Depaul’s free throw shooting has led to them not covering in a couple games they should have this season (65%). Seton Hall are 5-1 ATS in home conference games this year. 8-1 at home ATS this season. The over has hit in 3 of the last 4 for both teams. Seton Hall won by 8 in this matchup a month ago.

Northern Iowa -10 for 2 units. Just love Northern Iowa. If you have been reading me… You know Northern Iowa and William & Mary have made me good money this year. Fading UNC too. Those have been my 3 honey holes all year until NC State decided to not try against their Rival Tar Heels, but I digress…

Arkansas -6.5 for 2 units. South Carolina can’t make free throws or shoot from deep. Arkansas has the perimeter advantage and enough of a presence down low to slow SC.

Michigan State/Dayton/Louisville/Notre Dame ML Parlay risking 3 units to win 2 units. Nothing sexy about this. Just think all 4 teams win.

Sportsologists.com

70-62-2 on NCAAB last season up 8.95 units

32-26-1 this season up 18.08 units

Full Disclosure: I am betting a little heavier tonight because I win about 20 units on a parlay if Conor McGregor wins his fight this weekend. My account is already up above average this year, so feel like I have a little wiggle room. The William & Mary play would still be big, but the other plays would be smaller if I wasn’t winning so much. Thank you for understanding.

William & Mary +1.5 at -110 for 6 units. Delaware are 6-1 at home, but they haven’t played anybody. The Tribe will be the toughest team Joe Flacco’s former school have faced at home this season. William & Mary are 12-5 ATS this season and they are a big part of the reason I am up over 18 units this season. Delaware does have a couple big men that can at least match the Tribe’s size downlow… but Nate Darling, Delaware’s best player, has been in a small slump over his last 3 games. I’ve said it about 7 times this year on my posts, but William & Mary’s ability to get easy buckets will get them the win/cover. If they can limit Nate Darling, they will win even easier. I like one of the only teams to never make a NCAA tourney to get a win on the road tonight.

Pepperdine -7 at -110 for 3 units. I thought Pepperdine was going to be a lot better than 8-9 at this point in the season. The Edwards Brothers and Colbey Ross know they have to start turning it on if they want to make a post-season tournament. Loyola are 1-5 on the road. Pepperdine are better than their record, I am not sure Loyola are. The Wave take this one by double-digits.

Oregon -9.5 at -110 for 3 units. System play. The system is not that advanced, but the gist of it is road team favored by between 8-10 with a great guard against a team on a losing streak. There are a few more variables, but this is the only play on the board that meets the requirements. The System is 5-2 this season.

Colorado at -135 for 3 units. Colorado beat ASU by 10 earlier this season. Colorado has won against Dayton and Oregon on their recent winning streak. I would make this a huge play, but I am a little worried about the line not being closer to -200 like I thought it would be. Not going to overthink, still going to play as I think Colorado wins by 5 to 8 points… just not going to go Antonio Brown crazy on it.

70-62-2 on NCAAB last season up 8.95 units

31-25-1 this season up 18.94 units

Swept the college basketball board the last time out. “If you keep winning, they will come.” – Kevin Costner circa 1989 – Michael Scott

Kentucky -5.5 at -110 for 3 units. The Gamecocks have lost 3 in a row since beating Virginia. They lost to Stetson (not the hats). If you knew Stetson was in Florida, congrats. You win nothing. Kentucky has looked solid since their Ohio State loss. Hagans, Maxey, Quickley, and Richards can all carry the team over stretches of the game. Kentucky will be able to make more shots and create more possessions, which are my two favorite stats for double digit win.

Minnesota at -140 for 3 units.  A home team with a worse record as a favorite? Yes. Give me. Daniel Oturo should be able to do what he wants tonight. Minnesota’s guards have been in a shooting slump, but they can’t get worse. The floor is the floor. Alihan Demir should get some easy buckets with Penn State’s defensive focus being on Oturo. Penn State are only 11-47 from deep over the past two games. Two teams struggling to shoot, so take the team at home that will get more points in the paint.